Of course ‘there are jobs out there.’ There are always people quitting and looking for new jobs, always new jobs opening up.
But are there enough jobs to put everyone back to work who was working at the beginning of 2008? No, we’re still millions shy.
Specifically: in January 2008, according to the BLS Current Employment Statistics survey (the survey of businesses), there were 138,365,000 nonfarm jobs in the U.S. In October 2014, that number had increased to 139,680,000, an increase of 1,315,000.
The problem is that the labor force (conservatively) increases by ~90,000 per month, on average. 81 months later, we’d need to have had an increase of 7,290,000 jobs just to keep up.
We’re about 6 million behind.
Sure, they do. And a candle gives off heat, so it technically disincentivizes you from turning on your heater. But probably not enough to make a difference.
The question is, by how much? There’s no evidence that, as currently practiced, they have much effect. Given the spartan nature of unemployment benefits and food stamps to begin with, that’s pretty believable.
It’s called ‘any port in a storm.’ If you have people who had been able to work, despite potentially being eligible for disability, and then you go for two years without being able to get an interview, of course you’re going to freakin’ apply for disability aid.
Yes, they can.
And your ‘many analysts’ would be…?
You are aware, are you not, that many employers have been discriminating on the basis of length of unemployment - that the same resume will or won’t get responses based on whether someone’s last job ended 3 months ago or 2 years ago?
What are the unintended consequences of supporting those who can’t work?
Now I’m OK with not subsidizing people who won’t work, but funny how it’s a lot harder to find people who aren’t working when the economy is booming and there are lots of jobs. Maybe you’re just blaming the victim here.
And they’ve never been anywhere near sufficient to meet the need.