# Derby Winner Prediction

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [May 7, 2005, 10:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867 "2005-05-07T22:05:28Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 14\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2005, 10:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/1 "2005-05-07T22:05:28Z")

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High Fly at 20-1 wins it. Or so I boldly predict.

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**Author:** ![Garfield226](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/9e8a1a/32.png) [@Garfield226](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Garfield226)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2005, 10:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/2 "2005-05-07T22:11:36Z")

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nope.

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [May 7, 2005, 10:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/3 "2005-05-07T22:15:53Z")

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Damn! He was leading at the last turn and a little further… oh well, it only counts if your leading at the wire.

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**Author:** ![BiblioCat](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/ed8c4c/32.png) [@BiblioCat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BiblioCat)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 12:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/4 "2005-05-08T00:44:38Z")

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Gotta love the come-from-behind underdog!

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**Author:** ![Reeder](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c6cbf5/32.png) [@Reeder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Reeder)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 12:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/5 "2005-05-08T00:56:39Z")

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Winner…50-1

2nd place…70-1

Who would have guessed?

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**Author:** ![Kilvert\_s\_Pagan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/c37758/32.png) [@Kilvert\_s\_Pagan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kilvert_s_Pagan)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/6 "2005-05-08T01:34:18Z")

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> [@Reeder](#):
>
> Winner…50-1
> 
> 2nd place…70-1

…leading to an exacta of almost 10G, a trifecta of over $130,000, and a superfecta of _deep breath_ $1.7 million.

Shit - someone just made a fortune for betting their birthday or something… :smack:

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**Author:** ![ccwaterback](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/df705f/32.png) [@ccwaterback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ccwaterback)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 9:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/7 "2005-05-08T09:55:50Z")

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Wow, $1.7M superfecta. I wonder how many people had that ticket? Probably only 1 or 2.

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**Author:** ![Brilharma](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/d6d6ee/32.png) [@Brilharma](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Brilharma)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 7:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/8 "2005-05-08T19:29:53Z")

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I missed the race because I was out to eat with friends.:smack: Does anyone know where I can catch a replay of the race, either a site with video or will a show like SportsCenter be showing replays today?  
Any help will be appreciated.  
`Brilharma

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**Author:** ![Kilvert\_s\_Pagan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/c37758/32.png) [@Kilvert\_s\_Pagan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kilvert_s_Pagan)\
**Post date:** [May 8, 2005, 9:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/9 "2005-05-08T21:05:52Z")

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> [@Brilharma](#):
>
> I missed the race because I was out to eat with friends.:smack: Does anyone know where I can catch a replay of the race, either a site with video or will a show like SportsCenter be showing replays today?  
> Any help will be appreciated.  
> `Brilharma

How about [kentuckyderby.com?](http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2005/)

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**Author:** ![Brilharma](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/d6d6ee/32.png) [@Brilharma](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Brilharma)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2005, 2:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/10 "2005-05-09T02:21:28Z")

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I couldn’t find this year’s race on that site, but they were showing clips on the news and mentioned the full race could be seen on [ESPN.com](http://www.espn.com). Thanks for your help, though.

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**Author:** ![Hal\_Briston](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/a9a28c/32.png) [@Hal\_Briston](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hal_Briston)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2005, 4:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/11 "2005-05-09T16:27:19Z")

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> [@ccwaterback](#):
>
> Wow, $1.7M superfecta. I wonder how many people had that ticket? Probably only 1 or 2.

According to the news on the Stern show this morning, 12 folks bought winning Superfecta tickets.

Lucky bastards.

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**Author:** ![Wile\_E](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/c37758/32.png) [@Wile\_E](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wile_E)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2005, 5:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/12 "2005-05-09T17:28:47Z")

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I rooted for _Greater Good_, because it was the title of the most recent episode of _Lost_. Leave it to me to pick the race horse with epilepsy. I think he came in dead last … at least he didn’t have a seizure.

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**Author:** ![a35362](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/3da27b/32.png) [@a35362](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/a35362)\
**Post date:** [May 9, 2005, 8:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/13 "2005-05-09T20:34:03Z")

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So what happens to the horse that comes in last? Is he dog food, or does even the worst Derby runner count for something among horse breeders?

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**Author:** ![ccwaterback](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/df705f/32.png) [@ccwaterback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ccwaterback)\
**Post date:** [May 10, 2005, 10:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/derby-winner-prediction/302867/14 "2005-05-10T10:47:56Z")

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> [@a35362](#):
>
> So what happens to the horse that comes in last? Is he dog food, or does even the worst Derby runner count for something among horse breeders?

Just running in the Derby is big medicine. What do they start out with? Something like 200 entries? Maybe more?
