# Clinton v Trump - The Stretch Run Thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [September 30, 2016, 11:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277 "2016-09-30T11:21:19Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 202

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4025 "2016-10-29T13:38:12Z")

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There can’t be polls that were taken after this story became public. We’ll maybe have an idea Monday or Tues if this is affecting the polls.

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**Author:** ![pulykamell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pulykamell/32/3166_2.png) [@pulykamell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/pulykamell)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4026 "2016-10-29T13:38:31Z")

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While I have little doubt this will affect her numbers, this story just broke less than 24 hours ago. How can there be reliable numbers already?

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4027 "2016-10-29T13:41:21Z")

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> [@John\_Mace](#):
>
> There can’t be polls that were taken after this story became public. We’ll maybe have an idea Monday or Tues if this is affecting the polls.

That’s even worse.

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**Author:** ![Derleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Derleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Derleth)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4028 "2016-10-29T13:46:13Z")

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> [@septimus](#):
>
> 🙂
> 
> But … nitpick … Donald Knuth still lives. Just a few weeks ago he reminisced before an audience at San Francisco’s main public library.

I was kind of wondering if anyone would get that part of the joke.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4029 "2016-10-29T13:47:22Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> That’s even worse.

We’ll see. I think, worst case, this might make a few more people sit out the election. I can’t see it causing anyone to switch his or her vote. You’re a pretty partisan Republican-- are you now switching your vote away from HRC?

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4030 "2016-10-29T13:48:31Z")

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There are apparently some voters(about 5%) who swing with every little news story, if the poll movements are any indication.

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**Author:** ![fachverwirrt](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/94ad74/32.png) [@fachverwirrt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/fachverwirrt)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4031 "2016-10-29T13:49:55Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> The polls tell a different story though: Clinton +3.8. Lead’s been cut nearly in half from a week or two ago.

Which polls?

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 1:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4032 "2016-10-29T13:57:14Z")

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> [@fachverwirrt](#):
>
> Which polls?

Good question. If you’re not looking at aggregate polls, then that number is meaningless.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 2:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4033 "2016-10-29T14:00:11Z")

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RCP 4-way average says 3.8 this morning.

If was just quoting one poll, I’d be like, “Clinton down by 2! Trump is leading!” just because I like to scare y’all.

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 2:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4034 "2016-10-29T14:04:03Z")

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There is this thing between Il Douche’s nose and his chin. It will open.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 2:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4035 "2016-10-29T14:05:20Z")

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He’s gone two weeks without saying anything truly damaging before. If I’m his campaign team, I send him off to Vanuatu without telling the media.

Beats Clinton hiding in her plane for hours yesterday.

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**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4036 "2016-10-29T14:09:50Z")

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Yeah the race was definitely narrowing before this news. In the electoral college Trump is now within 2.5% in most of the states he needs on RCP.

I could see this knocking off a point maybe even two but Hillary will still probably pull through:  
a) She has already banked in a significant number of early votes.  
b) Her advantage in ground game, ad spend and surrogates remains enormous  
c) She still has a blue wall left. Trump has closed in but that last state he needs will still be very difficult: PA, CO etc.

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**Author:** ![mhendo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mhendo/32/3159_2.png) [@mhendo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mhendo)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4037 "2016-10-29T15:41:14Z")

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> [@Rick\_Kitchen](#):
>
> [First person arrested in this election for attempted voter fraud is a Trump voter.](http://www.rawstory.com/2016/10/republican-trump-voter-arrested-in-iowa-for-voter-fraud-after-allegedly-attempting-to-rig-election/)

Apparently she did it because [the polls are rigged](http://iowapublicradio.org/post/des-moines-woman-says-she-voted-twice-trump-because-polls-are-rigged#stream/0):

> [@](#):
>
> Terri Rote says she was afraid her first ballot for Trump would be changed to a vote for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.
> 
> “I wasn’t planning on doing it twice, it was spur of the moment,” says Rote. “The polls are rigged.”

There’s the logic of the Trump campaign and its voters captured in one perfect little vignette.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Corry\_El](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/ecae2f/32.png) [@Corry\_El](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Corry_El)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 3:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4038 "2016-10-29T15:46:30Z")

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> [@Spice\_Weasel](#):
>
> Well if Facebook is any indication, nobody seems to give a shit about the emails except Republicans who already hate Hillary.

I think it’s about as indicative as lawn signs or big crowds, or social media activity, for Trump. Not much either way.

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**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 4:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4039 "2016-10-29T16:00:46Z")

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> [@elucidator](#):
>
> There is this thing between Il Douche’s nose and his chin. It will open.

And various noises will come out. Along with a frog or two.

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**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 4:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4040 "2016-10-29T16:03:33Z")

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> [@El\_Kabong](#):
>
> And various noises will come out. Along with a frog or two.

Soon, we will be knee-deep in frogs.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![davidm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidm/32/225_2.png) [@davidm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/davidm)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 4:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4041 "2016-10-29T16:32:07Z")

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> [@mhendo](#):
>
> Apparently she did it because [the polls are rigged](http://iowapublicradio.org/post/des-moines-woman-says-she-voted-twice-trump-because-polls-are-rigged#stream/0):There’s the logic of the Trump campaign and its voters captured in one perfect little vignette.

This incident is interesting because of what it illustrates. This woman thought that you could vote twice simply by walking into another polling place.

I’ve had discussions (more like arguments) with people who insist that rampant in person voter fraud is possible, and they seem immune to logic. This woman illustrates why. They apparently have no clue as to how voting and registration work and believe that you can just walk in anywhere and vote. This woman thought that she could get away with voting twice for the same reasons that she thought it was necessary to do so.

This is what you get from the right-wing rhetoric about voter fraud; a dumbed down populace who thinks voting is like buying a pack of cigarettes - just go in any corner store and buy them - just go in any polling place and vote.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DCnDC](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dcndc/32/2842_2.png) [@DCnDC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DCnDC)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 4:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4042 "2016-10-29T16:50:33Z")

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> [@davidm](#):
>
> This incident is interesting because of what it illustrates. This woman thought that you could vote twice simply by walking into another polling place.

What it illustrates is this woman is total moron. Let’s examine the “logic” at work here:

a) The polls are rigged.  
b) My first ballot is going be changed to a vote for the other candidate.  
c) _I must vote again!_

:smack:

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![davidm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidm/32/225_2.png) [@davidm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/davidm)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 4:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4043 "2016-10-29T16:59:27Z")

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> [@DCnDC](#):
>
> What it illustrates is this woman is total moron. Let’s examine the “logic” at work here:
> 
> a) The polls are rigged.  
> b) My first ballot is going be changed to a vote for the other candidate.  
> c) _I must vote again!_
> 
> :smack:

But there are _many_ “total morons” who seem to believe that it’s possible to do what she attempted, and to do so on a massive scale.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\
**Post date:** [October 29, 2016, 5:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/clinton-v-trump-the-stretch-run-thread/767277/4044 "2016-10-29T17:02:46Z")

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> [@DCnDC](#):
>
> What it illustrates is this woman is total moron. Let’s examine the “logic” at work here:
> 
> a) The polls are rigged.  
> b) My first ballot is going be changed to a vote for the other candidate.  
> c) _I must vote again!_
> 
> :smack:

If you vote often enough, some will slip through. 😃

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