# "Climate Change" Was Supposed to Spawn Monster Storms-What Happened?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-was-supposed-to-spawn-monster-storms-what-happened/657982>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Created:** [May 10, 2013, 12:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-was-supposed-to-spawn-monster-storms-what-happened/657982 "2013-05-10T12:10:03Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 103

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**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\
**Post date:** [May 15, 2013, 2:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/climate-change-was-supposed-to-spawn-monster-storms-what-happened/657982/103 "2013-05-15T14:10:12Z")

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> [@GIGObuster](#):
>
> That happens by entirely avoiding the cite. It tells you why I said that.

I didn’t avoid the cite: it spells out, as you do, that frequency can’t readily be predicted but intensity can – and it then stops short, as you do, of actually bothering to supply the prediction about intensity. You’re wasting yet more time and words on generalities instead of skipping straight to a specific answer.

You talk about an increase in intensity. Your cite says more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes will hit land. I therefore ask: at least how many, on what timetable? What amount is being predicted – such that more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes will prove you right, and fewer will prove you wrong?

You’re silent, and so is your cite. You could end my objection with a one-sentence prediction. You instead offer paragraphs about the prediction.

> [@](#):
>
> Sometimes the correct thing is to say we don’t know. And climate scientists also had this going for the acceleration of ice loss, it was an unknown so the scientific thing to do was to declare that more data was needed, as it turned out the acceleration is happening and now reported as more data is available now. Like the acceleration of the loss of ice before we are now with the number of hurricanes a warming world will bring, it remains an unknown, but hurricanes will still happen and the intensity of the ones that come will still react to the stuff that is in the background, it only takes one Sandy on steroids to create more havoc that one that just arrives with “no artificial additives”.

And again: you do a fine job of saying that Sometimes The Correct Thing Is To Say We Don’t Know, and you add that while the number of upcoming hurricanes is one of them, the _intensity_ of the ones that come will – er, it just sort of trails off there, doesn’t it? With nary a _falsifiable_ claim about intensity in sight?

Good heavens, ten words would do it: more Category 4 and 5 hurricanes will hit land? Very well, then: at least what number X, over the next Y years?

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