# Election Day Omnibus thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 29

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/561 "2024-11-06T01:57:58Z")

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> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> FL goes to Trump. A lot of fantasies crushed with that one.

I said it was an outside chance.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/562 "2024-11-06T01:58:07Z")

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AZ expects to release 1.2 million votes, cast through 10/29, at 8 PM local time.

Detroit hasn’t released ANY votes yet.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/563 "2024-11-06T01:59:24Z")

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> [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](#):
>
> I’ve never thought Velocity was serious with those crazy prediction.

He’s got a history of these “pie in the sky” predictions like [Hillary would get 358 EV’s](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/presidential-results-prediction-thread/769319/14) and that [Biden would coast to victory with 400 EV’s and D’s would get 54 Senate seats](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/5).

If this continues down the path we’re headed, then I think we can put a handful of these guys’ rose-colored glasses in a fucking blender.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/564 "2024-11-06T01:59:41Z")

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Arizona,Michigan, Wisconsin etc. not west coast. Central and mountain time are heading to the close.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/565 "2024-11-06T02:00:13Z")

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NYTimes. MSNBC.  
So far outside it’s somewhere waaaaaay down the street.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/566 "2024-11-06T02:01:21Z")

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Trump: TX, ND, SD, WY

Still no surprises, but they’re REALLY dragging their heels on calling the safe blue states.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/567 "2024-11-06T02:01:27Z")

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Michigan’s weird in that it’s an East Coast time zone state, except for like one or two counties in the UP, which makes it officially a 9pm/Central end-time.

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/568 "2024-11-06T02:01:48Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> … mountain time …

I’m in Mountain time. Currently 7 pm Mountain time, 6 pm Pacific, 8 pm Central.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/569 "2024-11-06T02:02:49Z")

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Texas to trump  
Dakotas to trump  
Wyoming to trump

154 to trump 30 to harris

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/570 "2024-11-06T02:03:58Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Still no surprises, but they’re REALLY dragging their heels on calling the safe blue states.

Because the votes are not there. VA is currently Trump+1.3% with over half the vote counted.

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**Author:** ![Ludovic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/7ab992/32.png) [@Ludovic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ludovic)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/571 "2024-11-06T02:04:14Z")

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Georgia still looks doable but iffy. Harris down by 200,000, but Democrat strongholds have higher than average pending returns. Some counties that broke for Biden last time in the southwest have had _no_ returns.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/572 "2024-11-06T02:04:40Z")

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AP has 99 to 120.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/573 "2024-11-06T02:04:49Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Allred is leading in TX at the moment.

And now with 58% in, Cancun Cruz is leading 51.4% to 46.6%.

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**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/574 "2024-11-06T02:04:52Z")

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Here’s a metaphor for us Canadians here. I switched over to the Senators hockey game for a minute of respite

Start of third period, the Sabers score two quick goals.

Sigh.

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/575 "2024-11-06T02:05:01Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Still no surprises, but they’re REALLY dragging their heels on calling the safe blue states.

Yes, and I’d like to see that change. I guess that now that we’ve hit the top of the hour, more states will close and we should see more results. Thankfully, there’s plenty of beer in the fridge.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/576 "2024-11-06T02:07:00Z")

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Abortion rights fail in Florida (57% didn’t meet 60% threshhold to pass). Called per MSNBC.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/577 "2024-11-06T02:08:25Z")

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Alright, I don’t like the way Georgia is going, but there are still a LOT of outstanding votes in Atlanta.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/578 "2024-11-06T02:08:41Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Detroit hasn’t released ANY votes yet.

Neighboring Oakland County is almost exactly the same as 2020.

Anyway, Trump’s victory looks very likely now, but it’s not certain if Harris can win the PA-MI-WI states.

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**Author:** ![Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiendish_astronaut/32/3295_2.png) [@Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiendish_Astronaut)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/579 "2024-11-06T02:08:51Z")

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My assumption that county by county comparisons to 2020 are a bit misleading because the motivations for people voting are very different this time around.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/580 "2024-11-06T02:09:02Z")

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Yeah, it looks pretty red at the moment. I don’t know if there are enough outstanding votes to boost Harris.

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