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That’s a better point IMO than the one about ‘false sense of security’ risky behavior. I’ve also noticed that, the guy at the Costco tire desk and I had trouble understanding each other especially member number, order number with masks on, and the plexiglass shield they put up. Natural tendency is to get closer, put head to side of shield, and/or pull down the mask and the last, at a good distance, might be least risky.
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Curious if there’s a hard fact source on that. Your ‘probably’ seems to imply supposition. If so I’m not sure I’d make the same guess. Supermarkets might explain a pretty small % of new infections and be outnumbered by for example people who simply aren’t paying much attention to the guidelines generally, not particularly at supermarkets but in their socializing, or the disease spreading in small social networks in case of people who are being careful in ‘the wider world’ but not as much in the smaller circle of family and close friends. I wouldn’t make a strong guess though, not having seen any stats which directly answer this. And it’s a big question IMO, whether stores with most people following the guidelines more or less are a major or minor proportion of the ongoing new cases, for example where I live (in NJ right next to NY) where the number of new cases per week at first rapidly declined from the early May peak but now seems stuck or only declining more slowly from ~1/4 of that level.
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I see people congregating, leisure or work (car wash guys now that those are open, construction crews, landscape guys planting trees etc) and many have masks. Hard to say though if they get close because they have masks. People work I think because they see no viable alternative, and how eg. do you rapidly towel down a car or plant a big tree without several people getting close? Socializing is closer to purely voluntary, but do these people actually think a mask cancels the need to stand far apart? I am not as sure that’s the reason they are standing close, or that they’d stand farther apart if the public experts reversed themselves a second time (basically) and said ‘don’t wear masks’.
I think you have somewhat of a point, but the degree I’m pretty unsure of. It’s not clear to me the moral hazard effect of masks is more than the basic benefit (of slowing down or stopping some virus laden particles coming from me, if so). Seat belts, airbags, ESC etc on cars have an obvious effect of making people feel less at risk driving so less risk averse, but it’s pretty clear they still help, net, despite that.