# Election Day Omnibus thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 27
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/521 "2024-11-06T01:40:27Z")
> [@Smapti](#): > > Nothing so far gives me any cause for concern. You’re a more sanguine person than I am. I would bet heavily on Trump right now. That seems to match what the betting markets are saying. ---
**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/522 "2024-11-06T01:41:12Z")
> [@susan](#): > > Sorry. Both D. Thanks! ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/523 "2024-11-06T01:41:18Z")
GA does no look good for Harris. FL goes to Trump. A lot of fantasies crushed with that one. ---
**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/524 "2024-11-06T01:42:29Z")
Looking a NYTimes the only thing that isn’t either going as expected or a tossup is GA “leaning” Trump. So not great but not over. ---
**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/525 "2024-11-06T01:42:39Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#): > > GA does no look good for Harris. Yeah, and that one pisses me off. I know there are some … rural … counties where Trump is a shoo-in, but for people actually following the news/paying attention … really? ---
**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/526 "2024-11-06T01:44:11Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > I would bet heavily on Trump right now. That seems to match what the betting markets are saying. I wouldn’t be too bothered by betting markets. Remember, they’re trying to balance their book, so they make money no matter who wins. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/527 "2024-11-06T01:44:22Z")
I’m going to try to just not watch or listen for an hour or so. The sizable systemic error for Harris that I was hoping for does not seem to be showing up. Oof. ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/528 "2024-11-06T01:44:48Z")
> [@DSeid](#): > > The sizable systemic error for Harris that I was hoping for does not seem to be showing up. Understatement of the night. ---
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/529 "2024-11-06T01:44:49Z")
> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#): > > FL goes to Trump. A lot of fantasies crushed with that one. Unrealistic fantasies IMO > [@Buck\_Godot](#): > > Looking a NYTimes the only thing that isn’t either going as expected or a tossup is GA “leaning” Trump. > > So not great but not over. Lose Georgia but win North Carolina is break even. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/530 "2024-11-06T01:45:14Z")
Harris is significantly outperforming Biden is key counties in Pennsylvania so far. ALL of them, from what I can see; Allegheny (that’s Pittsburgh) Philadelphia, Dauphin (Harrisburg) Erie, Lackawanna (Scranton) and Montgomery. I don’t see below the county level though, and of course counties are not universally the same in all polling places. She needs more than PA, but she does need it. ---
**Author:** ![bordelond](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bordelond/32/150_2.png) [@bordelond](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bordelond)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/531 "2024-11-06T01:45:37Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > Lose Georgia but win North Carolina is break even. Correct. ---
**Author:** ![CairoCarol](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/cairocarol/32/3825_2.png) [@CairoCarol](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CairoCarol)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/532 "2024-11-06T01:45:45Z")
I won’t post or read for a while since I’m off to my wake/party/hospital hand-holding. At least it is good to have a place to go where I will be surrounded by like-minded people, whatever news comes in. ---
**Author:** ![BlankSlate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/blankslate/32/80_2.png) [@BlankSlate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BlankSlate)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/533 "2024-11-06T01:46:25Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > Unrealistic fantasies IMO True, but Biden only lost Florida by 4 percent. It’s the margin that gives me pause. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/534 "2024-11-06T01:46:57Z")
PA is looking good for Harris so far. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/535 "2024-11-06T01:47:03Z")
I was merely using that to backup my initial reading. GA is likely gone, and I have big doubts for NC based on VA. Which leaves the blue wall. So, absolutely best case we are counting PA and WI for a few days and Harris ekes it out. But I would not bet heavily on that. About the only thing I can see changing things right now is if the suburban counties come in a bit heavier for Harris than it seems right now and the election-day vote is not as pro-GOP as it normally is. ---
**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/536 "2024-11-06T01:47:21Z")
@Smapti , right now, I hope you were correct with your “early red wave” comment that you made previously. Gosh, when are we going to get some blue states with more than single-digit EVs? ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/537 "2024-11-06T01:48:44Z")
Exactly. Biden romped in VA and held close in FL. The opposite is happening this year. I don’t see how that can spell good news in NC and GA. Similarly we don’t have a call in IL yet. Again, maybe we get lucky and PA/WI/MI and more resilient than FL/GA/NC (and maybe VA?). ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/538 "2024-11-06T01:48:58Z")
They’re holding off on calling states like IL or NY that are 99.9% certain to go to Harris, which is a little annoying. ---
**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/539 "2024-11-06T01:49:54Z")
NYT shows 71-101. Includes Illinois. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/540 "2024-11-06T01:51:25Z")
> [@Smapti](#): > > Nothing so far gives me any cause for concern. I’m frickin’ shaking here. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683.md?page=26) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683.md?page=28)