# Election Day Omnibus thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 19

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/361 "2024-11-06T00:07:48Z")

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Times calls IN for Trump

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/362 "2024-11-06T00:07:54Z")

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> [@wolfpup](#):
>
> In case anyone wonders why we Canadians will be drinking heavily tonight, aside from the fact that major events within the US inevitably affect Canada, too, I’ve seen estimates that a Trump presidency would cause the national GDP to fall by several percentage points.

Well, that and the fact that Trump only pays attention to us when he’s calling us a national threat, and tariffs need to be levied on our steel and aluminum.

“Canada? Never heard of him. Maybe he brought me coffee once; I dunno.”

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/363 "2024-11-06T00:08:56Z")

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Yeah, Florida is going to be a bloodbath. Whether that just serves to weaken the NPV/EC divide remains to be seen.

ETA: Broward 5% worse for Harris than Biden. Unless the Early Vote v. in-person vote is very different from the past this is not good fro her at all.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/364 "2024-11-06T00:15:17Z")

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The msnbc panel believes that Florida is picking up people from the Midwest.

Harris is leading in ga.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/365 "2024-11-06T00:15:54Z")

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Douglas County, GA (just outside of Atlanta) she’s polling at 66% when Biden won it at 62%, with 74% reporting.

Rockdale County, GA she’s at 75.5%, Biden was at 70%, with same 74% reporting right now.

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**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/366 "2024-11-06T00:16:12Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> The msnbc panel believes that Florida is picking up people from the Midwest

Huh?

Do they mean that a lot of people have recently moved to Florida from the Midwest?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/367 "2024-11-06T00:16:59Z")

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So of course the big question is how GOP-leaning, if at all, is the Election Day vote vs. the early vote. If she can hold that margin it will be very close (raw vote margin, not percentage margin).

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/368 "2024-11-06T00:17:13Z")

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Yes, that’s what they’re saying. Lots of conservatives have moved to Florida, and that’s tilting the state more conservative.

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**Author:** ![Procrustus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/procrustus/32/2994_2.png) [@Procrustus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Procrustus)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/369 "2024-11-06T00:17:32Z")

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> [@Win\_Place\_Show](#):
>
> Douglas County, GA (just outside of Atlanta) she’s polling at 66% when Biden won it at 62%, with 74% reporting.

that sounds good. Nothing at all yet from Cobb County, so we have a long night ahead I think

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/370 "2024-11-06T00:18:08Z")

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Yes. Republicans moving to Florida.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/371 "2024-11-06T00:19:16Z")

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> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> Lots of conservatives have moved to Florida, and that’s tilting the state more conservative.

And probably also affected by progressives/LGBTQ/women moving _out_ of Florida.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/372 "2024-11-06T00:20:27Z")

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> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> Yes, that’s what they’re saying. Lots of conservatives have moved to Florida, and that’s tilting the state more conservative.

As long as they’re moving from Midwestern swing States, that seems like a net win.

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/373 "2024-11-06T00:21:35Z")

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> [@Chronos](#):
>
> Surely, the exit polls would also include, you know, “Who did you just vote for?”.

Yes, but they then have to get the actuals for the precincts that were exit polled, and weight the exit poll results accordingly. That takes time.

The initial raw exit poll horse race results might be less accurate than pre-election polling.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/374 "2024-11-06T00:22:35Z")

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That is the thinking of the panel.

Ga is looking good. There are counties that are going a bit longer due to the threats earlier today.

North Carolina is closing at 7:30 eastern.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/375 "2024-11-06T00:24:06Z")

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Answered by @rocking_chair. 🙂

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/376 "2024-11-06T00:26:09Z")

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CNN is interviewing a young guy in NC whose girlfriend told him she’d dump him if he didn’t vote for Harris. He was planning to stay home and eat chips instead.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/377 "2024-11-06T00:28:27Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> CNN is interviewing a young guy whose girlfriend told him she’d dump him if he didn’t vote for Harris. He was planning to stay home and eat chips instead.

I’m sure she can get away with that, but Is it really legal?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/378 "2024-11-06T00:28:33Z")

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AP seems to have Trump winning 19-3 right now, having called Indiana and Kentucky for Trump, and only Vermont for Harris.

I assume it’s not too late for Trump to declare victory, and any change in the results after now is evidence of fraud.

> [@PhillyGuy](#):
>
> I’m sure she can get away with that, but Is it really legal?

Are you asking if it’s legal to dump someone for who they voted for? What crime would she have committed?

(Also, she has no way to confirm who he voted for, so all he has to do is lie.)

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/379 "2024-11-06T00:28:52Z")

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Sounds like he’s single, ladies!

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/380 "2024-11-06T00:28:56Z")

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> [@PhillyGuy](#):
>
> but Is it really legal?

Eating chips on a Tuesday? I don’t see why not. 🙂

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