# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 11
**Author:** ![Acsenray](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/acsenray/32/4519_2.png) [@Acsenray](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Acsenray)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/201 "2020-11-04T00:19:04Z")
The rightward lurch of the republican party over the last few decades: [![](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/el041vdxeamizgv.png?w=1150) ](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/el041vdxeamizgv.png?w=1150) The Democrats have stayed relatively still in terms of right-left politics over this time, while Republicans have careened towards outright fascism. ---
**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/202 "2020-11-04T00:19:13Z")
Biden is now up by 2 points in Florida. ---
**Author:** ![tripthicket](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripthicket/32/297_2.png) [@tripthicket](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tripthicket)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/203 "2020-11-04T00:19:46Z")
Save a spot ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/204 "2020-11-04T00:20:27Z")
I have a bad feeling about Florida. The results in now include early voting, and Biden isn’t outperforming Hillary’s numbers by any significant amount…not enough to cover the red shift of the same-day votes. ---
**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/205 "2020-11-04T00:21:43Z")
FWIW, Georgia exit polls have Independents going blue rather than red like they did four years ago. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/206 "2020-11-04T00:22:11Z")
> [@jsc1953](#): > > I have a bad feeling about Florida. The results in now include early voting, and Biden isn’t outperforming Hillary’s numbers by any significant amount…not enough to cover the red shift of the same-day votes. It’s way too early to guess. What counties are those votes in from? How much from each of those? That has a lot to do with it. ---
**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/207 "2020-11-04T00:22:54Z")
> [@jsc1953](#): > > Biden isn’t outperforming Hillary’s numbers by any significant amount He seems to be watching MSNBC, they have side by side comparisons. However must of the votes are early. ---
**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/208 "2020-11-04T00:23:42Z")
> [@RickJay](#): > > I know it’s easy to think of Virginia as being a battleground state because it’s part of the South, but it’s not. It’s dead blue. Mainly from all of us Dems in the DC 'burbs. ---
**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/209 "2020-11-04T00:24:26Z")
Yes, I am. And it is too early to freak out. My assumption is that early voting is reported first, and early voting skews blue – so any state or county that Biden doesn’t carry by a huge lead is at risk and I’m going crazy. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/210 "2020-11-04T00:24:55Z")
We shall see! ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/211 "2020-11-04T00:25:31Z")
> [@JohnT](#): > > True. Florida is a nice to have, not a must have. Everything I have read suggests that Pennsylvania is the key. I guess we’ll see. ---
**Author:** ![Lobohan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lobohan/32/79_2.png) [@Lobohan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lobohan)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/212 "2020-11-04T00:25:48Z")
I don’t care how good their sandwiches are. Cuban voters in Florida are dead to me. ---
**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/213 "2020-11-04T00:26:45Z")
NY Times is estimating an 88% chance of Trump taking Florida. ---
**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/214 "2020-11-04T00:26:53Z")
the counties I have seen are all going to go for Trump. But by how much? ---
**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/215 "2020-11-04T00:26:53Z")
Almost all early votes so far being reported in Florida. Biden is underperforming relative to Hillary’s numbers in Miami-Dade from 2016. However, he is way over performing in Broward compared to HRC in 2016. Still too early to know how it will play out. Honestly, it looks as if turnout overall is down in Miami-Dade for some reason. ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/216 "2020-11-04T00:28:12Z")
A bit soon to say. Here is [Google’s live election map](https://www.google.com/search?q=live+vote+count+2020&rlz=1C1GCEA_enUS868US868&oq=live+vote&aqs=chrome.2.0i20i131i263i433i457j69i57j0i20i131i263i433j0i131i433l5.4485j0j15&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8). You can mouse over a state to see what the details are. Indiana still has a long way to go. That said it is no surprise at all if they go Trump and it was expected. Honestly I would not put a lot of stock in any results until at least tomorrow morning or afternoon. All those mail in votes need counting too (some states are ahead of the game on that…not all though). ---
**Author:** ![Jungian\_Camisole1](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jungian_camisole1/32/3646_2.png) [@Jungian\_Camisole1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jungian_Camisole1)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/217 "2020-11-04T00:28:36Z")
Yikes! Florida is making me nervous. Time for the drinking to begin. ---
**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/218 "2020-11-04T00:28:42Z")
With 58% of the total in, AP has five the six major metro areas (Jax, Orlando, Tampa, Miami, Tallahassee) going for Biden. ---
**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/219 "2020-11-04T00:30:25Z")
> [@Jungian\_Camisole1](#): > > Time for the drinking to begin. Cheers! 🍻 ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 12:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/220 "2020-11-04T00:30:26Z")
> [@Smapti](#): > > Biden is now up by 2 points in Florida. Biden seems to be running behind Clinton’s 2016 numbers in Miami. That has me worried. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=10) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=12)