# Democratic House Math **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 12, 2022, 6:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806 "2022-11-12T18:24:38Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 13\ **Page:** 5
**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\ **Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 1:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/81 "2022-11-15T13:54:43Z")
Do we want to place any bets at this point on the final count? I’ll go 222R-213D – an inversion of where things stood after the 2020 election. ---
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 9:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/82 "2022-11-15T21:54:00Z")
I’ve been keeping an eye on [NBC news](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/house-results?icid=election_marquee), they been updating an estimate with error bars. Currently it’s reading 220 R vs 215 D +/- 3. Of course I’d like the Dems to squeak out a win in the house, but being realistic, I’d be quite happy with a 5 or even 8 seat difference. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 10:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/83 "2022-11-15T22:13:02Z")
> [@Buck\_Godot](#): > > 220 R vs 215 D +/- 3. That’s what I have as the most likely outcome. I’m mildly worried about recent trends in CA-47. That would make it 221 R vs 214 D and would also knock Katie Porter out of the House. Could free her up for a Senate run if DiFi retires. ---
**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\ **Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 11:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/84 "2022-11-15T23:20:56Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > Could free her up for a Senate run if DiFi retires… I don’t think there is an ‘if’ - even though she preemptively filed some paperwork, Feinstein will by 90 in June. She’d be running at age 91 and serving until age 97 if elected 😲. I having sneaking suspicion that if even she made another run at it, she wouldn’t win. Other Democrats would primary her just like in 2018, it would another Dem vs Dem election just like in 2018 and this time she’s lose to Porter or someone else. ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 15, 2022, 11:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/85 "2022-11-15T23:33:11Z")
Porter loses, Feinstein retires, Newsom appoints Porter. Hooray! Probably won’t go down like that. ---
**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 12:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/86 "2022-11-16T00:52:20Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > Porter loses, Feinstein retires, Newsom appoints Porter. Hooray! > > Probably won’t go down like that. - It would be great for the nation, though. And if Newsom really does cherish Presidential ambitions (and most seem to think he does), elevating Katie Porter could only win him friends among Democratic voters… ---
**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 1:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/87 "2022-11-16T01:03:22Z")
Background, please: Katie Porter? ---
**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 1:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/88 "2022-11-16T01:07:52Z")
> [@Northern\_Piper](#): > > Background, please: Katie Porter? - Try: [https://www.google.com/search?as\_q=&as\_epq=Katie+Porter&as\_oq=&as\_eq=&as\_nlo=&as\_nhi=&lr=&cr=&as\_qdr=all&as\_sitesearch=&as\_occt=any&safe=active&as\_filetype=&tbs=](https://www.google.com/search?as_q=&as_epq=Katie+Porter&as_oq=&as_eq=&as_nlo=&as_nhi=&lr=&cr=&as_qdr=all&as_sitesearch=&as_occt=any&safe=active&as_filetype=&tbs=) ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 1:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/89 "2022-11-16T01:13:56Z")
Katie Porter is a Congresswoman who joined the House after the 2018 election. She won one of several traditionally red districts in or around Orange County, California. Before she was in congress she studied bankruptcy law under Elizabeth Warren at Harvard and then went on to be a law professor at a few schools before landing at UC Irvine. She is a national treasure. > ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/90 "2022-11-16T01:34:04Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > She is a national treasure. If she had a TV show I would watch it. She is AWESOME. [![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/rYQ5vjKlB1A/maxresdefault.jpg "Rep. Katie Porter And Her White Board Explain Strength Of Biden Economy") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rYQ5vjKlB1A) ---
**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/91 "2022-11-16T01:55:55Z")
And she just got a good vote drop. > > > CATargetAlt @CATargetAlt ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 2:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/92 "2022-11-16T02:16:49Z")
R is at 217 now. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2022, 11:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806/93 "2022-11-16T23:32:55Z")
Republicans have 218 now. Now to see how many more they get. 218r - 210d. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/democratic-house-math/974806.md?page=4)