Here’s the thing about ‘reasonable’ fear.
Suppose you’re an armed police officer with body armor. A civilian who you think is suspicious is in your view. You do not have any direct confirmation they have a gun, but they might have one.
So they reach for a waistband, maybe to pull their pants up, maybe they have a hidden gun.
So play this out. Let’s say they do have a hidden gun.
In order for you to die, the following have to happen :
a. They have to draw their weapon and aim it at you before you shoot them dead.
b. Given they only have a fraction of a second to aim, if they even hit you, it’ll probably be in the body armor or somewhere non vital. So it would have to be an incredibly lucky shot for you to be hit in the head or in just the right spot in your groin.
c. They have to do this, knowing you or your buddy are going to kill them right after. So it’s a suicide, and they have waited until now to commit it.
d. If they did want to kill a cop, they are choosing literally the worst moment to do so. Instead of killing you when your back is turned and you’re pumping gas, or shooting you at your front door, any number of trivial ways. If someone wants to kill someone else, cop or not, and they don’t care about getting away with it, it’s trivially easy. Basically only the President and a few people with similar amounts of armed private security can’t be casually killed.
So this means that not only do they have to be irrational, they have to be borderline mentally retarded, barely able to operate a gun.
If the suspect is a criminal trying to escape, it makes sense for them to fire at a good moment. Not when you already have them at gunpoint in clear view.
So maybe I’m wrong about this, it’s possible that there really is a rash of irrational criminals out there with pistol shooting skills comparable to Jerry Miculek. But then, if there were, wouldn’t they be killing cops more often? Wouldn’t you hear about cases where a pistol champion criminal out drew a cop and killed them, justifying other’s officer’s fear and making it reasonable?
You should be able to see if this were true in the data. The articles I’ve read, admittedly on liberal sites, would say things like “so it’s March, and the police are up to 300 people killed. So far this year, the only police officer killed by gunfire on duty was shot by *another *police officer…”