# CONTEST: Electoral Results.  With prizes!

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 1, 2016, 9:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403 "2016-11-01T21:33:54Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 4

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 1:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/61 "2016-11-06T13:51:14Z")

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HC = 341  
DT = 197  
Sen = D51 R49  
3rdP = 5.5%

McM = 28%

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 1:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/62 "2016-11-06T13:54:45Z")

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> [@Enlightening\_Meditation](#):
>
> Trump electoral college votes: **301** (red/lean red states + toss up states + Michigan + Pennsylvania, if my math is correct)  
> Clinton electoral college votes: **237**  
> Senate: **51** Republican / **49** Democratic  
> Combined 3rd party popular vote: **4.4%**  
> McMullin Utah vote: **23.8%**
> 
> Cool game. I hope to be way wrong as I dislike Clinton less than Trump. My hunch is that the pissed off rust belt vote is not well measured by polls having spent much time in MI, OH, & PA.

We have our first Trump win prediction!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 1:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/63 "2016-11-06T13:58:53Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> We have our first Trump win prediction!

there was one at post #21

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/64 "2016-11-06T14:02:15Z")

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Just checked, no, I don’t see it there.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/65 "2016-11-06T14:05:23Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> Eh, I’ll be strategic.
> 
> Trump 275  
> Clinton 265  
> Senate 50/50  
> 3rd party 5.7%

> [@adaher](#):
>
> Just checked, no, I don’t see it there.

???

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/66 "2016-11-06T14:05:30Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> Just checked, no, I don’t see it there.

> [@furt](#):
>
> Trump 275  
> Clinton 265

If it were a snake, it would be a funny-looking snake covered in numbers.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/67 "2016-11-06T14:06:38Z")

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You hacked the forum and put it there!😃

Crazy, I really didn’t see it. Gotta wash my glasses.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/68 "2016-11-06T14:25:00Z")

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Just to be in the game:

EVs: Hillary 323, Trump 215  
Senate: 50-50  
Third parties: 4.7%

McMullin in Utah: 32.3%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/69 "2016-11-06T14:26:40Z")

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> [@furt](#):
>
> Trump 275  
> Clinton 265

I can guarantee you that at least one of these numbers will be wrong. 🙂

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/70 "2016-11-06T14:39:37Z")

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Electoral vote Clinton 346 Trump 192  
Senate 50/50  
Other vote 6.4%  
McMullin 26%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 2:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/71 "2016-11-06T14:52:53Z")

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> [@RTFirefly](#):
>
> I can guarantee you that at least one of these numbers will be wrong. 🙂

In a November surprise, Puerto Rico is given 2 electoral votes. Rigged!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![xenophon41](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xenophon41/32/253_2.png) [@xenophon41](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/xenophon41)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2016, 11:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/72 "2016-11-06T23:50:52Z")

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Clinton 307  
Trump 231  
Senate 51D/49R  
3rd Party 5.9 %  
McMullin 28.1%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing\_Fish](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/ecb155/32.png) [@Thing\_Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing_Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/73 "2016-11-07T02:47:43Z")

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Clearly the strategic move on this board would be to bet on Trump, but I can’t do it either.

Clinton 339, Trump 198  
Dems 52-48  
Other 6.6%  
McMullin 32.0

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Sterling\_Archer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f1d935/32.png) [@Sterling\_Archer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sterling_Archer)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/74 "2016-11-07T02:50:31Z")

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I’m calling the late Trump movement an illusion.

Clinton 352  
Trump 186  
Senate 51D/49R  
3rd party 8.1%  
McMullin 27% in Utah

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/75 "2016-11-07T03:00:25Z")

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Forgot to mention:

McMulder (U): Reggie Leach percent

(27)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 4:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/76 "2016-11-07T04:02:11Z")

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In the USA, that’s the Keyes Number.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/77 "2016-11-07T04:14:14Z")

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Trump 270  
Clinton 267 (268-the faithless Washington elector)  
Senate 52R, 48D  
Third Party 4.2%  
McMullin 18.3% in Utah

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 4:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/78 "2016-11-07T04:50:39Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> In the USA, that’s the Keyes Number.

☹ was hoping you would’ve mentioned Brett Cecil percent.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![tonyfop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/85f322/32.png) [@tonyfop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tonyfop)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 5:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/79 "2016-11-07T05:17:39Z")

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Clinton-278  
Trump- 260  
Senate-D51, R49  
Third Party- 7.3%

McMuffin in Utah- 26%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 7, 2016, 5:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/contest-electoral-results-with-prizes/770403/80 "2016-11-07T05:55:21Z")

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Hillary’s Electoral Vote Count: 309  
Trump’s Electoral Vote Count: 229  
Senate Split: 52D - 48R  
Third Party Vote Percentage, expressed in tenths of a percent: 4.5%  
McMuffin Factor: 24%

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