# Donald Trump's 2016 General Election Campaign

**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901
**Category:** Politics & Elections
**Created:** [May 4, 2016, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901 "2016-05-04T02:37:34Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 255

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5083 "2016-08-24T02:23:00Z")

</div>

Most of Trump’s mainstream supporters will accept that he’s being political – and he’s not Hillary. So it’s all good.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5084 "2016-08-24T02:25:53Z")

</div>

I don’t think I worded that 2nd one clearly: Among Trump’s base of supporters, will they feel disillusioned enough to lower their support?

The video of Coulter freaking out on tonight’s Harball about this is pretty funny. “This could be the shortest book tour ever!”

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5085 "2016-08-24T02:28:31Z")

</div>

> [@jsc1953](#):
>
> Nate Silver’s[winding path](http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#stateorder) graphic makes this clear. If Trump wins Pennsylvania, he wins – but since Pennsylvania is farther down the list of likely states that Trump will carry, that means that he probably also won Nevada, Florida, Ohio and North Carolina. There’s nothing magical about Pennsylvania

😕 I _think_ you’ve found a roundabout way to agree with me, while adding PA “isn’t magical.” _I never said it was._

Think of it this way. Suppose you want to gamble on the election and you find a bookie willing to condition your bet on a single state. For example, you might say “If Hillary wins Florida” then my money’s on Hillary, otherwise it’s on Trump."

Which state should you choose to maximize your win probability?  
Spoiler alert: Pennsylvania.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Derleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Derleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Derleth)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 7:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5086 "2016-08-24T07:01:11Z")

</div>

> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> Tripled the space and increased the rent by 5X. And the same number of staff.
> 
> But they say that they “anticipate” more staff “soon”. Right.

So, did they increase the rent five-fold or by 500%?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_stamos_left_ear/32/3198_2.png) [@John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Stamos_Left_Ear)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 7:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5087 "2016-08-24T07:06:13Z")

</div>

> [@Derleth](#):
>
> It’s spamming, you know, and we don’t have to take it without comment.

Poor thing.

Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Jonathan\_Chance](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jonathan_chance/32/701_2.png) [@Jonathan\_Chance](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jonathan_Chance)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 10:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5088 "2016-08-24T10:12:28Z")

</div>

> [@John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](#):
>
> Poor thing.
> 
> Sent from my SM-G920P using Tapatalk

The ‘link’ issue is now officially out-of-bounds for this thread. Take it elsewhere if you must continue that discussion.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![soonerblue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/soonerblue/32/3302_2.png) [@soonerblue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/soonerblue)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 10:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5089 "2016-08-24T10:50:03Z")

</div>

> [@Catamount](#):
>
> The bolded part is one of the greatest quotes of SDMB history.  
> And so is that one.
> 
> Take a bow, \*\*Valgard \*\*and **ElvisL1ves**!

Ditto and Bravo! You people kill me. Reading this thread with my morning coffee is such a pleasure … starts my day with a smile

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Defensive\_Indifference](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/defensive_indifference/32/6502_2.png) [@Defensive\_Indifference](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Defensive_Indifference)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 1:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5090 "2016-08-24T13:07:38Z")

</div>

Trump continues to pull back from his hardline stance on undocumented immigrants. In a town hall last night, he[repeatedly said](http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/trump-softening-deportation-immigration)he would follow existing laws, and said that we have “strong laws” on immigration, which aren’t being followed aggressively enough. He even admitted that Bush and Obama have deported immigrants and that “There could certainly can be a softening [of his position] because we’re not looking to hurt people”.

Yesterday, he was saying he still planned to build the wall and have Mexico pay for it. I kind of expect him to “soften” that over time as well.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 1:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5091 "2016-08-24T13:16:30Z")

</div>

Screw the wall, it would be cheaper to put up a line of those naked Trump statues on the border.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Defensive\_Indifference](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/defensive_indifference/32/6502_2.png) [@Defensive\_Indifference](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Defensive_Indifference)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5092 "2016-08-24T14:16:18Z")

</div>

A new Monmouth poll of likely voters has Trump leading Clinton by one point in Missouri, with a 4.9% margin of error. The TPM poll tracker average has Trump ahead of Clinton by about 1.6%.

[http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/trump-leads-one-percent-missouri](http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/trump-leads-one-percent-missouri)

I would be so happy to see Missouri go for Clinton, not only because I want _every_ state to go for Clinton, but because I remember when Missouri was a pretty reliable bellwether, and I’m sick of outsiders thinking we’re a bunch of reactionary conservatives here.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![BobLibDem](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boblibdem/32/3149_2.png) [@BobLibDem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BobLibDem)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5093 "2016-08-24T14:26:20Z")

</div>

> [@Bayard](#):
>
> I would be so happy to see Missouri go for Clinton, not only because I want _every_ state to go for Clinton, but because I remember when Missouri was a pretty reliable bellwether, and I’m sick of outsiders thinking we’re a bunch of reactionary conservatives here.

I don’t think that, but it may not have helped your state’s reputation when Missouri joined the SEC.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 2:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5094 "2016-08-24T14:37:53Z")

</div>

> [@BobLibDem](#):
>
> Screw the wall, it would be cheaper to put up a line of those naked Trump statues on the border.

_That_, Mexico would pay for.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 3:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5095 "2016-08-24T15:00:47Z")

</div>

If I’m hearing today’s headlines correctly, the Clinton emails show a direct correlation between donations to the Clinton Foundation and access to the Secretary of State?

So basically, Bill was pimping out Hillary?

We need to hope that Donald regains access to his twitter account, and wins the race to the bottom.

(I can see an editorial cartoon. Hillary, tarted up, in a window a la Amsterdam; Bill lounging in the doorway, in a broad-brimmed hat and platform shoes.)

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![CarnalK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnalk/32/486_2.png) [@CarnalK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CarnalK)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 3:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5096 "2016-08-24T15:19:10Z")

</div>

> [@jsc1953](#):
>
> (I can see an editorial cartoon. Hillary, tarted up, in a window a la Amsterdam; Bill lounging in the doorway, in a broad-brimmed hat and platform shoes.)

They would never [sink](https://grrrgraphics.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/hillary_wall_street_whore_rgb.jpg?w=1168) that [low](http://conservativebyte.com/2016/02/hillary-on-wall-street-political-cartoon-a-f-branco/), would they?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 3:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5097 "2016-08-24T15:57:50Z")

</div>

> [@CarnalK](#):
>
> They would never [sink](https://grrrgraphics.files.wordpress.com/2016/04/hillary_wall_street_whore_rgb.jpg?w=1168) that [low](http://conservativebyte.com/2016/02/hillary-on-wall-street-political-cartoon-a-f-branco/), would they?

Yeah, but they’re missing the part with Bill in a zoot suit, which I think makes the image. 🙂

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5098 "2016-08-24T16:13:14Z")

</div>

Aside not intended as hi-jack: that’s a thing I really don’t understand. How many guys could get Mr. Happy to stand at attention at the prospect of boinking Ann Coulter (just for instance)? Is that the real test for a gigolo? /aside.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![irae](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/f0a364/32.png) [@irae](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/irae)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 4:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5099 "2016-08-24T16:22:40Z")

</div>

> [@JohnT](#):
>
> Since Donald Trump literally flip-flopped on the centerpiece platform on his campaign: the deportation of 11 million people and, admitting today, that his new policy is a continuation of Obama’s policy of exporting criminals:
> 
> 1. Does this increase his support among mainstream Republican voters?
> 2. Will it decrease support among Trump’s mainstream voters?

TRUMP 2016!  
‘Words on a Hat!\*’

- subject to change without notice, your mileage may vary, offer not valid in the continental United States, Alaska, or Hawaii, I am not your attorney, and nothing contained herein should be construed as legal advice, if you have an original though lasting more than 4 hours congratulations on your new personal best!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![vd](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/b19c9b/32.png) [@vd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vd)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 4:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5100 "2016-08-24T16:26:58Z")

</div>

> [@Bayard](#):
>
> Yesterday, he was saying he still planned to build the wall and have Mexico pay for it. I kind of expect him to “soften” that over time as well.

So, like, put upholstery on it or something?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 4:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5101 "2016-08-24T16:29:01Z")

</div>

> [@elucidator](#):
>
> Aside not intended as hi-jack: that’s a thing I really don’t understand. How many guys could get Mr. Happy to stand at attention at the prospect of boinking Ann Coulter (just for instance)? Is that the real test for a gigolo? /aside.

There’s some sort of Internet Rule: anything you can think of is someone’s porn fantasy. One assumes that this includes Ann Coulter.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

### Author: ![Derleth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b9e5f3/32.png) [@Derleth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Derleth)
#### Post date: [August 24, 2016, 4:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901/5102 "2016-08-24T16:34:20Z")

</div>

So, 5x or 500%?

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901.md?page=254)

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/donald-trumps-2016-general-election-campaign/753901.md?page=256)
