# Election 2004 Predictions **URL:** \ **Category:** Great Debates\ **Created:** [January 16, 2004, 12:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-2004-predictions/224744 "2004-01-16T12:50:02Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 2\ **Page:** 18
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [March 4, 2004, 4:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-2004-predictions/224744/341 "2004-03-04T16:22:31Z")
[Bush](http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A26575-2004Mar3.html) (click on his pic in the upper right) [Kerry](http://www.johnkerry.com/videos/console.php?video=022704_word#022704_word) I think [Josh Marshall](http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/week_2004_02_29.html#002626)’s right about the first one: it’s a little late in the day for saying, “things are a mess because of Clinton and 9/11.” The last two are better. I think Kerry’s “Keep Our Word” commercial is devastatingly good. ---
**Author:** ![ElvisL1ves](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/5daacb/32.png) [@ElvisL1ves](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ElvisL1ves)\ **Post date:** [March 5, 2004, 9:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-2004-predictions/224744/342 "2004-03-05T21:49:54Z")
> [@RTFirefly](#): > > I believe it will _probably_ be close. > > But I really do think there’s about a one-in-ten chance of a Dem landslide in November, a 1994-in-reverse gullywasher where they retake not only the Presidency by a large margin, but also at least one house of Congress. I’d go better than that - a one in \*two \* chance of a Kerry landslide (which in the US means about 53% +), with the Senate going Democratic. The House may be out of play for a while, after DeLay’s redistricting scheme. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-2004-predictions/224744.md?page=17)