# Down Goes Eric Cantor

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [June 11, 2014, 12:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516 "2014-06-11T00:05:06Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/41 "2014-06-11T01:10:15Z")

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> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#):
>
> Can’t link to it now, but it seems Cantor’s internal polling had him up by something like 34 points. That would lead me to believe this was Democrats crossing over to screw with the election.
> 
> I could be wrong, but if I’m not, that would mean the results mean very little in regard to the immigration issue. It also pretty much hands a seat to a Teapublican.

If Democrats did cross over, his pollster is still an idiot for not accounting for that.

If Democrats can legally vote in the election, then the polls have to include Democrats. You of course weight the poll depending on what you expect turnout to look like, but the raw numbers should still be showing you something unusual, and you’d want to warn your candidate about that if you’re seeing it.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/42 "2014-06-11T01:12:37Z")

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> [@BDBoop](#):
>
> Oh they’ve been eating their own for years now. Pretty soon it’ll be “GOP, party of one!”
> 
> The word ‘RINO’ has been flying fast and furious for the past five years or so. 😉

There’s a lot of incumbents in 2010 who jumped on the Tea Party bandwagon, most notably Michelle Bachmann. Few of those incumbents were Tea Partiers.

I keep telling you guys, but you don’t believe me, that the Tea Party movement is about reform as much as about far right conservatism. There are very few Republican incumbents who the Tea party wouldn’t like to see replaced. Especially in the leadership.

If this happened once, it can happen again. Has Ohio held their primaries yet? I bet Boehner’s doing internal polling about now if not.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/43 "2014-06-11T01:16:45Z")

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> [@Fear\_Itself](#):
>
> Damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. If Republicans move further away from immigration reform, Texas will turn blue, and then it is lights out.

Texas has a long way to go before turning blue. Romney beat OBama there by 16 points. Demographic change doesn’t happen THAT fast. You’re looking at 20 years, at least, before Texas is even purple, and that assumes too much about the effect of demographic change.

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**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/44 "2014-06-11T01:19:32Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> There’s a lot of incumbents in 2010 who jumped on the Tea Party bandwagon, most notably Michelle Bachmann. Few of those incumbents were Tea Partiers.
> 
> I keep telling you guys, but you don’t believe me, that the Tea Party movement is about reform as much as about far right conservatism. There are very few Republican incumbents who the Tea party wouldn’t like to see replaced. Especially in the leadership.
> 
> If this happened once, it can happen again. Has Ohio held their primaries yet? I bet Boehner’s doing internal polling about now if not.

Boehner easily won his primary.

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**Author:** ![Rick\_Kitchen](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rick_kitchen/32/522_2.png) [@Rick\_Kitchen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rick_Kitchen)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/45 "2014-06-11T01:20:31Z")

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> [@Fiveyearlurker](#):
>
> Being anti-science is one thing but being anti-[math](http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/06/06/cantor-internal-poll-claims-34-point-lead-over-primary-opponent-brat/) is another, apparently.

Maybe Karl Rove was doing his polling for him.

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**Author:** ![BDBoop](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/5e9695/32.png) [@BDBoop](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BDBoop)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/46 "2014-06-11T01:21:06Z")

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He can win his primary and election, but I am not so sure about him holding the Speaker slot.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/47 "2014-06-11T01:22:52Z")

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Lindsey Graham is definitely endangered though, and I’d hate to lose him. He’s one of the good guys.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/48 "2014-06-11T01:23:50Z")

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> [@dalej42](#):
>
> Boehner easily won his primary.

Darn, another demonstration of how the space time continuum has it against **adaher**. 😉

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/49 "2014-06-11T01:24:47Z")

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Fun fact: Both the Democrat and Republican candidate in Cantor’s district are professors from the same college.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/50 "2014-06-11T01:26:30Z")

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Economics trumps sociology. Win for Brat.

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**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/51 "2014-06-11T01:27:11Z")

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One not so fun fact: If there is no write in or he gives it up, the Republican party lost its only Jewish member of Congress.

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**Author:** ![adaher](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/dec6dc/32.png) [@adaher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/adaher)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/52 "2014-06-11T01:29:04Z")

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I’m sure someone will convert.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![GIGObuster](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gigobuster/32/421_2.png) [@GIGObuster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GIGObuster)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/53 "2014-06-11T01:31:10Z")

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> [@adaher](#):
>
> I’m sure someone will convert.

And make the efforts from the Republicans to be more inclusive to be a joke? Well, thanks for helping.

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**Author:** ![zoid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zoid/32/336_2.png) [@zoid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/zoid)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/54 "2014-06-11T01:32:25Z")

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> [@dropzone](#):
>
> No, we said that most Tea Partiers _look_ like they are dead. Or close to it. 😉

Like the cut-off head of a rattlesnake that can still inflict a deadly bite if not properly disposed of?

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**Author:** ![Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/face_intentionally_left_blank/32/288_2.png) [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Face_Intentionally_Left_Blank)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/55 "2014-06-11T01:34:03Z")

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> [@Lamar\_Mundane](#):
>
> He might have a chance if Cantor runs as a write-in candidate. It seems that it is too late for Cantor to declare as an Independent.

Got this second-hand on another message board:

_Rachel Maddow says Virginia has a “sore-loser” law that says primary losers cannot run in the general._

Dunno if it’s true, but if so, Cantor’s gone, for at least this election.

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**Author:** ![Lobohan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lobohan/32/79_2.png) [@Lobohan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lobohan)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/56 "2014-06-11T01:39:32Z")

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Cantor has pretended, for years now, to be an utter imbecile in order to curry favor with the mouth-breathers in his party. Now, they turned on him.

That’s actually kind of sad.

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**Author:** ![Lobohan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lobohan/32/79_2.png) [@Lobohan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lobohan)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/57 "2014-06-11T01:41:00Z")

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> [@zoid](#):
>
> Like the cut-off head of a rattlesnake that can still inflict a deadly bite if not properly disposed of?

Which is why any rattlesnake disposal kit includes a golf club.

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**Author:** ![Captain\_Amazing](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/6de8d8/32.png) [@Captain\_Amazing](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Captain_Amazing)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/58 "2014-06-11T01:47:08Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> Got this second-hand on another message board:
> 
> _Rachel Maddow says Virginia has a “sore-loser” law that says primary losers cannot run in the general._
> 
> Dunno if it’s true, but if so, Cantor’s gone, for at least this election.

They can’t be on the ballot as an independent. They can run as a write in candidate. The law in question:

> [@](#):
>
> § 24.2-520. Declaration of candidacy required.
> 
> A candidate for nomination by primary for any office shall be required to file a written declaration of candidacy on a form prescribed by the State Board. The declaration shall include the name of the political party of which the candidate is a member, a designation of the office for which he is a candidate, and a statement that, if defeated in the primary, his name is not to be printed on the ballots for that office in the succeeding general election. The declaration shall be acknowledged before some officer who has the authority to take acknowledgments to deeds, or attested by two witnesses who are qualified voters of the election district.

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**Author:** ![Fiveyearlurker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/da6949/32.png) [@Fiveyearlurker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiveyearlurker)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/59 "2014-06-11T01:55:36Z")

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> [@BDBoop](#):
>
> He can win his primary and election, but I am not so sure about him holding the Speaker slot.

Please, give us Speaker Louie Gohmert. Pretty please?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![dalej42](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/67e7ee/32.png) [@dalej42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dalej42)\
**Post date:** [June 11, 2014, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/down-goes-eric-cantor/690516/60 "2014-06-11T01:58:09Z")

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I really haven’t been following the issue too much, but was it the recent rash of stories about ‘illegal aliens are being trucked in’ that did Cantor in?

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