# Can mid-majors undo the current BCS system?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [January 2, 2011, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107 "2011-01-02T03:02:20Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/1 "2011-01-02T03:02:20Z")

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With TCU (me so horn frog) winning the Rose Bowl today, mid-majors are now 4-1 against BCS conferences. You can’t count the 2010 Fiesta Bowl because they pitted two mid-majors against each other. So what will the mid-major conferences (either on the field or with the NCAA) need to do for the BCS to change their system into something like:

1. Playoff!
2. Top 2 teams to the national championship game and top 6 ranked conference champions plus 2 others (highest ranking non-conference champions is what I prefer) to the 4 BCS bowls
3. Other

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/2 "2011-01-02T03:05:19Z")

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OOPS!!  
Can we get a modmove to Game Room? Thanks

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**Author:** ![twickster](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ec9cab/32.png) [@twickster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/twickster)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/3 "2011-01-02T04:14:50Z")

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Done.

Next time, report the post (you can report your own) – it’ll happen faster, instead of waiting till a mod wanders by and notices the thread.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/4 "2011-01-02T04:20:00Z")

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Could we be so lucky. Anything that wrecks the BCS and chips away at its credibility is a good thing.

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**Author:** ![astorian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ad7895/32.png) [@astorian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/astorian)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/5 "2011-01-02T04:24:16Z")

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Unfortunately, the BCS is completely safe for at least another year.

TCU did everything it could, but… they “only” won by two points, and they “only” beat a Big Ten team. The BCS defenders will continue to dismiss their accomplishments. “Who’d they beat this year? NOBODY? Wisconsin? Ha! The Big Ten was down this year. You saw what Alabama did the Michigan State, right? THAT’S what ANY Southeastern Conference school would do to ANY team in the Big Ten.”

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**Author:** ![Snarky\_Kong](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a183cd/32.png) [@Snarky\_Kong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snarky_Kong)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/6 "2011-01-02T04:27:21Z")

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The BCS has already been shown to be a sham. This won’t change anything.

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**Author:** ![Carmady](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/f04885/32.png) [@Carmady](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Carmady)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/7 "2011-01-02T04:59:56Z")

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TCU and Utah, 2 of the best mid-majors, are both moving to BCS conferences.

So the answer is no, they won’t undo the system. Personally I am glad to see the better mid-majors joining BCS conferences. Even though I hate the BCS and want a playoff, I don’t believe there is any realistic and fair system that could be put into place if the good teams are spread out among too many conferences with too little opponents in common. The best argument for a playoff would be to whittle down the number of relevant conferences until it is a no-brainer to invite all the champions to the playoff.

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**Author:** ![Duckster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/duckster/32/1244_2.png) [@Duckster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Duckster)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 6:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/8 "2011-01-02T06:03:40Z")

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Only when they have the real money on their side.

Ain’t gonna happen.

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**Author:** ![An\_Arky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/87869e/32.png) [@An\_Arky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/An_Arky)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 1:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/9 "2011-01-02T13:17:37Z")

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I realize that TCU has been in a mid-major conference for a while, but I’m sick of the media potraying TCU like some little David among Goliaths. They were long time members of the Southwest Conference and IMHO always have been a major college program.

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**Author:** ![astorian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ad7895/32.png) [@astorian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/astorian)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 2:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/10 "2011-01-02T14:54:26Z")

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In theory, COULD the mid-majors undo the BCS? No. Only the big schools and conferences could do that.

For example, IF Boise State and TCU had both been undefeated and had been scheduled to play each other for the national championship… THEN, the SEC and Big Ten and Big Twelve would be screaming that the BCS is a farce, and demanding a playoff.

Only THEN might it happen.

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**Author:** ![Frank](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/3d9bf3/32.png) [@Frank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Frank)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/11 "2011-01-02T16:13:46Z")

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> [@An\_Arky](#):
>
> I realize that TCU has been in a mid-major conference for a while, but I’m sick of the media potraying TCU like some little David among Goliaths. They were long time members of the Southwest Conference and IMHO always have been a major college program.

Their last SWC championship was in 1959, and they went from 1957 to 1998 without winning a bowl game.

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**Author:** ![furt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/439d5e/32.png) [@furt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/furt)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 4:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/12 "2011-01-02T16:49:24Z")

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I’m not sure where the OP gets the 4-1 figure. I see

Louisville 31 - Southern Miss 28  
Air Force 14 - Georgia Tech 7  
Maryland 51 - East Carolina 20  
UCF 10 - Georgia 6  
TCU 21 - Wisconsin 19

That makes 3-2, with four of the games being one-score affairs. I’m not sure we can call that some kind of dramatic revelation.

> [@Carmady](#):
>
> TCU and Utah, 2 of the best mid-majors, are both moving to BCS conferences.

And this trend will continue. TCU and Utah are moving up. UCF figures to follow before long.

I think the future will be with 12-16 team superconferences. The Big 12 needs teams, so there’s room for Houston or SMU or someone to step up (really, they are idiots for not already locking down TCU). The Big 10 will always have the door open to Notre Dame.

As an opponent of a playoff, what I’d really like to see are tougher regular-season matchups. I see one really simple fix: all BCS conferences must have 10 football teams, and all BCS teams must play 9 in-conference games. That forces expansion, and one more in-conference game will make schedules a bit harder. Just a few more losses in the top 10, and the picture starts becoming clearer.

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**Author:** ![Bijou\_Drains](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bijou_drains/32/2814_2.png) [@Bijou\_Drains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bijou_Drains)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 5:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/13 "2011-01-02T17:19:13Z")

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Mark Cuban is trying to setup a college FB playoff , that is probably the best shot for one. He is very serious about the effort.

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**Author:** ![mcgato](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ac8455/32.png) [@mcgato](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mcgato)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 5:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/14 "2011-01-02T17:48:54Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> I’m not sure where the OP gets the 4-1 figure.

Pretty sure he is only referring to BCS bowl games.

2005 Fiesta Bowl: Utah beats Pittsburgh 35-7  
2007 Fiesta Bowl: Boise State beats Oklahoma 43-42 in OT  
2008 Sugar Bowl: Georgia beats Hawaii 41-10  
2009 Sugar Bowl: Utah beats Alabama 31-17  
2011 Rose Bowl: TCU beats Wisconsin 21-19

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**Author:** ![borschevsky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/97f17d/32.png) [@borschevsky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/borschevsky)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 5:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/15 "2011-01-02T17:50:50Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> I’m not sure where the OP gets the 4-1 figure.

BCS Bowls all-time, not all bowls this season, I think.

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**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 5:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/16 "2011-01-02T17:57:58Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> As an opponent of a playoff, what I’d really like to see are tougher regular-season matchups. I see one really simple fix: all BCS conferences must have 10 football teams, and all BCS teams must play 9 in-conference games. That forces expansion, and one more in-conference game will make schedules a bit harder. Just a few more losses in the top 10, and the picture starts becoming clearer.

I think the easy solution to that is to have scheduling done by the NCAA (or some other body). You want to compete for an NC? Then we get to put your schedule together. Everyone gets their in-conference games and historical rivalries, but you can’t stack the deck against the bottom of your conference - it’s now tiered. Your OCC games are also tiered, and are all determined at the end of the last season, just like the NFL.

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/17 "2011-01-02T18:08:53Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> I’m not sure where the OP gets the 4-1 figure. I see
> 
> Louisville 31 - Southern Miss 28  
> Air Force 14 - Georgia Tech 7  
> Maryland 51 - East Carolina 20  
> UCF 10 - Georgia 6  
> TCU 21 - Wisconsin 19
> 
> That makes 3-2, with four of the games being one-score affairs. I’m not sure we can call that some kind of dramatic revelation.

We are discussing BCS historically and not this year’s bowl games.

The Big East (with Miami) and ACC (with Florida State) and other traditional power conferences have automatic qualifiers. By getting an automatic bid, we get teams in a BCS bowl like:

Four BCS games (top 8 teams?)  
1999: #15 Syracuse (Big East) lost  
2000: #22 Stanford (Pac10) lost  
2001: #17 Pudue (Big10) lost  
2002: #13 LSU (SEC) won over #8 Illinois (Big 10)  
2003: #14 Florida State (ACC) lost  
2004: All were top 10 teams  
2005: #13 Michigan (Big 10) lost; #21 Pittsburgh (Big East) lost  
2006: #11 West Virginia (Big East) won; #22 Florida State (ACC) lost

2007 Bowls started the separate National Championship game (top 10 teams?)  
2007: #14 Wake Forest (ACC) lost  
2008: See below  
2009: #19 Virginia Tech (ACC) won over #12 Cincinnati (Big East)  
2010: All teams within the top 12  
2011: #13 Virginia Tech (ACC) TBD

The record of automatic qualifiers more than 2 spaces from the top 8 (1999-2006) or top 10 (2007-present) is 2-8 with this year’s to be determined.

In addition, at large selections from BCS conferences/Notre Dame include  
2001: #11 Notre Dame (Ind.) lost  
2008: #13 Illinois (Big 10) lost

How does the non-automatic qualifiers record of 80% stack up against low-ranked automatic qualifiers of 20%? Does it show something is wrong with the system when ranking=eligible is immaterial for some teams yet crucial for others?

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**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 8:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/18 "2011-01-02T20:20:41Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> How does the non-automatic qualifiers record of 80% stack up against low-ranked automatic qualifiers of 20%? Does it show something is wrong with the system when ranking=eligible is immaterial for some teams yet crucial for others?

Your mistake is in thinking that the BCS is designed to create competitive matchups that showcase the best games possible each year. It’s designed to do two things - showcase ONE matchup of the best possible game, and then make a shit-ton of money with its other 4 games. Competition really has very little to do with that second part.

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**Author:** ![furt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/439d5e/32.png) [@furt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/furt)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 11:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/19 "2011-01-02T23:16:44Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> We are discussing BCS historically and not this year’s bowl games…
> 
> How does the non-automatic qualifiers record of 80% stack up against low-ranked automatic qualifiers of 20%? Does it show something is wrong with the system when ranking=eligible is immaterial for some teams yet crucial for others?

Ah, I see. I still think 5 games is way too little a sample size to draw any conclusions from, especially given that in those games you tend to expect the non-BCS team is much more motivated. If you put the best non-BCS teams in 2010, 2006, 2004, 2003 and 2002, against another top-10 team, do you think 4/5 they would have won?  
And **Munch** is 100% right. Fair ain’t got nothing to do with it. If the BCS schools could get away with shutting the mid-majors out completely, they would.

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**Author:** ![furt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/439d5e/32.png) [@furt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/furt)\
**Post date:** [January 2, 2011, 11:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/can-mid-majors-undo-the-current-bcs-system/566107/20 "2011-01-02T23:33:28Z")

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> [@Munch](#):
>
> I think the easy solution to that is to have scheduling done by the NCAA (or some other body). You want to compete for an NC? Then we get to put your schedule together. Everyone gets their in-conference games and historical rivalries, but you can’t stack the deck against the bottom of your conference - it’s now tiered. Your OCC games are also tiered, and are all determined at the end of the last season, just like the NFL.

Maybe, but that’s not gonna happen. Not even sure I’d want it too, as it would tend to make it harder for a worst-to-first.

The problem is not easy in-conference games, but the easy non-conference games. Both Oregon and Auburn had two non-BCS creampuff games.

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