# Election Day Omnibus thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 4, 2024, 8:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683 "2024-11-04T20:15:18Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 38

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/741 "2024-11-06T03:45:20Z")

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I am prepared to concede one of my predictions; I no longer believe we will have a winner by midnight Pacific time, though it could still happen.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_fun_ball/32/17664_2.png) [@Happy\_Fun\_Ball](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Fun_Ball)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/742 "2024-11-06T03:45:38Z")

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I bet I will know before midnight here in Colorado.

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**Author:** ![Fear\_Itself](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fear_itself/32/19637_2.png) [@Fear\_Itself](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fear_Itself)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/743 "2024-11-06T03:45:45Z")

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Who is Decision Desk?

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**Author:** ![DWMarch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dwmarch/32/1010_2.png) [@DWMarch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DWMarch)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/744 "2024-11-06T03:45:53Z")

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> [@Happy\_Fun\_Ball](#):
>
> If Trump wins, the biggest problem I will have is he will never be held responsible for his crimes and a precedent will be set that some people are above the law.

Don’t worry, if he wins he will commit plenty of new crimes.

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**Author:** ![Toxylon](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/f05b48/32.png) [@Toxylon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Toxylon)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/745 "2024-11-06T03:46:30Z")

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> [@rocking\_chair](#):
>
> The lines are huge in Nevada. 3 hour lines now.

Terribly sorry, but I read that in Trump’s nasty-ass voice.

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/746 "2024-11-06T03:46:54Z")

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Times needle up to 86% for Trump and his estimated EV total has passed 300.

I’m going to bed.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/747 "2024-11-06T03:47:02Z")

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Harris way up in NM now. 54%

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**Author:** ![HEMAblerd313](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/e36b37/32.png) [@HEMAblerd313](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HEMAblerd313)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/748 "2024-11-06T03:47:05Z")

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As I sit here in depression with a slight buzz from the hypno/cherry vodka concoction Im drinking I do want to ask…is it true that the “urban” area votes always come in last, like whats occurring in GA with Atlanta? So far I dont know if they have counted any of the votes in Detroit…

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/749 "2024-11-06T03:47:19Z")

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It’s on The Hill

[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4959700-trump-wins-georgia-election/](https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4959700-trump-wins-georgia-election/)

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**Author:** ![Saint\_Cad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/saint_cad/32/18907_2.png) [@Saint\_Cad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Saint_Cad)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/750 "2024-11-06T03:47:37Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> Harris way up in NM now. 54%

And AZ a virtual tie

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/751 "2024-11-06T03:47:37Z")

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You just need to switch sites! That needle sucks.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/752 "2024-11-06T03:47:46Z")

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> [@HEMAblerd313](#):
>
> is it true that the “urban” area votes always come in last, like whats occurring in GA with Atlanta?

Yes. The most populous areas are ALWAYS the last to report in. I don’t know why people forget this every four years.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/753 "2024-11-06T03:48:09Z")

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Ted “The Zodiac Killer” Cruz has won TX. That stings.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/754 "2024-11-06T03:48:34Z")

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> [@HEMAblerd313](#):
>
> is it true that the “urban” area votes always come in last, like whats occurring in GA with Atlanta? So far I dont know if they have counted any of the votes in Detroit…

No, it is not true.

If you go to the NYT prediction site you can see what vote is outstanding, and roughly how many votes.

That’s why GA is over, there just isnt’ enough votes left to be counted. PA might follow suit, but they are quite a bit slower in counting. Michigan I think will beat them to the point when there aren’t enough votes outstanding for Harris to catch up.

ETA: For example 2/3 of the Philly vote is in and she isn’t winning by enough, particularly in Hispanic percents.

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**Author:** ![Kent\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kent_clark/32/105_2.png) [@Kent\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kent_Clark)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/755 "2024-11-06T03:48:56Z")

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> [@SunUp](#):
>
> This would seem to point to abortion ballot measures having short coattails; that is to say, voters who vote in favor of relaxing restrictions on abortion are not making their choices of public offices under that same criteria.

We’re seeing the same thing in Missouri, where the abortion rights amendment is outdoing the top vote getting Democrat by more than 100,000 votes.

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**Author:** ![asterion](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/4da419/32.png) [@asterion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asterion)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/756 "2024-11-06T03:50:14Z")

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I was going to say, if NM goes Trump then Harris is completely screwed. The state hasn’t gone Republican at the Presidential level since 2004. It’s become a more and more Democratic state generally, even more so after the massive gerrymander to make NM-2 include half of Albuquerque. (The general split for years was that Albuquerque was NM-1, everything south was NM-2, and everything north was NM-3, with NM-2 almost always Republican, NM-3 always Democrat, and NM-1 swing.)

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**Author:** ![flurb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/51bf81/32.png) [@flurb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/flurb)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/757 "2024-11-06T03:50:55Z")

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> [@Jas09](#):
>
> Yeah, with the trends tonight Baldwin is in trouble, and Rosen might be as well. We could see 54 GOP Senators easily.

Right now, Dem seats in MT, OH, PA, MI, WI and NV are all at serious risk. Arizona’s looking better. But if R’s pick up most of those seats they’ll hold the Senate for at least the next four years.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/758 "2024-11-06T03:51:27Z")

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This is probably the wrong thread for dissecting results, but I think the abortion issue is a good lesson for Democrats.

Once the GOP realized that banning abortion was unpopular they basically jettisoned it. Trump couldn’t run away fast enough. Even Vance walked away from it.

The Democrats might want to reconsider some of their extremely unpopular positions as well…

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/759 "2024-11-06T03:52:21Z")

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> [@Horatius](#):
>
> If they win, it’s very far from their ‘last stand’.

Don’t’cha remember his nibs saying if people voted for him they’ll never have to worry about voting again? It would be _the_ last stand, not their.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2024, 3:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-omnibus-thread/1009683/760 "2024-11-06T03:52:51Z")

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We are fucked worse than I thought possible.

I’m going to bed while there is any hope I will be able to sleep.

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