# "Can Democrats Flip a House Seat in a District Trump Won?" \[In Pennsylvania, March, '18\]

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [December 30, 2017, 3:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557 "2017-12-30T03:56:53Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 4:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/61 "2018-03-13T16:38:03Z")

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Anyone care to predict what time FOX News will run a story about “reports” of buses filled with people from the inner-city at suburban polling stations to illegally vote for Lamb?

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**Author:** ![pdhenry](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pdhenry/32/5561_2.png) [@pdhenry](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pdhenry)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 4:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/62 "2018-03-13T16:39:17Z")

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> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> …Saccone is a terrible candidate, easy prey for Lamb to slaughter…

I see what you did there.

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 4:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/63 "2018-03-13T16:40:04Z")

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> [@Lance\_Turbo](#):
>
> Saccone puts his opponents into a basket of deplorables…
> 
> [Democrats Hate America, Trump, and God, Rick Saccone Says](https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democrats-hate-america-trump-god-rick-saccone-says)

I can’t speak for all Democrats, but he got two out of three right for me. Not bad.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 4:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/64 "2018-03-13T16:57:01Z")

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Only one here. God has never pissed me off, but people claiming to act for Him certainly have.

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**Author:** ![Kent\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kent_clark/32/105_2.png) [@Kent\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kent_Clark)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/65 "2018-03-13T17:01:05Z")

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> [@Johnny\_Bravo](#):
>
> I don’t know what you’re talking about, [this election is in a Democrat district.](https://www.politico.com/story/2018/03/12/pennsylvania-republican-chairman-democrat-district-456924)
> 
> Stay tuned for our updates on the war with Eastasia, with whom we have always been at war.

Talk about managing expectations!

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**Author:** ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 5:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/66 "2018-03-13T17:15:26Z")

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> [@pdhenry](#):
>
> I see what you did there.

To quote Eeyore, thanks for noticin’ me.

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**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 5:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/67 "2018-03-13T17:18:56Z")

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> [@Johnny\_Bravo](#):
>
> I don’t know what you’re talking about, [this election is in a Democrat district.](https://www.politico.com/story/2018/03/12/pennsylvania-republican-chairman-democrat-district-456924)
> 
> Stay tuned for our updates on the war with Eastasia, with whom we have always been at war.

> [@](#):
>
> “The other reason it’s so tight is, you have to remember, this is a Democrat district, notwithstanding the fact that the president won this by 20 points,” Pennsylvania GOP chairman Val DiGiorgio told Fox News on Monday. “And Conor Lamb is running at least trying to portray himself as a moderate who goes along with the Republicans on conservative issues. But when you drill down, you realize that’s not really true.”

It such a Democrat district that the Democrat has to pretend to be a Republican to win. It makes perfect sense.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/68 "2018-03-13T17:28:40Z")

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> [@AlsoNamedBort](#):
>
> It such a Democrat district that the Democrat has to pretend to be a Republican to win. It makes perfect sense.

It’s such a Democrat district that Tim Murphy - R ran unopposed in 2016 and 2014 and won by 28 points in 2012.

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**Author:** ![Chisquirrel](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6bbea6/32.png) [@Chisquirrel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chisquirrel)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 7:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/69 "2018-03-13T19:22:18Z")

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> [@Lance\_Turbo](#):
>
> Saccone puts his opponents into a basket of deplorables…
> 
> [Democrats Hate America, Trump, and God, Rick Saccone Says](https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democrats-hate-america-trump-god-rick-saccone-says)

Huh, they mispelled **HurricaneDitka**.

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**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 7:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/70 "2018-03-13T19:25:25Z")

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> [@ElvisL1ves](#):
>
> Only one here. God has never pissed me off, but people claiming to act for Him certainly have.

Just to nitpick, I do not hate Trump either, I simply despise and, to some degree, pity him. The distinction is too fine for me to care to defend, though.

Any exit polls yet?

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 7:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/71 "2018-03-13T19:38:19Z")

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> [@Chisquirrel](#):
>
> Huh, they mispelled **HurricaneDitka**.

That’s enough of that.

Extreme sanction is now in force in this thread. ANY personal shots will be warned.

Keep it civil, people.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 8:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/72 "2018-03-13T20:35:45Z")

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PredictIt market hovering around 2:1 Lamb all day.

I’m pretty sure we won’t get any real exit polls until the polls close at 8pm EDT. If you want some fake exit polls go read the comments thread at the PredictIt market.

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**Author:** ![Try2B\_Comprehensive](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/try2b_comprehensive/32/65_2.png) [@Try2B\_Comprehensive](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Try2B_Comprehensive)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 11:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/73 "2018-03-13T23:30:13Z")

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> [@Lance\_Turbo](#):
>
> Saccone puts his opponents into a basket of deplorables…
> 
> [Democrats Hate America, Trump, and God, Rick Saccone Says](https://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/democrats-hate-america-trump-god-rick-saccone-says)

Desperation is never a good look.

I can understand the impulse to bullshit low information voters (sort of), but it seems pubbies don’t yet realize that a major part of their problems is that this strategy is getting played out.

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**Author:** ![Derleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Derleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Derleth)\
**Post date:** [March 13, 2018, 11:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/74 "2018-03-13T23:59:05Z")

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> [@Try2B\_Comprehensive](#):
>
> Desperation is never a good look.
> 
> I can understand the impulse to bullshit low information voters (sort of), but it seems pubbies don’t yet realize that a major part of their problems is that this strategy is getting played out.

Played out, sure, but also deliberately attacked by companies like Facebook and Reddit, who maybe _don’t_ want their platforms being used as cats-paws by domestic hate groups and foreign intelligence agencies.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 12:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/75 "2018-03-14T00:02:54Z")

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Polls closed.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 12:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/76 "2018-03-14T00:06:15Z")

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Here’s some vote tracking links. No results yet so I don’t know which one is fastest.

[https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/pennsylvania-house-special-election](https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/pennsylvania-house-special-election)

> **[Pennsylvania Special Election Results: Lamb Wins 18th Congressional District...](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html)**
>
> See full results and maps of the Pennsylvania special election.

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**Author:** ![HurricaneDitka](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/96bed5/32.png) [@HurricaneDitka](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HurricaneDitka)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 12:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/77 "2018-03-14T00:30:03Z")

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And it’s LAMB!

Off to an early lead of 240 to 215

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 1:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/78 "2018-03-14T01:24:59Z")

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52% of the vote in, Lamb by 5%, 52% to 47%.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/79 "2018-03-14T01:26:44Z")

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61%  
[Up by 6%](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/13/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-house-special-election.html)

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**Author:** ![DigitalC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ebca7d/32.png) [@DigitalC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DigitalC)\
**Post date:** [March 14, 2018, 1:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-democrats-flip-a-house-seat-in-a-district-trump-won-in-pennsylvania-march-18/805557/80 "2018-03-14T01:28:40Z")

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That looks good.

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