# Election Day Omnibus thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 25
**Author:** ![Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mean_mr.mustard/32/3865_2.png) [@Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mean_Mr.Mustard)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/481 "2024-11-06T01:20:24Z")
Michigan senate has Slotkin (D) at 65.7% (just 3% of vote in). mmm ---
**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/482 "2024-11-06T01:21:09Z")
I’m sitting at a table with my cousin who is going deep into PA county by county results, and feeling very optimistic for Harris…. What happens if we hold PA but lose Georgia and Arizona? ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/483 "2024-11-06T01:21:37Z")
Weakness in VA is not a good sign. I don’t see how she carries NC if VA is too close to call with a third of the vote in. Not a great sign for PA either. I know folks are looking at overall totals, but you need to drill down more to see what the trends are. So far they are: rurals even more pro-Trump than before, suburbs marginally stronger for Harris, weakness in urban areas. Kornacki seems to be resigned that GA is lost. ---
**Author:** ![DigitalC](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ebca7d/32.png) [@DigitalC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DigitalC)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/484 "2024-11-06T01:21:48Z")
> [@MaxTheVool](#): > > What happens if we hold PA but lose Georgia and Arizona? If we hold the blue wall we win, PA MI WI ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/485 "2024-11-06T01:21:50Z")
Hold penn, mich, and wis Harris win. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/486 "2024-11-06T01:21:55Z")
> [@MaxTheVool](#): > > What happens if we hold PA but lose Georgia and Arizona? Depends on MI and WI. If she holds those three it’s fine. ---
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/487 "2024-11-06T01:22:36Z")
> [@Loach](#): > > As Rachel Maddow just said, we should be able to figure this out by now. I think they have figured it out. They (ie Republicans) figured out that if they didn’t give urban areas enough voting machines they can keep power. 😠 ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/488 "2024-11-06T01:22:38Z")
Arthur Negus has held Bristols. That’s not a result, just a bit of gossip. ---
**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/489 "2024-11-06T01:22:40Z")
> [@Catamount](#): > > YES! Good news at last! I feel pretty good about that too, ironically since Harris is only leading at 51%. Harris’s lead, which is in line with polling, implies that the mere 8% counted so far in NC is not misrepresentative of the state as a whole, and Stein is leading 58-37. ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/490 "2024-11-06T01:25:03Z")
> [@rocking\_chair](#): > > Hold penn, mich, and wis Harris win. You sound more confident than I would be that a 270 - 268 win would hold up for the next two months. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/491 "2024-11-06T01:25:32Z")
The NYT needle is live. And says Trump 277 EV. ---
**Author:** ![JaneDoe42](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/janedoe42/32/14104_2.png) [@JaneDoe42](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JaneDoe42)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/492 "2024-11-06T01:26:09Z")
> [@Buck\_Godot](#): > > I think they have figured it out. They (ie Republicans) figured out that if they didn’t give urban areas enough voting machines they can keep power. 😠 There are four voting machines for Logan County WV. Four. And there are two districts in Logan County WV, so today there were two machines for our district and two machines for the other district. Yeah, I know this is a small county but only four machines? ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/493 "2024-11-06T01:26:51Z")
> [@Atamasama](#): > > > [@Win\_Place\_Show](#): > > > > Is anybody hearing anything negative out of Wisconsin?? > > I’m searching and can’t find anything out of that state suggesting anything either way. Yeah, I can’t figure it out - somehow she’s down to 48% to win Wisconsin over there now (Predictit). ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/494 "2024-11-06T01:27:19Z")
> [@Win\_Place\_Show](#): > > somehow she’s down to 48% to win Wisconsin over there now (Predictit). A fool and his money… ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/495 "2024-11-06T01:27:33Z")
SC to Trump. So far all the states that have been called were safe bets. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/496 "2024-11-06T01:27:46Z")
> [@Atamasama](#): > > Harris is leading in Ohio… I did not expect that state to be competitive. Biden also started out ahead in Ohio. It’s just where the first results come from. ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/497 "2024-11-06T01:27:47Z")
> [@Buck\_Godot](#): > > > [@Loach](#): > > > > As Rachel Maddow just said, we should be able to figure this out by now. > > I think they have figured it out. They (ie Republicans) figured out that if they didn’t give urban areas enough voting machines they can keep power. 😠 That would make sense if only democrat areas in republican held states were having issues. That’s not the case. ---
**Author:** ![Nicest\_of\_the\_Damned](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/8baadc/32.png) [@Nicest\_of\_the\_Damned](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nicest_of_the_Damned)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/498 "2024-11-06T01:28:03Z")
> **[What We’ll Know and When We’ll Know It: A Guide to Election Night](https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/05/upshot/election-night-guide.html?unlocked_article_code=1.X04.WiAj.hKbAAvdNc0BA&smid=url-share)** > > The vote count will still feature “blue mirages” and “red mirages,” but they won’t be as extreme as in 2020. ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/499 "2024-11-06T01:30:03Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > The NYT needle is live. And says Trump 277 EV. Thank you - looks like this is open to anyone, so no need for a gift link for non-subscribers. > **[The Needle: Live 2024 Presidential Election Forecast](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html)** > > Follow real-time estimates from The New York Times of the outcome in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/500 "2024-11-06T01:30:52Z")
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