# Drudge:  Exit polls show easy Obama win in NC

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [May 6, 2008, 9:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352 "2008-05-06T21:54:20Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 9\
**Page:** 2

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jophiel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jophiel/32/66_2.png) [@Jophiel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jophiel)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/21 "2008-05-06T23:28:27Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=Antinor01]  
I agree, but the thread is about early reports.  
[/QUOTE]  
Touché 😛

I’m just keepin’ the faith here. Don’t mind me.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![MilTan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/71e660/32.png) [@MilTan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MilTan)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/22 "2008-05-06T23:33:24Z")

</div>

Well, MSNBC calls NC for Obama as soon as the polls closed, so clearly the exits _did_ show an easy Obama victory.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Justin\_Bailey](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/justin_bailey/32/8792_2.png) [@Justin\_Bailey](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Justin_Bailey)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/23 "2008-05-06T23:36:02Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=SenorBeef]  
When I was in 5th grade, we had a similar mock election. Ross Perot won decisively, IIRC. So…  
[/QUOTE]

In our 5th grade mock election, Clinton won, but Perot spoiled it for Bush (I was one of the few Perot voters that helped put Clinton over the top).

So maybe kids can predict these things?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Biggirl](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/biggirl/32/3294_2.png) [@Biggirl](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Biggirl)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/24 "2008-05-06T23:36:34Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=MilTan]  
Well, MSNBC calls NC for Obama as soon as the polls closed, so clearly the exits _did_ show an easy Obama victory.  
[/QUOTE]

How did they do this? We’ve been yelling about this since 7:30:001 when MSNBC projected the win-- without one vote being counted?

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Antinor01](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ecae2f/32.png) [@Antinor01](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Antinor01)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/25 "2008-05-06T23:37:08Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=Jophiel]  
Touché 😛

I’m just keepin’ the faith here. Don’t mind me.  
[/QUOTE]

I’m from Ohio, so I understand the population layout of the area. That’s why I agreed. 😉

and with 19% reporting, it’s still Clinton 58 Obama 42. They’re calling NC for Obama, but not showing any reporting precincts.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Katriona](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/katriona/32/113_2.png) [@Katriona](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Katriona)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/26 "2008-05-06T23:39:01Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=SenorBeef]  
When I was in 5th grade, we had a similar mock election. Ross Perot won decisively, IIRC. So…  
[/QUOTE]

Sigh…in my 6th grade one, Carter beat Reagan quite handily.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Antinor01](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ecae2f/32.png) [@Antinor01](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Antinor01)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/27 "2008-05-06T23:40:45Z")

</div>

Hmm, someone at the CNN website messed up. They’re calling it for Obama, but showing Clinton with 73%.

ETA - Bah! Now it says Clinton 58% Obama 38%. These rapid changes are making my head spin.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/28 "2008-05-06T23:48:50Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=ElvisL1ves]  
Can anyone explain why anything Drudge posts, either way, should be taken seriously, discussed here, or even _read_? Are you all so desperate for news that you’ll even read fiction?  
[/QUOTE]  
It’s doubly bad: early exits aren’t worth shit anyway - didn’t we all figure this out by early evening on November 2, 2004? And of course when Drudge is the messenger, you _know_ it’s gotta be crap.

So yeah, there’s no angle you can look at this stuff from and see something that’s worth even a brief look.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Richard\_Parker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/35a633/32.png) [@Richard\_Parker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_Parker)\
**Post date:** [May 6, 2008, 11:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352/29 "2008-05-06T23:50:11Z")

</div>

[QUOTE=Antinor01]  
Hmm, someone at the CNN website messed up. They’re calling it for Obama, but showing Clinton with 73%.

ETA - Bah! Now it says Clinton 58% Obama 38%. These rapid changes are making my head spin.  
[/QUOTE]

The percentages reflect the relative split of all the votes counted _so far_, which don’t necessarily reflect the wider vote. So if the first 300 votes counted lean Clinton, the percentages will reflect that. The networks call it based on the exit polls. They figure out what the 99.whatever confidence interval will be, and if the margin is bigger than that, they call it.

[Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/drudge-exit-polls-show-easy-obama-win-in-nc/448352.md?page=1)
