# Election Day Omnibus thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 36

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**Author:** ![don\_t\_ask](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@don\_t\_ask](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/don_t_ask)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/701 "2024-11-06T03:24:14Z")

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Is it really neck and neck? I can $11 about Harris on Betfair.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/702 "2024-11-06T03:24:24Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> “TRUMP IS GOING TO WIN AND THERE’S NOTHING WE CAN DO ABOUT IT” has been the consensus on this board for at least the last year and a half.

No, there’s been a handful of us cautioning “calm your tits” to our friends like @Aeschines and @Velocity who started telling us months ago that the game was over and we should start firing up the cigars.

The best analogy I can think of is these college football dopes who have an open field to the end zone, and they get a little full of themselves, and release the ball a yard shy of the goal line because they think it makes them “look cool”.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/703 "2024-11-06T03:24:34Z")

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> [@Saint\_Cad](#):
>
> Still worried about GA & NC. Even if Harris wins one or both, it will be close enough for lawsuits and recounts.

GA and NC are both lost. There will be no recounts in either. Trump will win by more than 1%.

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**Author:** ![Peter\_Morris](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/peter_morris/32/359_2.png) [@Peter\_Morris](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Peter_Morris)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/704 "2024-11-06T03:24:36Z")

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> [@Aspenglow](#):
>
> The rules have changed. No betting of any kind on the Board.

IIRC we are allowed to bet [quatloos](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Gamesters_of_Triskelion), or other fictional currency.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/705 "2024-11-06T03:25:46Z")

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Sure, knock yourself out.

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**Author:** ![Lord\_Feldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lord_feldon/32/341_2.png) [@Lord\_Feldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lord_Feldon)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/706 "2024-11-06T03:26:13Z")

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We’re never getting a competent response to an economic crisis again. People prefer prolonged unemployment to even a little blip of inflation (even if that’s matched by wage gains). I suppose it makes sense if you consider that only ~60ish percent of voters are workers, but all of them are consumers.

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**Author:** ![Precambrianmollusc](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/precambrianmollusc/32/63_2.png) [@Precambrianmollusc](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Precambrianmollusc)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/707 "2024-11-06T03:27:23Z")

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Do you remember what % of vote was in at midnight ? ( I am hopeful that things will pan out but we are at 88% .  
I know that is not a garunteed number of votes left but Harris would need something like 63% of the remaining votes

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/708 "2024-11-06T03:27:48Z")

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> [@Kent\_Clark](#):
>
> Sherrod Brown is losing in Ohio. The race hasn’t been called, but it’s not looking good.

That surprises me! Damn.

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**Author:** ![sciurophobic](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/cab0a1/32.png) [@sciurophobic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sciurophobic)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/709 "2024-11-06T03:27:51Z")

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So all the polls showing that women will overwhelmingly support Harris because of Dobbs was just a load of crap, right? Everybody is voting just like they did in 2020.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/710 "2024-11-06T03:27:52Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> @Smapti , I hope you’re some kind of math wizard to hold the confidence you’re giving us.

I choose to be an optimist. I don’t give up hope until everything has been decided. I don’t see how anyone could live with themselves if they did otherwise.

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**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/711 "2024-11-06T03:27:56Z")

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Well, too early to say for sure, but if Harris loses I think it’s a sign that demographics is not destiny and that the Democrats need to figure out better outreach to men in general and Hispanics and black men in particular.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/712 "2024-11-06T03:28:17Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> “TRUMP IS GOING TO WIN AND THERE’S NOTHING WE CAN DO ABOUT IT” has been the consensus on this board for at least the last year and a half.

But that’s just false.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/713 "2024-11-06T03:28:29Z")

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Right now it looks like it will be a race to see which state gives Trump the victory, Michigan or Penn. Penn is slower at counting, so probably Michigan. Or maybe Wisconsin will sneak in and take the crown.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/714 "2024-11-06T03:29:04Z")

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> [@Jas09](#):
>
> Right now it looks like it will be a race to see which state gives Trump the victory, Michigan or Penn. Penn is slower at counting, so probably Michigan. Or maybe Wisconsin will sneak in and take the crown

I’ll be surprised if Trump wins any of those.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/715 "2024-11-06T03:29:33Z")

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From your lips to God’s ears. But you are quite wrong, I am afraid. I would be very surprised if he doesn’t win them all.

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/716 "2024-11-06T03:30:01Z")

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> [@Jas09](#):
>
> GA and NC are both lost. There will be no recounts in either. Trump will win by more than 1%.

Not so fast. Harris making a run. Both states under 200K Trump lead.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/717 "2024-11-06T03:30:58Z")

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More hoax bomb threats.

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**Author:** ![duality72](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/duality72/32/3910_2.png) [@duality72](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/duality72)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/718 "2024-11-06T03:31:07Z")

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NYT has all of them at 60%+ Republican wins. Harris winning all 3 is looking like a long shot, unfortunately.

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**Author:** ![Fretful\_Porpentine](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fretful_porpentine/32/2873_2.png) [@Fretful\_Porpentine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fretful_Porpentine)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/719 "2024-11-06T03:31:39Z")

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> [@asterion](#):
>
> Democrats need to figure out better outreach to men in general and Hispanics and black men in particular.

Yep-yep. Also voters without a college degree, in general. (I think it would be great to increase the number of voters _with_ a college degree, but it’s not ever likely to go much over 50%, and we need to take the fact that this is a distinct voting bloc, with its own culture and set of concerns, _seriously_.)

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/720 "2024-11-06T03:32:23Z")

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NM 300k lead for Trump, 24% reporting.

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