Every single thing in the universe that we seek to understand can have literally an infinite number of explanations for it.
There are infinite stories that could play out in just such a way that would ultimately result in what we see and hear and feel around us. The question, then, becomes one of how we reduce that infinity of possibilities into the stories that we find more plausible versus less plausible. For that, we use a razor. We cut away the ridiculously complex in order to focus on that which seems simple. Not too simple, of course. The story must be sufficiently complex that it can explain what we see, but ideally, not any more complex than that.
This isn’t anything new. Nothing that I say in a thread like this is new or original. I just turn around the words in my mind until I feel I have a handle on what they mean.
Then what’s next? The entire question of what’s reasonable to believe, versus what is not reasonable to believe, focuses then on the nature of the razor that we use. Which razor do we use? Because that’s the real issue. That’s the core matter at issue. People disagree about which explanation is simpler, and which is more complex. We have different notions of simplicity. There isn’t just one razor that people are using collectively, because if there were, there would be a lot more agreement in the world. When I say that the many-worlds interpretation seems, to me, to be the simplest interpretation of quantum mechanics (based not on direct study, but rather on reading ideas from the physicists who made the most compelling arguments), other people often look at me like I’m insane. Why? They’re using a different razor. They hear about the MWI and they don’t see “simple” but rather “ridiculously complex”. If we shared the same razor, this would not be an issue. The MWI actually is simple… according to a particular and precise definition of simplicity. This is the definition I rely on. And it is, in fact, the only one that makes any sense to me.
The entire question is: How do we define complexity? That’s the core of it. And there are basically two answers to this question.
The first answer is common sense intuition. Gut feeling of understanding. This is the razor that the overwhelming majority of people use. This is how we get stories like god. This is how we get intuitive notions of morality and justice, like “guilt merits punishment”. The vast majority of people who believe in free will also believe in an objective morality, that there are strict moral facts that really exist, that these strict moral facts are just as fundamentally a part of the universe as the laws of physics as we understand them.
These two issues, of justice and of “free will”, are not actually two separate questions. They stem from the same question, because people use the same razor to try to understand them. They use their gut instinct. They use their intuition.
We have a lot of very basic instincts, for example a propensity to assign “agency” even for inanimate objects, and even for the world as a whole. As I child, I once tripped on a crooked sidewalk, and I got angry when I fell and skinned my knee. So what did I do? I got up and tried to kick the sidewalk that had injured me. I really tried to do that. This was not an especially sensible thing for me to do, but my brain had immediately and unconsciously assigned agency to the event. I was angry at that concrete sidewalk, and I wanted to punish it for its transgression. This is the result that comes from overactive intuition.
I don’t trust intuition.
Suffice it to say that I do not believe common sense intuition is a suitable razor. I read people who rely on it, some of them extremely intelligent, many of them better human beings than I am. But its failings seem plainly “obvious”. It’s useful in everyday contexts, and in a pinch when we have nothing else, but it gets too many things wrong. Our intuition developed in one particular environment, and it does not extrapolate well into areas beyond that environment. The nature of reality is one such area where it doesn’t seem to do all that well on its own.
So what’s the alternative razor? If we don’t use common sense, what do we use?
A formal logical structure. Of course.
I say “of course” here, because it’s my intuition to do so. So I could be said to be relying on intuition, up to the point where my intuition says it’s completely fucking stupid to rely any further on intuition. Is that circular? I’m not sure that’s a fair criticism. We have conflicting intuitions all the time. Look at optical illusions, where our eyes are telling us one thing but our “understanding of the world” is telling us something else. (“A” and “B” are exactly the same shade.) Look at trolley problems from moral philosophy. If you ask people what they think the right thing to do is, they will give you a supposed answer. If you take that answer and apply it to a different case, they will immediately reject the ostensible principle they just gave you in order to answer in a different way. The vast majority of people do not have any moral principles built up from basic axioms. They have moral intuitions, and then they make up fake principles in an arbitrary post hoc manner when they’re asked to explain their intuitions. There are very few people who can answer questions about moral principles in a consistent fashion, because most of us don’t rely on principles for our internal notion of justice. People rely on their gut. This is the razor that they use.
There is, I believe, a better option than relying purely on intuition for these sorts of questions. There is something external to us, objective instead of subjective, a method outside of us that can be used as a clear marker in the landscape in order to settle decisively the notion of what is simple and what is complex. When we’re faced with conflicting intuitions, we can use logical tools in order to settle that difference.
And it just so happens that 20th century mathematical advances gave us exactly that tool.
When we try to formalize the definition of “complexity” using modern thought, we’re always pushed toward the same answer. There are lots of totally uncontroversial examples of this directly from physics, such as the cosmological horizon. If we were to travel fast enough away from the earth, we would eventually reach a point-of-no-return. If we went past that point, we could not return to earth, no matter how close to the speed of light we could travel. Space would fill up with more space faster than we could traverse the distance back. We’d never get back. That’s the standard view, and it’s totally uncontroversial.
But a different view – a different story that could explain the same thing from our perspective on earth – is that the universe simply ends past the cosmological horizon. Nothing exists out there. The universe doesn’t bother with “computing” any of that stuff beyond the horizon. Is that not a “simpler” explanation? Is it not “simpler” to say, hey, the universe is what we see and only what we see? And beyond that, there is no more universe? That would be a smaller, simpler universe, right?
No. No, it’s not. It’s actually a much more complex universe, even if it is smaller.
It’s much simpler to say that the laws of physics remain the rules that they are, playing out in the way that they do, even out beyond the point-of-no-return where we cannot confirm that is the case standing on earth. This is the Information Theory notion of simplicity. Physics is a very tough subject, not everybody can hack it, but the laws of physics – when examined from a formal definition of “complexity” – are actually not especially complex in the grand scheme of things. Intuitively, people have a huuuuge common sense problem with this. But it happens literally all the time in formal systems. The relatively simple laws of physics can describe a universe of extraordinary variety. Using this formal definition of complexity, we immediately reject ideas like that the cosmological horizon is the end of the universe, or that time in our universe started last Thursday, with all of our memories of before Thursday also beginning last Thursday. While it’s true that there would less time in the universe if it had existed only a week, rather than 13.7 billion years, “less time” is not the proper notion of complexity. The universe would have to be exquisitely complex, information-wise, for it to be described in a way to make it merely a week old. Similarly, for the cosmological horizon to be the limit of existence requires a much more complex universe, in a same clearly and coherently defined way. The universe would be “smaller” if everything beyond the horizon doesn’t exist, but the price of that smaller universe is much, much, much, MUCH more complicated laws of physics according to the rules necessary to describe those laws.
This is yet another place where human intuition goes wrong, another optical illusion that exists inside our minds. People have a psychological tendency to think that complex phenomena require complex explanations. That is not remotely true.
This conflict between our different intuitions about complexity can be seen very easily. Look at something like the Mandelbrot set. It’s a typical practice coding task to create a program that can visualize that set, and the reason why it’s practice is that it stretches skills while not being too terribly difficult. It’s just not that hard. Yet people look at the complexities of the Mandelbrot set as visualized on their screen, and they’re astounded by how simple the foundation is. This is something weird that people get wrong time and time again. This is another optical illusion. People see something complex, like the Mandelbrot set, and they intuitively want a complex explanation. But that’s not how it works. Complexity arises from simplicity. Complex outputs do not require a complex input, unlike what our brains tend to expect. I’m not immune to this illusion. When I look at the definition of the Mandelbrot set, next to a visualization of it, there’s something in my brain – in my intuition – that fractures. I cannot instinctively make sense of how something so complex can come from something so simple.
Yet it does. The Mandelbrot set is not actually complex. It is simple. It is simple according to a formal, logical, objective notion of what “complexity” actually means.
Our brains are physical things. Our perceptions rely on the physical substance of our brains. We know this. People who believe in “free will” don’t deny it. If the brain is physically altered, our perceptions are similarly altered. If the brain is damaged, our actions change. We know that our perceptions are dependent on the physical part of our brain. And yet what the “free will” people are trying to argue is that what we perceive depends not only on the brain, but also on “something more” beyond the brain. What they are arguing is the physical part is not sufficiently complex a story to explain the complex experiences that they directly perceive.
They might as well be looking at the definition of the Mandelbrot set and denying that the very same simple definition cannot possibly explain the complexity of the output.
Complexity arises from simplicity. Despite my own brain’s being flabbergasted by the fact that such a simple definition can result in such complexity, it is nevertheless true. I don’t need to posit the definition, plus “something more” in order to explain it. I can just focus on the simple definition by itself. That simple description, formally described, is my razor. We already know that the mind is dependent on our physical body. I don’t need to posit “something more”. That’s exactly the kind of extraneous stuff that a razor is supposed to cut away.
I cannot describe how the human brain works in detail. I will never be able to describe how the human brain works in detail. It’s too complex. I can use a Windows 10 computer to run a virtual machine of Windows 95, but I can’t use a Windows 10 computer to run a virtual machine of Windows 10, or even Windows 8. But if there were a Big Brain out there, a million times more powerful than any human brain such that it could encompass the entirety of the human neural system inside of its own imagination, then it would have no problem understanding our instincts, our intuitions, even our “qualia”. It would understand what we experience when we see “green”, even if it had no direct perception of the visible color spectrum itself.
People’s intuitions twitch in horror at that idea. I appreciate that. But it is, actually, a very simple idea. Complexity arises from simplicity. If you can understand the simple rules, and compute them fast enough, then that’s all that you need. There is no purpose in stating that “something more” is required. That’s just the optical illusion of our instincts at work again, the same thing that leads to the feeling of shock when we look at the simple definition of the Mandelbrot set.
Similarly we can approach the notion that the wave function just “collapses” and all of the other information disappears in a “random” puff of smoke in some discontinuous fashion that isn’t even properly defined. That is extraordinarily, hideously complex. There are much simpler explanations, and that’s true even if intuitively the other explanations don’t seem simpler to human common sense. None of this means that the simplest solution – properly defined in a rigorous mathematical way – must necessary be the correct solution. It might not be. Most of the time, it isn’t. We should be prepared to accept more complexity, whenever appropriate. It’s just the plurality of plausibility should be centered on the simplest explanation – properly defined in a rigorous mathematical way – which could explain what we see around us.
If we accept a formal mathematical notion of complexity, then all of these questions immediately answer themselves. There is no mystery remaining.
So if you come up to me and say that the laws of physics work, but only up to a point, and then suddenly a thing happens that is not, in fact, a direct result of those simple rules playing themselves out in complex ways, but rather something that is entirely independent of those previous rules… then you have just unambiguously added complexity in a formal fashion. You have made the story more complicated.
My natural reaction is to treat that idea exactly the same way I would treat the cosmological horizon as if it were the edge of existence, or that the universe is a week old. In order to describe a reality like that, I would need not only the basic laws of physics, which are relatively simple as these things go. I would also need to add a little marker of sorts in order to describe each “choice” that happened which suddenly appeared independently of those previous physical laws.
That is a complexity that is just… mind-boggling. Last Thursdayism is probably simpler.
And so that’s it. The discussion is over, from this perspective. I appreciate that your idea is an answer to my typical question: what is the physics of “free will”? No one has ever tried to answer that question for me before, and I appreciate that you actually have one. I just don’t see the point, at all, of these discontinuous aberrations from simple rules. I could ask a billion questions about how that is supposed to work (in order to describe it), and every answer to those billion questions would require a more and more and more complex description of how the universe works. There’s no point in going through that. I can simply say that a description of the universe in which things suddenly happen, which were not determined or described by the previous simple rules, is such a complex universe that it’s not worth any more consideration. My particular razor dispenses with that immediately.
In contrast, all of these issues immediately dissolve when we approach the issue from a formal definition of complexity. The universe is what it is, and it follows these rules. There is no question anymore. How do our brains work? Our brains follow the rules of the universe, just like everything else. That’s the way it seems like to me, even though it doesn’t seem like that to other people. When brains are damaged, they work differently, because brains follow physical processes. I don’t see why brains have to obey physical processes plus “something more”. It’s that extra stuff that a razor is supposed to get rid of in the first place.
I don’t see what the problem with that explanation is. It’s simple, and it can explain what we see.
And so what am I left with?
I’m talking to people who think their internal experience of “free will” says something about the laws of physics that would require a description of the universe to be much more complex than it would otherwise have to be, for psychological reasons that I cannot relate to and do not understand. And that’s the kicker here. “Free will” sounds like a neat-o thing to have, but I personally do not have the psychological impulse that other people seem to have that demands that we re-think how the laws of this universe work in order to accommodate the idea. I lack that intuition entirely.
So I’m trying to tell people, who intuitively seem to feel things that I do not intuitively feel, that they should stop listening to one part of their intuition and start listening to a different part of their intuition. I am sensitive to the strangeness of this. Truly, I am. But I’m guessing other people have seen optical illusions before. Other people have felt conflicting intuitions before, where one part of their mind says one thing and another part of their mind says something else. Other people have read about trolley problems before, and appreciate that our moral instincts can pull in different directions from the principles we think (often falsely) that we believe in. We can’t ignore psychologically compelling ideas (that’s why they are so compelling) but what we can do is look very carefully at those cases where our minds seem to be pulling in more than one direction at the same time. If we have a proper intuition about the ways that intuition can pull us in the wrong direction, then we can look for alternatives. If we can understand that our brains are shocked by the simplicity of the Mandelbrot set, despite seeing it first hand, then we can appreciate how our brains want to have complex explanations when, in fact, a simple explanation is all that is required.
When our vision is bad, we can invent a tool that helps us. The same principles applies. When our intuition about complexity is bad, we can invent a tool that helps us coherently and formally define complexity, and then rely on that tool. And thankfully, we do have this tool. We have the modern, formal notion of informational complexity.
“Something more” is not actually required. Just find the laws of physics. Then you’re done, up until the point that you see something contrary to them. That is what this particular razor dictates. I don’t see the purpose of any other razor.
With all that said, I don’t expect this to convince anyone. People cling to their intuitive notions of simplicity just as hard, if not harder, as they cling to their internal notions of “guilt merits punishment”.
You think people should give up the latter. You think people should “overcome” their intuitions about justice. But by and large, they won’t, for the same reason they won’t “overcome” their notions of “free will”. Their razor is their own intuition, used purely on its own and untempered by any external objective tool.
I personally think people should use information theory as their razor, and reject the optical illusion of thinking that complexity must necessarily be explained by complexity. This is why I think people should give up both ideas, both of “guilt merits punishment” and also “free will”. This is why I would expect that a fracturing of one idea is very likely (though not always) to be met with a fracturing of the other. But honestly, it’s highly unlikely for either idea to fracture for a general person. People love their intuitive notions. As we must. What else, ultimately, do we have? People are not always comfortable looking at optical illusions, not comfortable thinking about trolley problems, not comfortable having one set of intuitions challenged by other deeper intuitions. People have busy lives, work to do, bills to pay. It’s a privilege to be able to live a life of ideas and play intuitions off one other like playing a game.
And, ultimately, what makes the matter much easier for me than for any people is that I do not in fact have any intuitions about “free will”. On this matter, I simply do not have any subjective notion that my internal experiences are anything else than one more gear in the machinery of the universe. I honestly can’t remember when I first encountered the notion that the universe is a deterministic process, but it’s easy for me to believe that I heard that idea and went… “Yeah okay, that feels right.”
But for other people, obviously, that does not feel right for reasons that I cannot relate to and do not understand. If you say your internal perception of “free will” is strong enough that it demands complexity in order to explain the sensations that you feel inside of you, then I’m not going to argue with you. I’m not going to tell you that your instincts are absolutely wrong, that my razor is absolutely right, or anything along those lines. I mean, obviously my intuition is telling me that it’s completely fucking preposterous and not worth a second thought. But apparently, other people have different intuitions.
I don’t want to trust my intuition that the idea of “free will” is completely fucking preposterous. It’s another optical illusion. Plenty of other people, some of them smarter than me, plenty of them better human beings than me, believe in it. I should not say that my intuition definitively decides the matter, and their intuition does not. Of course, it’s difficult for me to overcome the notion of its absolute fucking preposterousness. My natural instinct is just to treat the idea with complete contempt. But I know what it’s like to have competing intuitions. In order for me to convince other people, I need to take the conflict of intuitions seriously. This is what leads me to my own razor, the objective tools at my disposal in order to decide between them. The formalization of “complexity” is in my view one of the finest achievements of the human mind.
And I think that a world in which more people took this tool seriously would be a better world than this one.