# Chicago's gun death tally vs. Chicago's gun laws

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [November 25, 2012, 4:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041 "2012-11-25T04:41:40Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/41 "2012-11-25T14:29:58Z")

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> [@brazil84](#):
>
> I wish that people who push for city level gun control laws would concede IN ADVANCE that it is impossible for their laws to be effective.

You might be right.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/42 "2012-11-25T14:33:18Z")

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> [@Scumpup](#):
>
> Except that this is a thread where factual answers and realistic solutions are being sought. Extreme answers designed to provoke a reaction still belong in the pit thread from which this one split off.

You are right-there is no way to get a law that extreme passed. How much _do_ you think it could be increased to? 20 to 90 days does seem like a slap on the wrist to me.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/43 "2012-11-25T14:36:16Z")

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Is there a separate law for possessing a weapon that has been altered in any way to make unidentifiable, registration-wise?

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/44 "2012-11-25T14:38:14Z")

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> [@Muffin](#):
>
> “Each day that such violation exists shall constitute a separate and distinct offense.”

What percentage of these cases get knocked down or even kicked because of jail overcrowding?

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**Author:** ![Scumpup](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ce73a5/32.png) [@Scumpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scumpup)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/45 "2012-11-25T14:46:48Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> You are right-there is no way to get a law that extreme passed. How much _do_ you think it could be increased to? 20 to 90 days does seem like a slap on the wrist to me.

Absent any other crime, I don’t know that any increase is possible. That is to say that simple possession of a handgun is the only law the perpetrator has broken. Some comparison might help. What is the typical sentence for assault in Chicago? For child abuse? Those are crimes where a third party was actually injured. What about possession of heroin, especially in amounts small enough to preclude charges of distribution?  
For comparison, at the Federal level, possession of an unlicensed machine gun is supposed to net the offender up to 10 years in prison and many thousands of dollars in fines. That, apparently, passes Constitutional muster. OTOH, the few cases I ever heard of it being used to really hammer anybody were cases of people illegally manufacturing such weapons for black market sale or because they were involved in additional criminal activity and it was an add-on charge.

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**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/46 "2012-11-25T14:48:55Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> Is there a separate law for possessing a weapon that has been altered in any way to make unidentifiable, registration-wise?

[Federal Firearm Act of 1968](http://www.atf.gov/publications/download/p/atf-p-5300-4.pdf) PDF

> [@](#):
>
> (k) It shall be unlawful for any person  
> knowingly to transport, ship, or receive, in  
> interstate or foreign commerce, any firearm  
> which has had the importer’s or  
> manufacturer’s serial number removed,  
> obliterated, or altered, or to possess or  
> receive any firearm which has had the  
> importer’s or manufacturer’s serial number  
> removed, obliterated, or altered and has,  
> at any time, been shipped or transported  
> in interstate or foreign commerce.

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**Author:** ![Muffin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muffin/32/4341_2.png) [@Muffin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Muffin)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/47 "2012-11-25T14:55:38Z")

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The law will not deter individual criminals, or gangs, or insane spree killers, any more than a law against driving without a license deters car thieves, given that the penalty for handgun possession is small and access to handguns is easy.

The law will not deter the legal owner of a handgun from killing his spouse in a moment of uncontrolled rage during a domestic dispute, for it does not outright prohibit handgun ownership.

What the law does do is draw attention to the tragically high rate of gun deaths in Chicago, and by extension the USA. If more and more communities enact such laws, then perhaps the issue will be addressed nationally in a significant and rational manner. If this comes to pass, then the Chicago law will have had a positive effect. It takes a great many local changes to effect a sea change across the nation.

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**Author:** ![Muffin](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muffin/32/4341_2.png) [@Muffin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Muffin)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 3:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/48 "2012-11-25T15:05:37Z")

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It is very difficult to fix the socio-economic problems that result in individual crime, gang crime, and domestic violence, and it is very difficult to fix the national problem of the country being “awash in guns,” as ed anger so aptly put it, such that local restrictions are very easily sidestepped.

It is easy to pass a law that has little effect but strong symbolism. The law does not address the underlying socio-economic problems or the national problem that bleeds over locally, but it does at least serve as a symbol that gun deaths are not acceptable.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Colossus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.colossus/32/9423_2.png) [@Dr.Colossus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Colossus)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 3:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/49 "2012-11-25T15:10:40Z")

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this is simple–

most guns used in gun-crime were not purchased through above-board channels. nearly always, they were bought outside any regulatory means. so, as stated, unless you are law-abiding and intend to use the the weapon for legal activity, there’s little motivation to buy through regulation.

and it’s not just a matter of driving over to another state where things are more lax. it’s more like you buy from a guy you know who has available guns. this can be your uncle who is all “hey you can have this for a hundred bucks” to a local gun runner to any other means of grey areas.

regulations have little effect on gun violence. this [dataset](http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/content/pub/ascii/fuo.txt)might be obsolete, but there are cogent corollaries in the concepts, esp method of procurement for crime-use firearms.

getting a gun has never required more than cash-and-carry.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Colossus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.colossus/32/9423_2.png) [@Dr.Colossus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Colossus)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 3:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/50 "2012-11-25T15:24:13Z")

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here’s an article explaining how most chicago crime guns were bought in cook county by straw-buyers (non-criminal record first-hand buyers who in turn sell second-hand). regulations: ceremonious but little else.

[http://www.suntimes.com/news/crime/14715658-418/chicago-gangs-dont-have-to-go-far-to-buy-guns.html](http://www.suntimes.com/news/crime/14715658-418/chicago-gangs-dont-have-to-go-far-to-buy-guns.html)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 3:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/51 "2012-11-25T15:33:24Z")

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> [@Dr.Colossus](#):
>
> here’s an article explaining how most chicago crime guns were bought in cook county by straw-buyers (non-criminal record first-hand buyers who in turn sell second-hand). regulations: ceremonious but little else.
> 
> [http://www.suntimes.com/news/crime/14715658-418/chicago-gangs-dont-have-to-go-far-to-buy-guns.html](http://www.suntimes.com/news/crime/14715658-418/chicago-gangs-dont-have-to-go-far-to-buy-guns.html)

Now _there_ is a specific problem that needs a solution. Is there one that might not tick off the NRA and other lobbyists?

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**Author:** ![WhyNot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/c77e96/32.png) [@WhyNot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WhyNot)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 3:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/52 "2012-11-25T15:34:50Z")

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I don’t have a number, but I do work in the areas where the majority of the shooting occur. Englewood, Auburn, Avondale, Roseland… (gah, I hate Roseland. That neighborhood scares the bleep out of me. The others hide their nature better during daylight hours, but Roseland practically screams post-apocalypse wasteland.) I often work with the family members and neighbors of people killed and, sometimes, the people pulling the trigger.

The people I work with who know the shooters tell me that this is a gang issue. The shooters are overwhelmingly gang members shooting at each other and sometimes missing and killing little girls sitting on their front steps. It goes without saying that these gang members don’t give a second thought to the gun laws. Barely even slows them down in acquiring them through illegal channels.

I don’t see any way to fix it until we fix the neighborhoods. But it’s a huge Catch-22. Gangs pay young men - sometimes to shoot people. The gangs won’t go away until these young men can get decent jobs outside of a gang. We can’t get them jobs until more employers build in their neighborhoods. We can’t get good employers to build in their neighborhoods until they have a customer base there. We can’t get customers in until the gang members stop shooting people in those neighborhoods. So nothing changes…

Maybe factories are the answer. If we brought factories back, they could provide local jobs that don’t need customers in the same area. But we’d have to pay people more than they make in China. Or with a gang.

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**Author:** ![colonial](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/34f0e0/32.png) [@colonial](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/colonial)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 4:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/53 "2012-11-25T16:12:03Z")

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The US murder rate has been decreasing for over 20 years now,  
with the big cities leading the way-- that is old news. See links:

[Urban, Suburban, and Rural Victimization, 1993-98](http://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=812)

[Murder Arrest in the United States, 1990-2010](http://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=4515)

[New York City Homicides 2003-20112](http://projects.nytimes.com/crime/homicides/map)

NYC Number of murders:

2011: 209  
2010: 329  
2009: 386  
2008: 518  
2007: 478  
2006: 562  
2005: 534  
2004: 548  
2003: 597

I wonder if anyone can suggest why NYC rates dropped off a cliff 2009&ff:  
2011/2008 = 40%  
2011/2003 = 35%

Apparently NYC has less than half the murder rate Chicago does. NYC also  
has tough gun possession laws.

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**Author:** ![Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/e36b37/32.png) [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Airman_Doors_USAF)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 4:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/54 "2012-11-25T16:19:52Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> Now _there_ is a specific problem that needs a solution. Is there one that might not tick off the NRA and other lobbyists?

No, but there is a solution, one that gun owners ought to concede: the so-called “gun show loophole”. It really is a simple thing indeed to get a background check by using a FFL holder as an intermediary in a face-to-face sale.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Colossus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dr.colossus/32/9423_2.png) [@Dr.Colossus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Colossus)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 4:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/55 "2012-11-25T16:27:31Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> Now _there_ is a specific problem that needs a solution. Is there one that might not tick off the NRA and other lobbyists?

i dont know that restrictive gun-laws are the answer.

texas has really loose gun law (i went to a fleamarket where i could have cash-and-carried a fucking AK47) [but they do not have as high percentage of gun-related murders as Illinois.](http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/10/gun-crime-us-state)  
(64 vs 80% gun-murders).

i think it’s a complicated mixture of pop density, socioeconomic factors, gang prevalence, and stuff far over my head.

i really don’t know what the answer is. i know if you outlaw guns totally, all it would mean is the bad guys would have more guns by percentage to good guys w guns. but my brother is a CSI/officer, and conceal and carry citizens, when robbed, have an increased likelihood of being shot (which makes sense–someone pulls a gun to rob you, they see you going for YOUR gun, they panic and shoot). so “good guys” with guns seem to inflate personal danger in gun-related ordeals. see what i mean? far over my head. complex stuff…

guns are terrible all the way around. that chart above says it all; they just make it too easy to kill people.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 4:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/56 "2012-11-25T16:58:25Z")

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Not to imply this is the sole reason, but all crimes are going to tend to go down as the baby boom bulge works its way through the python. Crime tends to peak at ages in the 20s, so as that demographic becomes a smaller percentage of the population, crime will tend to decrease even if everything else stays the same.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 5:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/57 "2012-11-25T17:25:32Z")

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> [@colonial](#):
>
> The US murder rate has been decreasing for over 20 years now,  
> with the big cities leading the way-- that is old news. See links:
> 
> [Urban, Suburban, and Rural Victimization, 1993-98](http://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=812)
> 
> [Murder Arrest in the United States, 1990-2010](http://www.bjs.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=4515)
> 
> [New York City Homicides 2003-20112](http://projects.nytimes.com/crime/homicides/map)
> 
> NYC Number of murders:
> 
> 2011: 209  
> 2010: 329  
> 2009: 386  
> 2008: 518  
> 2007: 478  
> 2006: 562  
> 2005: 534  
> 2004: 548  
> 2003: 597
> 
> I wonder if anyone can suggest why NYC rates dropped off a cliff 2009&ff:  
> 2011/2008 = 40%  
> 2011/2003 = 35%
> 
> Apparently NYC has less than half the murder rate Chicago does. NYC also  
> has tough gun possession laws.

I’d like to keep us focused on Chicago, please?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 5:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/58 "2012-11-25T17:26:36Z")

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> [@Airman\_Doors\_USAF](#):
>
> No, but there is a solution, one that gun owners ought to concede: the so-called “gun show loophole”. It really is a simple thing indeed to get a background check by using a FFL holder as an intermediary in a face-to-face sale.

What’s the situation with the gun show loophole in the Chicago area-does it exist there?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![fumster](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/e9c0ed/32.png) [@fumster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fumster)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/59 "2012-11-25T17:28:26Z")

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> [@Dr.Colossus](#):
>
> i dont know that restrictive gun-laws are the answer.
> 
> texas has really loose gun law (i went to a fleamarket where i could have cash-and-carried a fucking AK47) [but they do not have as high percentage of gun-related murders as Illinois.](http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/jan/10/gun-crime-us-state)  
> (64 vs 80% gun-murders).

But they have a higher rate of deaths from guns per-capita: [http://www.statemaster.com/graph/cri\_mur\_wit\_fir-death-rate-per-100-000](http://www.statemaster.com/graph/cri_mur_wit_fir-death-rate-per-100-000)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [November 25, 2012, 5:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/chicagos-gun-death-tally-vs-chicagos-gun-laws/642041/60 "2012-11-25T17:30:33Z")

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> [@John\_Mace](#):
>
> Not to imply this is the sole reason, but all crimes are going to tend to go down as the baby boom bulge works its way through the python. Crime tends to peak at ages in the 20s, so as that demographic becomes a smaller percentage of the population, crime will tend to decrease even if everything else stays the same.

So if we send the young’ns elsewhere to live with relatives from ages 15 to maybe 22, the gun death rate in Chicago drops dramatically? I bet theatre goers would also like that solution. 😃

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