# Election Day Omnibus thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 33
**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/641 "2024-11-06T02:54:43Z")
What’s going on in Iowa? Potential Harris steal? ---
**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/642 "2024-11-06T02:55:41Z")
Georgia went blue in 2020 _very_ late in the counting. Still could; there are a lot of uncounted voted in the Atlanta area. It’s hard to be optimistic about North Carolina. Virginia is tight but I have more hope for that. Pennsylvania actually looks good at this point. The largest unreported counties are Harris counties (NBC’s maps). ---
**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/643 "2024-11-06T02:56:23Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > What’s going on in Iowa? Potential Harris steal? 27% of the vote in, she’s ahead, too early to draw meaningful conclusions. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/644 "2024-11-06T02:56:46Z")
I feel like at least one or two of the battlegrounds usually get called by now. So far - nothing. ---
**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/645 "2024-11-06T02:57:20Z")
The NYT estimate for Trump in PA keeps going higher and higher, right now it’s at 1.2%. It’s still early but the trend is not looking good… ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/646 "2024-11-06T02:58:16Z")
Yup, all three of WI, MI, and PA are at least 55% Trump. Harris, obviously, needs them all. Still time and lots of votes out, but whatever is driving the model is not happy. And after 2016 I’ve learned not to mistrust the Needle. ETA: Up to 73% chance Trump wins per the NYT. ---
**Author:** ![Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mean_mr.mustard/32/3865_2.png) [@Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mean_Mr.Mustard)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/647 "2024-11-06T02:58:29Z")
I feel sick. mmm ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/648 "2024-11-06T02:58:32Z")
Phila will have a big dump of early vote around about midnight. This is from an interview with Jake on MSNBC, he is at the counting centre for phila. phila is on same day vote now. ---
**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/649 "2024-11-06T02:58:49Z")
Good lord, even her forecasted _popular vote_ margin keeps shrinking every 20 minutes on the NY Times “needle”. Now down to Even. > **[The Needle: Live 2024 Presidential Election Forecast](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html)** > > Follow real-time estimates from The New York Times of the outcome in the race between Kamala Harris and Donald J. Trump. ---
**Author:** ![Folly](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/folly/32/3219_2.png) [@Folly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Folly)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/650 "2024-11-06T02:58:52Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > What’s going on in Iowa? Potential Harris steal? Phrasing please… ---
**Author:** ![Loach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/loach/32/350_2.png) [@Loach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Loach)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/651 "2024-11-06T02:58:59Z")
> [@MaxTheVool](#): > > Does anyone have an overall theory of how Harris is possibly doing worse than Biden, despite J6, Roe, and the total deterioration of Trump? Immigration and inflation and trying to overcome the feeling that they were better off 4 years ago. Feelings are hard to fight. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/652 "2024-11-06T02:59:56Z")
The nausea has started to eat away at the optimism. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/653 "2024-11-06T03:00:57Z")
Trump: MT, UT STILL no surprises. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/654 "2024-11-06T03:01:01Z")
Every PA county that has fully reported are better for Trump than 2020. Lackawanna by a lot. PA looks very bad to my eyes, unless Philly just blew the doors off today. ---
**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/655 "2024-11-06T03:01:05Z")
It’s patriarchy’s last stand, and it’s a woman their candidate is up against. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/656 "2024-11-06T03:01:34Z")
Utah and Montana to trump. ---
**Author:** ![velomont](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/v/8491ac/32.png) [@velomont](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/velomont)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/657 "2024-11-06T03:02:17Z")
> [@Mean\_Mr.Mustard](#): > > I feel sick. This > [@rocking\_chair](#): > > The nausea has started to eat away at the optimism. And this. It’s completely unbelievable that voters can validate Trump’s behaviour. ---
**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/658 "2024-11-06T03:02:19Z")
The main hope is that the unusual nature of the 2020 election with many more mail-in ballots than usual might throw off a forecasting model like the Needle. Right now Trump is at +1.5% in PA… ---
**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/659 "2024-11-06T03:02:39Z")
Looks like VA is leaning to Harris! ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/660 "2024-11-06T03:03:39Z")
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