# Down by 8: PAT or 2 Pt Conversion?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-by-8-pat-or-2-pt-conversion/520368>\
**Category:** The Game Room\
**Created:** [December 7, 2009, 9:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-by-8-pat-or-2-pt-conversion/520368 "2009-12-07T21:30:28Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 59

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**Author:** ![borschevsky](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/97f17d/32.png) [@borschevsky](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/borschevsky)\
**Post date:** [December 8, 2009, 7:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-by-8-pat-or-2-pt-conversion/520368/59 "2009-12-08T19:32:29Z")

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> [@EllisDee](#):
>
> The second _touchdown_ is much more likely to be scored if that’s the only score you need.

This is definitely true. My argument is that this doesn’t make the overall strategy of a PAT on the first TD better. With your strategy, after you take your time, put together a good drive, and score a TD, you still have to make the 2PC. Here is how I see the two scenarios:

A. Kick the PAT on the first TD, go for two on the second TD. You need to:

- Make the PAT
- Get the ball back
- Stage a touchdown drive
- Make the 2PC

B. Go for two on the first TD. You need to:

- Make the 2PC
- Get the ball back
- Stage a touchdown drive
- Make the PAT

It seems to me that the chances of success are the same in both cases.

The advantage I am claiming is that in B, if you miss the 2PC, you have the (very small) chance to successfully rush down the field, flinging passes as you say. This has a small chance of success, but I’m claiming it has a larger chance of success than the similar situation when you fail on the 2PC after the second TD.

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