# Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Thread - 2021 Breaking News

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428>\
**Category:** The Quarantine Zone\
**Tags:** covid-quarantine\
**Created:** [January 1, 2021, 8:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428 "2021-01-01T08:03:30Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 89

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [July 21, 2021, 7:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1794 "2021-07-21T19:59:09Z")

</div>

Covid cases in the US have tripled in the last 2 weeks.

> **[US virus cases nearly triple in 2 weeks amid misinformation](https://apnews.com/article/health-religion-coronavirus-pandemic-michael-brown-dbc0303c3fa13643ca2dc0eb8d806f33)**
>
> COVID-19 cases have nearly tripled in the U.S. over two weeks amid an onslaught of vaccine misinformation.

> [@](#):
>
> He said the patients are younger — many in their 20s, 30s and 40s — and overwhelmingly unvaccinated.
> 
> “People were just begging for this,” he said of the vaccine. “And remarkably it was put together within a year, which is just astonishing. People don’t even appreciate that. Within a year, we got a vaccine. And now they are thinking, ‘Hmm, I don’t know if I will get it.’”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [July 21, 2021, 8:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1795 "2021-07-21T20:30:22Z")

</div>

This is a good article about breakthrough cases, what “mild COVID” means, and what it means for personal risk evaluation.

> All of this is making people—yes, probably mostly vaccinated people—rethink the basic questions they thought their vaccine had answered for them: Can I go to restaurants and bars unmasked? Can I go back to the office? Can I see my grandma? Can I go on vacation? Can I unmask at my people-facing job? Can I have a wedding, or a party? The answer to those questions is not quite as easy as “yes, if you’re vaccinated.” It depends partly on how many in your group are vaccinated, but the actual answer is basically the same as it’s been all pandemic: It depends on your risk tolerance, it depends on what is happening with case counts locally (though as more people travel, this might become a less reliable tool), and it depends on any unique risk factors in your group. Kass’ perspective felt novel to me: She said that she suspects that in the end, a lot of people are going to end up boosting their immunity by suffering through a mild case of COVID. So no one should feel that bad about getting sick after they’re vaxxed. What matters is getting the order right: “If everyone who gets vaccinated still gets COVID but doesn’t die, that’s a success,” she said. The issue is that it doesn’t feel like a success for vaccinated people.

> **[What Vaccinated People Should Really Know About the Delta Variant’s Threat to...](https://slate.com/technology/2021/07/covid-delta-variant-risk-vaccinated-breakthrough-cases.html)**
>
> The vaccines are working—but that might not mean what you think it does.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [July 21, 2021, 8:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1796 "2021-07-21T20:35:56Z")

</div>

That’s an excellent article. Here are the first two paragraphs. I’ve bolded the part that gave me pause…

> Recently, one of my colleagues took a trip to Florida. He went to see family, a long-awaited visit that he had previously only managed to make once during the pandemic, driving the whole way from New York while “peeing behind dumpsters.” Now that everyone was fully vaccinated, it seemed totally reasonable to fly there, and to have everyone gather, unmasked, together. It was a relief and a joy. They even went to a hockey game indoors with thousands of people.
> 
> When my colleague got home, he started to feel like he had a cold. He didn’t think much of it—until he got a call from one of his family members in Florida who had tested positive for COVID-19. **Eventually, all the adults that gathered on that trip got sick** , including his mother-in-law and father-in-law. My colleague’s wife also tested positive; he didn’t, but given his symptoms, including loss of smell, it seemed like a probable COVID case.  
> …

😬

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [July 21, 2021, 10:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1797 "2021-07-21T22:21:55Z")

</div>

I think the reality is that the virus is going to find a lot of us. What percentage is anyone’s guess, but the chances are good that the virus is going to test all of us, including the vaccinated, in meaningful ways, even if we don’t know it. And by that I mean, we’ll visit a restaurant, walk through our apartment lobby, go to the bank or post office, or have a visit with a friend, and the virus will be there waiting for us. It was easier to evade the earlier versions of the disease - if you gotta go to some place indoors, spend less than 10-12 minutes there and wear a mask, and chances are, you’ll be okay. Not so now.

I kinda had a freakout a few weeks ago when I saw the Israeli data indicating reduced efficacy of the virus. Having taken in more data, I’m somewhat bringing myself to accept the fact that I might end up having an encounter with the virus but my chances of surviving it, while knowing full well it’s not 100%, are at least good. I also do other things to tune up my immune system such as taking vitamin D and C, and I’ve tried to eat more anti-inflammatory foods like fruits and vegetables. I accept that I might end up getting COVID but I just want to get it when my immune system is ready for it and hopefully my wearing a mask and being vaccinated will reduce the viral load. Who you catch it from may also be a factor - I am going to operate on the assumption that it’s better to catch COVID as a vaccinated individual from another vaccinated individual, as opposed to being in a room full of unvaccinated individuals and catching it that way.

What worries me going forward is the reality that COVID is always mutating. It mutates every time it infects someone because it makes mistakes whenever it copies itself. Most of these mistakes are duds and mean nothing. But when you have a virus that is already far more infections than its original ancestor and is spreading like wildfire in an unvaccinated population, the math is not on our side. One of those mutations could make COVID into something that is much closer to the original SARS, which was so infectious that it spread through central air conditioning and plumbing in apartment complexes. And that would be a nightmare from which we wouldn’t soon wake up.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tfletch1](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tfletch1/32/5340_2.png) [@Tfletch1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tfletch1)\
**Post date:** [July 21, 2021, 11:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1798 "2021-07-21T23:02:15Z")

</div>

> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> This is a good article about breakthrough cases, what “mild COVID” means, and what it means for personal risk evaluation.

The attitude of the journalist friend is astounding to me.

> Mostly, he felt frustrated. He’s a journalist—he’s pretty tuned in to the news. He knew breakthrough cases were possible, but he had seen many assurances that they were extremely rare and not that big of a deal. “I feel like I had very inaccurate information,” he told me, “and I would have made my decisions in a very different light if I knew what I know now.” He would have worn a mask at the hockey game, for example—even though no one was wearing a mask at the hockey game, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said it’s [fine for vaccinated people not to wear masks inside](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/fully-vaccinated.html).

So he goes to an NHL game in a stadium (in FL, one of the early states to experience a Delta surge) full of thousands of screaming fans, none of them wearing masks including his cohort, and he’s surprised he contracted Covid? The guy’s FIL is undergoing treatment for a serious illness on top of that. As people have already said in multiple threads, people clearly don’t know how to do risk assessment.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Bootb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e19b73/32.png) [@Bootb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bootb)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 12:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1799 "2021-07-22T00:14:56Z")

</div>

> [@ThelmaLou](#):
>
> That’s an excellent article. Here are the first two paragraphs. I’ve bolded the part that gave me pause…

The CDC has always said that likelihood of getting infected depends on time and distance. If you’re going to be in close proximity to people for hours on end, (i.e., a long car trip or plane ride, or staying overnight with somebody), you’re absolutely going to have a higher risk, whether you’re vaccinated or not.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 1:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1800 "2021-07-22T01:15:32Z")

</div>

> [@elfkin477](#):
>
> > [@asahi](#):
> >
> > Some of the measures that were implemented by Asian countries earlier in the pandemic – masking but otherwise carrying on with business as usual – ain’t working with delta. There’s just too much viral load and infectiousness.
> 
> How do we know it’s that the measures don’t work as well against delta when they say in the same breath that there’s “a slow vaccination program, lax public vigilance”? Masks don’t work and social distancing doesn’t work and vaccines don’t work if people aren’t still actually wearing masks and social distancing, or getting vaccinated.

Because they don’t seem to be stamping it out like they used to.

Apparently, masks don’t work terribly well against the common cold. I read (well, browsed) some very math-heavy medical articles that hypothesized that masks work much better against covid because it takes so many viral particles to infect someone, so even a modest reduction in the viral load in the air makes a big difference. If Delta infects with fewer particles and generates a lot more vital particles, masks may not work very well against it.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 1:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1801 "2021-07-22T01:23:25Z")

</div>

Just to be clear: masks should be worn. Masks are absolutely better than no masks, just like vaccines are absolutely better than no vaccine. But relying on masks and social distancing yields fewer returns with this variant. The takeaway from the delta vaccine should be to maintain vigilance. If you’re vaccinated, you probably don’t need to be quite as vigilant and fearful as we were back in the spring of 2020 or January 2021. But we’re still in the boxing ring and COVID is still coming at us. We have to keep our gloves up.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tfletch1](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tfletch1/32/5340_2.png) [@Tfletch1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tfletch1)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1802 "2021-07-22T03:02:17Z")

</div>

> [@puzzlegal](#):
>
> Apparently, masks don’t work terribly well against the common cold. I read (well, browsed) some very math-heavy medical articles that hypothesized that masks work much better against covid because it takes so many viral particles to infect someone, so even a modest reduction in the viral load in the air makes a big difference. If Delta infects with fewer particles and generates a lot more vital particles, masks may not work very well against it.

I think that depends on if they’re talking about the rhinovirus-caused common cold. If a cold is caused by a common coronavirus, it may be blocked by masks. I saw a paper that was simply coughing onto dishes and culturing later (with and without masks). The masks were physically able to stop both coronaviruses and influenza viruses, but were unable to stop rhinoviruses. The difference is that coronaviruses and influenza viruses are enveloped (lipid membrane) viruses, while rhinoviruses only have the capsid (protein coat) on the outside. So they have different structures that affect how they interact with masks.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 4:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1803 "2021-07-22T04:27:43Z")

</div>

192,839,005 total cases  
4,142,582 dead  
175,357,704 recovered

In the US:

35,146,476 total cases  
625,808 dead  
29,458,403 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> 192,274,819 total cases  
> 4,133,943 dead  
> 174,960,319 recovered
> 
> In the US:
> 
> 35,081,719 total cases  
> 625,363 dead  
> 29,435,171 recovered

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 11:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1804 "2021-07-22T11:33:04Z")

</div>

> [@Tfletch1](#):
>
> > [@puzzlegal](#):
> >
> > Apparently, masks don’t work terribly well against the common cold. I read (well, browsed) some very math-heavy medical articles that hypothesized that masks work much better against covid because it takes so many viral particles to infect someone, so even a modest reduction in the viral load in the air makes a big difference. If Delta infects with fewer particles and generates a lot more vital particles, masks may not work very well against it.
> 
> I think that depends on if they’re talking about the rhinovirus-caused common cold. If a cold is caused by a common coronavirus, it may be blocked by masks. I saw a paper that was simply coughing onto dishes and culturing later (with and without masks). The masks were physically able to stop both coronaviruses and influenza viruses, but were unable to stop rhinoviruses. The difference is that coronaviruses and influenza viruses are enveloped (lipid membrane) viruses, while rhinoviruses only have the capsid (protein coat) on the outside. So they have different structures that affect how they interact with masks.

This is when i miss the “like” button. Because this is neat, but i don’t really have anything to say about it. So in another forum I’d just “like” your post.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![ratatoskK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ratatoskk/32/2987_2.png) [@ratatoskK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ratatoskK)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 2:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1805 "2021-07-22T14:31:55Z")

</div>

> **[COVID-19 Case Increase in July](https://www.cambridgema.gov/covid19/News/2021/07/covidincrease)**
>
> New infections among Cambridge residents have increased in July, with 83 confirmed and probable cases reported so far this month (July 1-20), according to the Cambridge Public Health Department. The City and the Public Health Department are closely...

> New infections among Cambridge (MA) residents have increased in July, with 83 confirmed and probable cases reported so far this month (July 1-20), according to the Cambridge Public Health Department. … In Cambridge, of these 83 confirmed or probable cases, 42% were vaccine “breakthrough” cases, meaning they were fully vaccinated but still got infected… The proportion of vaccine breakthrough cases in Cambridge this month mirrors trends recently reported in Massachusetts and other states.

Also note, 67% of Cambridge residents are fully vaccinated.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CalMeacham](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/calmeacham/32/35_2.png) [@CalMeacham](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CalMeacham)\
**Post date:** [July 22, 2021, 6:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1806 "2021-07-22T18:01:48Z")

</div>

Rates are still rising in several states, with Louisiana, Arkansas, Alaska, and Mississippi among the worst. On the seven-day average of new reported cases, Louisiana is now back at the level last achieved on January 16 of this year, and is 3/4 of the way to the record high it achieved on January 9

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Siam\_Sam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d78d45/32.png) [@Siam\_Sam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Siam_Sam)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 5:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1807 "2021-07-23T05:05:19Z")

</div>

We’re plunging into a black hole here in Hawaii. Today 243 new cases were recorded, the worst day since January 5. Three deaths too.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 5:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1808 "2021-07-23T05:34:07Z")

</div>

193,425,474 total cases  
4,151,725 dead  
175,741,160 recovered

In the US:

35,213,594 total cases  
626,172 dead  
29,478,173 recovered

Yesterday’s numbers for comparison:

> [@Snowboarder\_Bo](#):
>
> 192,839,005 total cases  
> 4,142,582 dead  
> 175,357,704 recovered
> 
> In the US:
> 
> 35,146,476 total cases  
> 625,808 dead  
> 29,458,403 recovered

New cases per day worldwide was well below 500,000 for a couple of months; that trend is now over.

The US daily new case graph show the same type of development:  
[![](https://i.ibb.co/JrHwLYX/Screen-Shot-2021-07-22-at-10-36-30-PM.png) ](https://i.ibb.co/JrHwLYX/Screen-Shot-2021-07-22-at-10-36-30-PM.png)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 1:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1809 "2021-07-23T13:43:08Z")

</div>

> [@Siam\_Sam](#):
>
> We’re plunging into a black hole here in Hawaii. Today 243 new cases were recorded, the worst day since January 5. Three deaths too.

That’s scary, as Hawaii had a relatively high vaccination rate.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tfletch1](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tfletch1/32/5340_2.png) [@Tfletch1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tfletch1)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 2:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1810 "2021-07-23T14:47:11Z")

</div>

> [@puzzlegal](#):
>
> That’s scary, as Hawaii had a relatively high vaccination rate.

Unfortunately, only 53% of people are fully vaccinated and only 64% of adults. Hawaii has a very low infection rate so I bet it needed around 85% vaccinated to avoid a surge. The good news is that ~ 85% of people 65 and over are vaccinated so deaths may remain fairly low. (fingers crossed!)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Siam\_Sam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d78d45/32.png) [@Siam\_Sam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Siam_Sam)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 4:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1811 "2021-07-23T16:33:10Z")

</div>

> [@Tfletch1](#):
>
> only 53% of people are fully vaccinated

That’s 59.5% for Hawaii as of yesterday. The governor has promised to lift all Covid restrictions if we can reach 70%. That rate seems to be rising by only 0.1 percentage points a day, so it may take awhile.

The unvaccinated account for 97% of all new Hawaii infections. One of the three deaths yesterday was a fully vaccinated Oahu woman, which is concerning. She reportedly had some underlying issues though.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Tfletch1](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tfletch1/32/5340_2.png) [@Tfletch1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tfletch1)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 4:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1812 "2021-07-23T16:44:26Z")

</div>

> [@Siam\_Sam](#):
>
> That’s 59.5% for Hawaii as of yesterday. The governor has promised to lift all Covid restrictions if we can reach 70%. That rate seems to be rising by only 0.1 percentage points a day, so it may take awhile.
> 
> The unvaccinated account for 97% of all new Hawaii infections. One of the three deaths yesterday was a fully vaccinated Oahu woman, which is concerning. She reportedly had some underlying issues though.

Oops. NYT might be a little behind in their vaccination updates. Still, plenty of people who are not immune. The 97% of new infections being unvaccinated is very encouraging if we consider that the dominant variant is Delta. That means that vaccinations are holding up well. Deaths will skew older people and those at high risk, the majority of which will be vaccinated. So the parameter to look for is whether deaths surge as much as cases. If Hawaii is anything like UK or, even better, Israel, there is a definite disconnect between cases and hospitalizations/deaths because of their vaccination rates.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Siam\_Sam](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d78d45/32.png) [@Siam\_Sam](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Siam_Sam)\
**Post date:** [July 23, 2021, 5:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428/1813 "2021-07-23T17:06:51Z")

</div>

> [@Siam\_Sam](#):
>
> One of the three deaths yesterday was a fully vaccinated Oahu woman, which is concerning. She reportedly had some underlying issues though.

I just heard that makes two fully vaccinated deaths in Hawaii. But apparently both had many serious underlying health issues.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428.md?page=88)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/coronavirus-covid-19-2019-ncov-thread-2021-breaking-news/929428.md?page=90)
