# Climate change: the estimates by the IPCC are too high

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [May 8, 2014, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946 "2014-05-08T02:37:15Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 15\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Budget\_Player\_Cadet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/budget_player_cadet/32/205_2.png) [@Budget\_Player\_Cadet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Budget_Player_Cadet)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 6:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/21 "2014-05-08T18:48:26Z")

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Jesus, I’m basically shut out of every AGW discussion at this point. How disappointing.

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**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 7:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/22 "2014-05-08T19:14:35Z")

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The science of climate and climate change is very important, and education about it is probably the best weapon in the war on ignorance and greed. A warmist would be the person who was in denial about the extreme winters, handwaving them aside and ignoring the data, telling everyone that a cold winter doesn’t mean anything, which is exactly what they said in 06, or the winter of 2009/10, the warmist was sure winters were still warming, some still are. They actually still claim winters are warming more than any other season,and it’s sure evidence of global warming.

A warmer will also switch with no hesitation and then claim colder winters are BECAUSE of global warming, it doesn’t matter what happens, it’s all warming. It’s what defines a warmer.

The alarmist simply cherry picks any and all things to paint a scary picture of the future, everything about climate change is dangerous, negative, it’s always bad news. Both can chow down on food, that absolutely depends on fossil fuels, in comfort, again from fossil fuels, and judge “those other people” who use fossil fuels as “the problem”. Or, while filling up their gas tank, blame “the evil oil companies” for causing global warming.

A warmist will fly around the world, drive to an air conditioned resort, while telling people how they are killing the planet, with out seeing the irony. An alarmist will predict disaster from warming winters, bemoan the fate of our children who won’t know what snow is, who predict winter wheat disasters, low water supplies and billions at risk from starvation, then turn around and do the same thing over record snow fall, killing cold and the disaster that is a long and extreme winter, all blamed on global warming. All of it is your fault. Or the evil fossil fuel companies.

It’s all doom and gloom, blame and shame, all of it.

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 7:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/23 "2014-05-08T19:17:53Z")

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> [@kimera](#):
>
> It’s not an article. It was posted in a facebook group and the person who posted it gave me permission to post it elsewhere. She got it from her friend’s facebook, who gave permission for it to be re-shared. He has a PhD in chemistry and she says that, with a masters in chemistry, what he’s saying makes sense and that we are not being good skeptics when we dismiss it without merit.

I’m going to rule that this still requires a link to an original source and significant clipping for copyright purposes. Even with permission - however lightly defined - posting an entire article requires some form of citation to prevent the appearance that you are posting original material.

Please let Tom or I know the link for the original post and we’ll take care of things from there.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 7:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/24 "2014-05-08T19:19:10Z")

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> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> The science of climate and climate change is very important, and education about it is probably the best weapon in the war on ignorance and greed. A warmist would be the person who was in denial about the extreme winters, handwaving them aside and ignoring the data, telling everyone that a cold winter doesn’t mean anything, which is exactly what they said in 06, or the winter of 2009/10, the warmist was sure winters were still warming, some still are. They actually still claim winters are warming more than any other season,and it’s sure evidence of global warming.
> 
> A warmer will also switch with no hesitation and then claim colder winters are BECAUSE of global warming, it doesn’t matter what happens, it’s all warming. It’s what defines a warmer.
> 
> The alarmist simply cherry picks any and all things to paint a scary picture of the future, everything about climate change is dangerous, negative, it’s always bad news. Both can chow down on food, that absolutely depends on fossil fuels, in comfort, again from fossil fuels, and judge “those other people” who use fossil fuels as “the problem”. Or, while filling up their gas tank, blame “the evil oil companies” for causing global warming.
> 
> A warmist will fly around the world, drive to an air conditioned resort, while telling people how they are killing the planet, with out seeing the irony. An alarmist will predict disaster from warming winters, bemoan the fate of our children who won’t know what snow is, who predict winter wheat disasters, low water supplies and billions at risk from starvation, then turn around and do the same thing over record snow fall, killing cold and the disaster that is a long and extreme winter, all blamed on global warming. All of it is your fault. Or the evil fossil fuel companies.
> 
> It’s all doom and gloom, blame and shame, all of it.

I get it.  
The Warmist and the Alarmist are cartoon characters, right?

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**Author:** ![Rune](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e68b1a/32.png) [@Rune](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rune)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 7:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/25 "2014-05-08T19:24:16Z")

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How did they reliable measure the global temperature or CO2 in 1850 (or 1750)?

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 8:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/26 "2014-05-08T20:01:38Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> I get it.  
> The Warmist and the Alarmist are cartoon characters, right?

And climate scientists do not exist in his world, never mind the climate scientist even risk their lives to get data from hellish places and report what is happening.

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**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 9:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/27 "2014-05-08T21:39:39Z")

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> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> I get it.  
> The Warmist and the Alarmist are cartoon characters, right?

Just like the deniers.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 9:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/28 "2014-05-08T21:50:18Z")

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> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> Just like the deniers.

Well, deniers out there are, in the sense that no one of worth is following them or that they do not bother to publish their dizzying papers in recognized scientific journals.

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**Author:** ![FXMastermind](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fxmastermind/32/7289_2.png) [@FXMastermind](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FXMastermind)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 9:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/29 "2014-05-08T21:52:00Z")

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Right over the head.

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 9:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/30 "2014-05-08T21:55:45Z")

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> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> Right over the head.

Yours, actually.

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**Author:** ![dropzone](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dropzone/32/7515_2.png) [@dropzone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dropzone)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 11:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/31 "2014-05-08T23:05:11Z")

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> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> …along with a condemnation of physicists who apparently in their “arrogance” haven’t figured out how to do long division. :rolleyes:

> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> I would venture most people in the world today have no idea what “equilibrium climate sensitivity” means…

That’s okay. Most people don’t know what long division is. :rolleyes:

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**Author:** ![Voyager](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/voyager/32/133_2.png) [@Voyager](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Voyager)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2014, 11:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/32 "2014-05-08T23:21:00Z")

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> [@FXMastermind](#):
>
> Just like the deniers.

Republicans in Congress and Fox News people are indeed just like cartoon characters, only not as smart.

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**Author:** ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2014, 3:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/33 "2014-05-09T03:53:52Z")

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Among other flaws, OP’s source ignores that 20th-century temperature rise was _less_ than what CO2 alone would have caused: Mankind was also injecting _coolants_ into the atmosphere. (Indeed, _reduction_ of pollutants like sulfur dioxide and soot can be viewed as one of the causes of AGW! :smack: )

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**Author:** ![BrainGlutton](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/82dd89/32.png) [@BrainGlutton](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BrainGlutton)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2014, 5:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/34 "2014-05-09T05:10:03Z")

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> [@Voyager](#):
>
> Republicans in Congress and Fox News people are indeed just like cartoon characters, only not as smart.

That’s not fair! They’re also not as multidimensional!

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**Author:** ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2014, 11:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-the-estimates-by-the-ipcc-are-too-high/687946/35 "2014-05-09T11:28:16Z")

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I don’t see a debate here, and kimera hasn’t seen fit to provide a link to the source of the quote as directed.

This is closed.

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