# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 102
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2023 "2020-11-05T02:50:33Z")
Uh, PA is up to 90% and Trump is still ahead by quite a bit. I’m kind of freaking out about it. Ugh, I’m freaking out about everything. ---
**Author:** ![Folly](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/folly/32/3219_2.png) [@Folly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Folly)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2024 "2020-11-05T02:51:21Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > … and Biden needs one of the non-Nevada ones Am I missing something? Nevada would be 270. ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2025 "2020-11-05T02:51:56Z")
> [@Mahaloth](#): > > Uh, PA is up to 90% and Trump is still ahead by quite a bit. Where do you see 90%? The numbers I’ve been using still say 88%. Of course there are different sources and the percent reported is based on estimated turnout… > [@Folly](#): > > Am I missing something? Nevada would be 270. Only if you include Arizona. Which you almost certainly shouldn’t be right now. ---
**Author:** ![Deeg](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/deeg/32/2955_2.png) [@Deeg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Deeg)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2026 "2020-11-05T02:52:23Z")
Ok, sure, but haven’t we been saying that higher turnout helps Democrats? It sure doesn’t seem that way this year. I’m not sure what I’m trying to say and I’m kinda thinking out loud. Do we have to abandon the higher-turnout-more-democrats theory? ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2027 "2020-11-05T02:53:47Z")
> [@Folly](#): > > Am I missing something? Nevada would be 270. NV is 259. Arizona is going more Trumpish very rapidly. ---
**Author:** ![Folly](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/folly/32/3219_2.png) [@Folly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Folly)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2028 "2020-11-05T02:54:12Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > Only if you include Arizona. Which you almost certainly shouldn’t be right now. Hmmm… OK. I think I’m just going to have to trust the AP calls for now for my own sanity. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 2:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2029 "2020-11-05T02:56:32Z")
The map as of now. NV isn’t enough. > **[270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map](https://www.270towin.com/maps/gOGeL)** > > Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential election ---
**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2030 "2020-11-05T03:00:09Z")
From Nate Silver: “Fundamentally, the issue for Trump is that while Georgia projects to be very close and Arizona — at least in my view — projects to be very close, Biden is way ahead of the pace he needs to overtake Trump in Pennsylvania. If it were three toss-ups, that would be one thing, but Biden could wind up winning Pennsylvania fairly comfortably.” ---
**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2031 "2020-11-05T03:01:39Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > The Maricopa votes so far are breaking 59-41 for Trump. These are not mail ins - those were couinted first - so these votes favor him and that’s the pace he must maintain to win. However, this is noted by the Washington Post, as of 8:42pm Eastern: > [@](#): > > **Nearly 340,000 early ballots and more than 17,000 provisional ballots still have to be counted in Maricopa County** , Arizona’s most populous, according to election officials’ estimates late Wednesday. > > A new batch of ballots reported by Maricopa County on Wednesday night favored Trump, who won 58 percent of the new ballots compared with Biden’s 40 percent, narrowing the race. (The Libertarian ticket got just under 2 percent.) Biden currently leads Trump in the state by about 80,000 votes. > > Maricopa County’s vote-counting tallies will be updated after 1 a.m. Eastern time and then daily at 9 p.m. Eastern going forward. (emphasis mine) So, we shall see. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2032 "2020-11-05T03:01:42Z")
I wish someone would explain the math of PA to me 'cause every source has different info, and going county by county I see zero chance PA could be comfortable. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2033 "2020-11-05T03:02:48Z")
How is that a however? It’s pretty much consistent with what I said. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2034 "2020-11-05T03:03:34Z")
Trump’s lead in Georgia is down to about 33K. There’s still a chance, giving Biden some wiggle room in AZ and NV. ---
**Author:** ![ShadowFacts](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/shadowfacts/32/2934_2.png) [@ShadowFacts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ShadowFacts)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2035 "2020-11-05T03:03:44Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > I wish someone would explain the math of PA to me 'cause every source has different info, and going county by county I see zero chance PA could be comfortable I don’t disagree. At this point I am pretty much closing my eyes and praying these people are correct. ---
**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2036 "2020-11-05T03:04:06Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > I wish someone would explain the math of PA to me 'cause every source has different info, and going county by county I see zero chance PA could be comfortable. America is going through an uncomfortable time. I’m not sure if it’s puberty or menopause or some weird mix of both. ---
**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2037 "2020-11-05T03:04:19Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > How is that a however? What I was awkwardly trying to note was that the remaining votes which have yet to be counted there may not be as favorable to Trump as the most recent batch. My apologies if I didn’t interpret what you had said correctly. ---
**Author:** ![Clawdio](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/d07c76/32.png) [@Clawdio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Clawdio)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2038 "2020-11-05T03:08:31Z")
Not that it is important, but why hasn’t CNN called Alaska? Seems like one those states you could call with hardly any precincts reporting. ---
**Author:** ![JRDelirious](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jrdelirious/32/9531_2.png) [@JRDelirious](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JRDelirious)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2039 "2020-11-05T03:09:36Z")
> [@Jas09](#): > > Yup, Maricopa returns were just Trumpy enough to make that call from Fox News seem waaay early. > > Here we go again… Heck, I have NOT counted on Arizona at any time. A half million votes left was too much IMO. And remember Maricopa is the land of Joe Arpaio. When I heard that was what was missing I said “what are FOX smoking?” ---
**Author:** ![kaylasdad99](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kaylasdad99/32/3398_2.png) [@kaylasdad99](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kaylasdad99)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2040 "2020-11-05T03:09:46Z")
> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#): > > It would appear clerks in Alaska are delivering their tallies to the state via dog sled. Who was the lead dog? BALloTO? ---
**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2041 "2020-11-05T03:10:53Z")
What’s telling us that Trump went out and tried to claim victory. A person fearful of being prosecuted after leaving office doesn’t do that if he is confident he will win. The Trump team knows where the votes are coming from. ---
**Author:** ![Bryan\_Ekers](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bryan_ekers/32/183_2.png) [@Bryan\_Ekers](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bryan_Ekers)\ **Post date:** [November 5, 2020, 3:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2042 "2020-11-05T03:11:09Z")
> [@Clawdio](#): > > Not that it is important, but why hasn’t CNN called Alaska? Seems like one those states you could call with hardly any precincts reporting. There’s a time difference. In Alaska, it’s still 1972. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=101) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=103)