# Crazy question: is there a political reason to hold off from putting money into the stock market until after the election?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/crazy-question-is-there-a-political-reason-to-hold-off-from-putting-money-into-the-stock-market-until-after-the-election/1007582>\
**Category:** In My Humble Opinion\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [September 22, 2024, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/crazy-question-is-there-a-political-reason-to-hold-off-from-putting-money-into-the-stock-market-until-after-the-election/1007582 "2024-09-22T09:52:51Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 43

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**Author:** ![DavidNRockies](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidnrockies/32/6279_2.png) [@DavidNRockies](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DavidNRockies)\
**Post date:** [October 24, 2024, 9:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/crazy-question-is-there-a-political-reason-to-hold-off-from-putting-money-into-the-stock-market-until-after-the-election/1007582/43 "2024-10-24T21:15:00Z")

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I don’t know exactly how much instability, volatility, isolationism, authoritarianism, vengeance, and global perception of corruption it would take before the vast majority of the world would shit [**BRICS**](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRICS) and the dollar would be severely harmed.

Think of the rest of the world as the Democrats in the earlier part of 2024 and the US as … Joe Biden. They’re watching. They always are.

While it’s reasonable to think that the cohort of the 0.1%-ers who _actively_ support Trump are more invested in the US economy than most of the rest of us, it’s also reasonable to think that they’re both far more diversified, keyed in to more, better, and earlier information, and are simply better able to weather financial storms in style than the rest of us.

I also think that – to the extent that Trump actually _does_ materially execute on an “America First” agenda, there will be significant pain:

> [@Trump's Economic Plan](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/trumps-economic-plan/1005796/69):
>
> Of the Trump-Biden tariffs, the Tax Foundation says, essentially: We estimate the Trump-Biden tariffs will reduce long-run GDP by 0.2 percent, the capital stock by 0.1 percent, and employment by 142,000 full-time equivalent jobs. Candidate Trump has proposed significant tariff hikes as part of his presidential campaign; we estimate that if imposed, his proposed tariff increases would hike taxes by another $524 billion annually and shrink GDP by at least 0.8 percent, the capital stock by 0.7…

It’s harder to rally around that American flag when it costs $72.50 than when it’s China-made and cost $3.99. And the notion of the rising tide lifting all ships … won’t happen overnight, and it won’t be a painless process for anybody.

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