# Election Day Omnibus thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 28

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**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/541 "2024-11-06T01:51:35Z")

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> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> FL goes to Trump. A lot of fantasies crushed with that one.

Yeah I didn’t understand that. It wasn’t ever going to happen.

New Jersey being called for Harris. As expected. Normally would have been apparent earlier except for the delays in voting.

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/542 "2024-11-06T01:51:45Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> They’re holding off on calling states like IL or NY that are 99.9% certain to go to Harris, which is a little annoying.

“Annoying” is a bit of an understatement. Trump’s heading into the clubhouse turn while Harris is having trouble leaving the gate. I’d like to see a bit more of a horserace.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/543 "2024-11-06T01:52:32Z")

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Yeah, Virginia is a terrible sign. Harris will win it in all likelihood but not by a lot.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/544 "2024-11-06T01:52:57Z")

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Someone on MSNBC saying there is a lot of D vote left in GA. In VA, in 2016 Trump had an early lead before the vote from Northern VA came in

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/545 "2024-11-06T01:53:05Z")

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So, I’m hearing that:

1. early votes are coming in first this time as opposed to coming in later in 2020
2. with early votes being counted first this time, Harris will hit her peak early, only to have it trickle away because day-of votes will benefit Trump.

I dont think this is necessarily true. More Republicans are voting early this time than they did in '16 and ‘20. I suspect as day-of votes get counted, we won’t necessarily see Harris’ lead get chipped away too much. The percentage of Republicans voting early has increased substantially since '20.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/546 "2024-11-06T01:53:08Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> Yeah, Virginia is a terrible sign. Harris will win it in all likelihood but not by a lot.

Hope you are right but I’m turning it off.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/547 "2024-11-06T01:53:24Z")

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> [@Spoons](#):
>
> “Annoying” is a bit of an understatement. Trump’s heading into the clubhouse turn while Harris is having trouble leaving the gate. I’d like to see a bit more of a horserace.

It’s time zones. If it makes you feel better, assign California to Harris, she’s already won it whatever CNN colors it on the map.

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**Author:** ![Moriarty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/moriarty/32/49_2.png) [@Moriarty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Moriarty)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/548 "2024-11-06T01:53:51Z")

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> [@BlankSlate](#):
>
> Biden only lost Florida by 4 percent. It’s the margin that gives me pause.

A lot of MAGA minded people moved to Florida over the last 4 years, since DeSantis pushed back strongly against closing down businesses.

So the Republican ranks swelled from when Biden ran.

Florida also failed to pass the pot amendment (it got a majority, but Florida requires 60% to pass). The Abortion amendment isn’t winning right now, either.

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/549 "2024-11-06T01:54:25Z")

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Not to pick on him but I haven’t noticed any recent posts by @Velocity. I think we can probably rule out Harris land slide.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/550 "2024-11-06T01:54:25Z")

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Harris is leading Kansas, which is… weird.

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**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/551 "2024-11-06T01:54:39Z")

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> [@Mike\_Mabes](#):
>
> In VA, in 2016 Trump had an early lead before the vote from Northern VA came in

Very solid blue up here. We used a drop box last week, FWIW.

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**Author:** ![Sicks\_Ate](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/258eb7/32.png) [@Sicks\_Ate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sicks_Ate)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/552 "2024-11-06T01:54:52Z")

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That was all me. You’re welcome.

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**Author:** ![CorpusNeptune](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/corpusneptune/32/17561_2.png) [@CorpusNeptune](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CorpusNeptune)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/553 "2024-11-06T01:54:54Z")

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I’m simply so worried for my transgender friends, as well as myself. I worry for the worst. I could use some reassuring.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![CorpusNeptune](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/corpusneptune/32/17561_2.png) [@CorpusNeptune](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/CorpusNeptune)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/554 "2024-11-06T01:55:05Z")

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Oops, didn’t mean to reply to that post.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/555 "2024-11-06T01:55:15Z")

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I’ve never thought Velocity was serious with those crazy prediction.

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**Author:** ![thorny\_locust](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thorny_locust/32/431_2.png) [@thorny\_locust](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/thorny_locust)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/556 "2024-11-06T01:55:21Z")

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> [@Spoons](#):
>
> when are we going to get some blue states with more than single-digit EVs?

NY polls close in five minutes.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/557 "2024-11-06T01:55:25Z")

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The west is closing in a few minutes. That will add to her total.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/558 "2024-11-06T01:55:52Z")

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Us, too. Keep breathing.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/559 "2024-11-06T01:57:15Z")

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> [@thorny\_locust](#):
>
> NY polls close in five minutes.

Thankfully!

(And thank you for that info. It is encouraging.)

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/560 "2024-11-06T01:57:30Z")

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I think you timing is off. It’s 6 pm on the west coast.

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