# Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Thread - 2020 Breaking News **URL:** \ **Category:** The Quarantine Zone\ **Tags:** covid-quarantine\ **Created:** [February 11, 2020, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2020-breaking-news/847758 "2020-02-11T01:16:04Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 1\ **Showing post:** 5091
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [October 17, 2020, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2020-breaking-news/847758/5091 "2020-10-17T02:24:39Z")
Sorry @puzzlegal but your opinion about what is known in India is simply not true. The data (discussed extensively in the Opening Schools thread) comes out of the states of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu in India’s south. As described in the Science article: > [@](#): > > Although they are not the wealthiest states in India, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu are among the states with the largest healthcare workforces and public health expenditures per capita, and are known for their effective primary healthcare delivery models ([_18_](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672#ref-18)–[_20_](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672#ref-20)). Both states initiated rigorous disease surveillance and contact tracing early in response to the pandemic. Procedures include syndromic surveillance and SARS-CoV-2 testing for all individuals seeking care for severe acute respiratory illness or influenza-like illness at healthcare facilities; delineation of 5km “containment zones” surrounding cases for daily house-to-house surveillance to identify individuals with symptoms; and daily follow-up of all contacts of laboratory-confirmed or suspect COVID-19 cases, with the aim of testing these individuals 5-14 days after their contact with a primary case, irrespective of symptoms, to identify onward transmission ([_21_](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672#ref-21), [_22_](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672#ref-22)). We analyzed comprehensive surveillance and contact tracing data from these programs aiming to understand transmission dynamics and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in South India, and to provide insights into control of SARS-CoV-2 in similar LMIC settings. What is known there about how much covid-19 there is if anything is superior and MORE accurate to what is known here. And again, this is specifically on an age cohort to age cohort comparison. Numbers summarized [here](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/opening-schools/854247/1179) from source material in table S10 of [here](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/suppl/2020/09/29/science.abd7672.DC1/abd7672_Laxminarayan_SM.pdf). Mortality rates mostly follow along the incidence rates, roughly a third of U.S. on a per capita per age band for most age bands. (For example the biggest age cohort there is the 18 to 29 year old group and they have 27% of the mortality on a per capita basis than the U.S. has.) Graphically here in C and E. Log scale. [https://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672/F4.large.jpg](https://science.sciencemag.org/content/sci/early/2020/09/29/science.abd7672/F4.large.jpg) In fact they do have a _very good_ “idea of how much covid is in India”. Their system is not with room for errors but if either country is undercounted it much more likely is the United States. --- _[View the full topic](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2020-breaking-news/847758)._