Some of the guests are indeed impressive, but the Olympians are probably dragged to Leno on a leash by NBC, then you have the world’s biggest attention whore, and then Avril Lavigne? Robin Thicke? Meh. Might be a good lineup for a random week in the spring, but not for the first week of a new (old) show.
Also, I think people would be more sympathetic to Jay if we hadn’t watched a fairly similar situation happen in 1992. It appeared to most that Jay screwed Dave, and now it appears that Jay screwed Conan. Fool me once… Plus, Jay took a couple of real low shots at Letterman & Conan in the last week or two of Conan’s Tonight Show run. I imagine that cemented many people’s opinion of Jay.
I think you’re wrong on both counts. Conan told NBC he would walk in 2004 unless he was given a definite date to take over the Tonight Show. And his ratings were lousy in the three months before Leno’s 10pm show started.
I wouldn’t be too concerned with the quality of guests on ANY talk show right now. This is PROBABLY just a seasonal lull.
February and March are months in which there AREN"T any major new movies being released or new TV series making their debuts. That means the biggest stars in show biz currently have nothing to plug.
If Robert (Iron Man 2) Downey Jr. is shunning Leno in May, THEN Jay should worry about being blackballed. But I’m willing to bet the A-Listers will be there in force as soon as they have something to promote.
Which is a) pretty common when a new host takes over a late night show and b) indirectly Jay Leno’s fault (by NBC’s own admission as to the reason behind his cancellation).