Let’s try it this way.
Do you think, on the whole, that these corporate execs are stupid people? Do you think they are irrational people?
Personally I’d say “no” to both questions.
Presuming they are not stupid do you think they absolutely missed the positions they were putting their companies in to? That the economy just blind sided them all, just bad luck? That they were unable to read a balance sheet and guess that being leveraged at 30:1 (to name one issue) was not a very tenable position?
Personally I would say they must have known and realized the precarious ground they were on. How could they not? On what planet is a 30:1 (or worse) leverage considered no big deal?
Now, presuming they are not irrational either, why would these CEOs continue on this reckless course? The only answer that makes sense to me, and keeps this bunch rational, is their compensation drove them. They were playing a game of musical chairs (of sorts). They knew the music would stop but hoped it’d go on just long enough for them to walk with a fat wad of cash which most did despite overseeing colossal losses to their companies.
So, either these execs are borderline retarded and just lucked into their jobs or were smart but crazy at the wheel or they knew what they were doing and drove us here anyway.
Hence my proposal to redirect the focus of where their compensation comes from that precludes this reckless behavior. Seems to me with great rewards comes great risks. These execs had no risk. Once there they got paid princely sums, fail or not. Worse, and I really do not get how this works, they often then go to another job and get rewarded handsomely all over again (I can provide many examples if you like of that).
In short, I want to make the “rational” choice for these execs to be the one that drives a healthy and sustainable company. Greedy shareholders and incestuous Boards of Directors certainly have not lined up with that goal in mind.
“But statistical regularities, like facts, are stubborn things. You bet against them at your peril.” (from my earlier link to the New York Times article)
I will grant it merits more work but the trend is so clear and so in lock-step with the different administrations you would indeed be foolish to bet against it at this point. The work I pointed to is scholarly and from a respected economist known to be apolitical (he had no axe to grind). He even adjusted to allow a previous president’s policies not count for or against a new president (so Clinton took a ding for the economy in 2000).
It certainly isn’t.
What puzzles me are the Libertarians on this board, or free market types, who seem to assume that the market will just sort itself if only we stopped meddling with it.
Well, I see no evidence that is the case. Not now, not in the past, not in all of human history.
It boggles the mind that they miss the very mess we are in now. That lack of regulation was a big part of it. That throughout history the best societies, the strongest ones, were those with a large middle class and small poor and wealthy class. That the last time such concentration of wealth was seen in this country was just before the Great Depression. Remove regulations that were in place because of the Great Depression, concentrate wealth as it was back then and look where we are. Back in the same miserable mess.
Is it any wonder that some would like a saner approach?