# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 148

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2945 "2020-11-06T01:51:01Z")

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[![](https://i.ytimg.com/vi/KEP1acj29-Y/hqdefault.jpg "Felix Unger Assume") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KEP1acj29-Y)

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**Author:** ![Uno](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/59ef9b/32.png) [@Uno](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Uno)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2946 "2020-11-06T01:52:09Z")

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Not necessarily. My understanding is that Arizona is a different ball game for that. The Republicans have had a decent mail-in vote program running there for awhile so “mail-in=Biden” doesn’t hold there.

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2947 "2020-11-06T01:52:38Z")

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> [@Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](#):
>
> What is the deal with NC anyway? No one seems to be talking about it since it looks like Trump will take it, but it seems to be stuck in neutral. At least with Nevada there is a reason which is that no one there moves quickly unless you tip them.

NC decided to just punt until they have everything, I think, since ballots can arrive until Friday (or maybe the 12th?). It was like 2000 posts ago, so I can’t dig it up. But I think we shouldn’t expect anything else from NC for a long time.

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**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2948 "2020-11-06T01:53:15Z")

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> [@lobotomyboy63](#):
>
> Sorry if I missed it upthread but thinking about PA leads to my earworm today:
> 
> [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BHnJp0oyOxs](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BHnJp0oyOxs)

Lehigh County (Allentown) just reported 10k votes, 75% Biden. Lead at about 53k. Philadelphia County seems to have 65-70k left to count, at their ration they can wipe out the 53k pretty much by themselves.

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2949 "2020-11-06T01:53:45Z")

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It’s surreal (but then, I’m getting pretty punchy so everything seems surreal) how much excruciatingly detailed analysis is going on, trying to guess the results of something that already happened. the ballots are in. They’re done. The decision has been made. But the talking heads are saying things like “We’ll see if Trump can maintain this trend of drawing 59% of mail-in ballots in counties outside Maricopa…” Trump’s not doing anything (nor is Biden). He has no impact on what will happen. To coin a phrase…it is what it is.

So weird.

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**Author:** ![Pleonast](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pleonast/32/1183_2.png) [@Pleonast](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pleonast)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2950 "2020-11-06T01:53:58Z")

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> [@Deeg](#):
>
> At the very least Trump will be on the money-grubbing circuit, pulling in cash for Republican candidates.

Since when has he ever given money to other people? He’s going to keep grifting his MAGA-heads and suck the oxygen from other Republicans.

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**Author:** ![AHunter3](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ahunter3/32/368_2.png) [@AHunter3](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AHunter3)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2951 "2020-11-06T01:55:23Z")

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> [@AHunter3](#):
>
> Sen. Sonny Perdue ® of GA just fell to 49.9 % of the vote and hence will be in a runoff against Jon Ossoff, as will the other Senatorial aspirants (the special race). That creates a razor-thin chance of flipping the damn Senate after all.

David Perdue. David Perdue. Sonny Perdue is a different politician, a cousin of David.

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**Author:** ![gnarator](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gnarator/32/8266_2.png) [@gnarator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gnarator)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2952 "2020-11-06T01:56:08Z")

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You don’t think Trump will run again in 2024?

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**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2953 "2020-11-06T01:56:31Z")

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> [@Uno](#):
>
> Not necessarily. My understanding is that Arizona is a different ball game for that. The Republicans have had a decent mail-in vote program running there for awhile so “mail-in=Biden” doesn’t hold there.

The Arizona votes left to count are “mail-in” ballots that were dropped off at the polls on election day. Most regular mail-in ballots were counted before election day since AZ will start counting 14 days early and were more Democratic. So the ballots left are more like election-day ballots. Maricopa county update due any minute.

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**Author:** ![Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fiendish_astronaut/32/3295_2.png) [@Fiendish\_Astronaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fiendish_Astronaut)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2954 "2020-11-06T01:57:08Z")

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True - but still wondering if in person voting skewed more Trump, which would totally explain the shifting sands in the counting. However I just heard that the next report from AZ will include a lot of postals. I guess the only thing we know is that we don’t know…

EDIT: will defer to @Marvin_the_Martian

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2955 "2020-11-06T01:57:30Z")

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> [@Ludovic](#):
>
> I don’t, yet you’re confidently asserting that I do.

I guess I’ve made an ass of us both!

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2956 "2020-11-06T01:58:00Z")

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[![](https://ioadvisory.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/golden-handcufs-LinkedIn.jpg) ](https://ioadvisory.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/golden-handcufs-LinkedIn.jpg)

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**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2957 "2020-11-06T01:58:15Z")

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> [@AHunter3](#):
>
> David Perdue. David Perdue. Sonny Perdue is a different politician, a cousin of David.

Holy crap. I just realized they were different people… and I follow politics pretty closely. Sonny was the Governor of Georgia and now Sec of Agriculture… I guess I sort of assumed “Sonny” was a nickname or something.

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**Author:** ![wolfpup](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/wolfpup/32/10618_2.png) [@wolfpup](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/wolfpup)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2958 "2020-11-06T01:59:17Z")

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> [@Fiendish\_Astronaut](#):
>
> They counted their postal votes first so looks like a Trump comeback is on the cards.

But surely the analysts at AP and Fox knew this when they called AZ for Biden more than 24 hours ago. (Fox projections have been pretty good, I must admit.) I’m still skeptical about PA but Biden is definitely closing the gap, so maybe. If Biden gets PA it’s over – all the rest is decoration.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2959 "2020-11-06T01:59:33Z")

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> [@Mike\_Mabes](#):
>
> AZ coming in soon. Please make it definitive

I just heard that AZ will not be dropping any new numbers until 11a EST tomorrow (9a local in AZ).

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**Author:** ![Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/marvin_the_martian/32/2898_2.png) [@Marvin\_the\_Martian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Marvin_the_Martian)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2960 "2020-11-06T02:00:39Z")

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Post election-day votes even in Maricopa have been 60:40 for Trump. 60:40 is the ratio that Trump needs from the remaining ballots to pull even. My hope is that Pima County might come in somewhat less than 60:40 and keep a lead for Biden.

I think Kelly’s lead over McSally (which is larger than Biden’s over Trump) is safe.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2961 "2020-11-06T02:00:48Z")

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So far, the late-counted AZ ballots have been coming in at 55-64% for Trump. Biden holds on if the remaining ones are less than 57% Trump. So it’s not very promising, but the Maricopa batch should give a good indication of where things are headed.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2962 "2020-11-06T02:00:55Z")

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MSNBC just said after the break. Where did you hear?

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2963 "2020-11-06T02:02:10Z")

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> [@RadioWave](#):
>
> It’s kind of cool that we’re just minutes or hours away from having our first female vice-president (elect)

Selina Meyer, duh.

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**Author:** ![QuickSilver](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quicksilver/32/7832_2.png) [@QuickSilver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/QuickSilver)\
**Post date:** [November 6, 2020, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/2964 "2020-11-06T02:02:11Z")

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Arizona is poised:  
[![](https://media2.fdncms.com/orlando/imager/u/original/5835196/screen_shot_2017-07-28_at_1.46.21_pm.png) ](https://media2.fdncms.com/orlando/imager/u/original/5835196/screen_shot_2017-07-28_at_1.46.21_pm.png)

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