One of the issues about studies trying to find if people are good at spotting liars is that the studies have to use standardised “lies” rather than real life ones in which the actual content of the lie itself is useful information. The example in John Cleese’s show had people watching one of two videos (a nature documentary or a horror movie, for example) and then either describe what they were actually watching or pretend to describe the other. People who could only see the TV watchers, not the screens, were asked to pick who was lying. The “lie” was necessarily entirely plausible in context.
It is clear that these tests are designed to see if people can spot liars using only meta information like breathing, eye movement and so on. But most judges look at the actual content of the story and its likelihood to judge lies as well.
For most liars, there are details of the story that jar, or don’t sit well with the way the world works, or are improbable or seem contrived, etc. The identification of that sort of thing is overlooked in these studies, but it is a very powerful part of the process.
Similarly, it is very difficult to test for lie detection in circumstances where the people are truly invested in the outcome. You can offer those who “beat” the test $100 or whatever, but you can’t standardise a real child claiming she was molested, for example, or a rapist claiming he was innocent. Reality has features that are too contingent on the moment that can’t be standardised away.
To add to the problem, whether or not something is a lie is not a light switch, yes-or-no issue. When my wife (hypothetically) asks “Does my bum look big in this?”, the problem I face is that I don’t thinks so, but I know that others might, and I also know that “big” is a relative term and I don’t know what parameters she is using. Big relative to a super model? Big relative to a normal good looking woman of her age? Even those are pretty loose criteria. And if I ask these things for clarification, I know I will look like I am prevaricating which will itself be a kind of answer. I also know that her question is probably just seeking reassurance rather than actually asking for factual information. So what does my answer mean? Is it a “lie”? Whether something is “true” is very commonly not a trivial question, and you have to idealise these sorts of problems away when you do studies, yet they are central to the process of lying.
Whether or not something is a lie is a deep question. The idea that there can be easy technological fixes for existential questions that deeply touch upon the nature of being human is a peculiarly 20-21st century one, I suspect.