# Election Day Omnibus thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 34
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/661 "2024-11-06T03:04:21Z")
The fact that we are celebrating a lead in VA at 9pm CT is a horrible thing… ---
**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/662 "2024-11-06T03:05:18Z")
PA ping ponging back and forth…. We need some serious analysis of where the remaining votes are from ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/663 "2024-11-06T03:05:35Z")
In a bizarre twist I’m now fairly sure Trump will win the national popular vote. But it’s actually still possible he could narrowly lose the electoral vote, which would be the funniest possible result. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/664 "2024-11-06T03:05:43Z")
And now NYT has a Trump popular vote lead. ETA: And he takes the lead in PA. Looking like a wipeout, I’m afraid. AtlasIntel was right all along! ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/665 "2024-11-06T03:06:08Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > In a bizarre twist I’m now fairly sure Trump will win the national popular vote. > [@Jas09](#): > > And now NYT has a Trump popular vote lead. I believe both of you have forgotten that California is a place that exists. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/666 "2024-11-06T03:08:26Z")
No, it’s a projection. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/667 "2024-11-06T03:08:28Z")
> [@Smapti](#): > > I believe both of you have forgotten that California is a place that exists. No, I have not. But Trump campaigned there and I strongly suspect that while he will of course lose it, he’ll lose it by a narrower margin, while he is clearly going to win states like Texas and Florida (amusingly claimed to be swing states by some) by much bigger margins than expected. ---
**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/668 "2024-11-06T03:09:14Z")
Trump is now up in the actual count in PA. The NYT estimate is +1.9. We may actually know the winner by the end of the day… ---
**Author:** ![wguy123](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wguy123/32/3161_2.png) [@wguy123](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wguy123)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/669 "2024-11-06T03:09:48Z")
> [@Lantern2](#): > > We may actually know the winner by the end of the day… 🤮 ---
**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/670 "2024-11-06T03:09:54Z")
Yeah… if it’s Trump. A Harris victory would take a few days. Sad. Are we really doing this again? The whole 2016 thing? The big WTF?? ---
**Author:** ![HEMAblerd313](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/e36b37/32.png) [@HEMAblerd313](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HEMAblerd313)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/671 "2024-11-06T03:10:17Z")
This is really, REALLY heartbreaking… ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_fun_ball/32/17664_2.png) [@Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Fun_Ball)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/672 "2024-11-06T03:11:12Z")
There is a 0% chance he wins the popular vote. What do you want to bet? How about a $100 bottle of cognac or bourbon? ---
**Author:** ![DinoR](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dinor/32/2821_2.png) [@DinoR](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DinoR)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/673 "2024-11-06T03:11:25Z")
> [@MaxTheVool](#): > > Does anyone have an overall theory of how Harris is possibly doing worse than Biden Republican GOTV was pretty succesful. In the four swing states that have partisan registration they added more new Republicans than new Democrats. NBC did exit [polling](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/exit-polls) in what they called eight key states. A couple relevant takeaways: - Trump got 45% of the overall Hispanic/Latino vote. He only managed 32% against Biden. - Trump got 55% of the Hispanic/Latino male vote. Biden won that demographic comfortably. - Harris is only getting 54% of the union household vote. That’s more like 2016 when Trump made big inroads in the upper midwest among that demographic and less like 2020 when most of the 2016 union household Trump vote swung back to Biden. ---
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/674 "2024-11-06T03:11:34Z")
Colorado to harris ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/675 "2024-11-06T03:12:20Z")
I would absolutely take that bet if betting were allowed on this board. I think it’s more likely than not that Trump wins the popular vote and probably 80% or more that he wins the EC at this point. ---
**Author:** ![PastTense](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pasttense/32/14550_2.png) [@PastTense](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PastTense)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/676 "2024-11-06T03:12:33Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > What’s going on in Iowa? Abortion is the explanation most commonly given: the state is majority pro-choice, but the legislative passed abortion legislation banning abortion after 6 weeks a few months ago. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_fun_ball/32/17664_2.png) [@Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Fun_Ball)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/677 "2024-11-06T03:14:36Z")
Wait, is it not allowed on this board? I remember several times back in the day that these kinds of bets were made. ---
**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/678 "2024-11-06T03:14:36Z")
NYT needle shows 80% chance of Trump victory. Shit! ---
**Author:** ![Lord\_Feldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lord_feldon/32/341_2.png) [@Lord\_Feldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Feldon)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/679 "2024-11-06T03:14:49Z")
> [@Saint\_Cad](#): > > What’s going on in Iowa? Potential Harris steal? I don’t think so, the counties that seem to be completely or almost completely counted have swung to the right. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/680 "2024-11-06T03:15:24Z")
The overwhelming majority of outstanding votes in GA are in Atlanta, Savannah, and Columbus. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683.md?page=33) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683.md?page=35)