# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 18

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**Author:** ![Senegoid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senegoid/32/6606_2.png) [@Senegoid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Senegoid)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/341 "2020-11-04T01:29:40Z")

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> [@Dinsdale](#):
>
> Tho I did ask my wife if I’d be thought intimidating with my vicious attack dog outside the polling place! (35# goldendoodle.)

I call voter fraud on @Dinsdale ! I demand to see your goldendoodle’s birth certificate!

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/342 "2020-11-04T01:29:55Z")

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> [@Icarus](#):
>
> Google/AP has Michigan pink!!!

MI only has 3% reporting so far, with neither Detroit or Flint reporting any results yet.

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**Author:** ![Spice\_Weasel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spice_weasel/32/5435_2.png) [@Spice\_Weasel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spice_Weasel)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/343 "2020-11-04T01:30:02Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> Michigan won’t be called until late, late. Probably early tomorrow morning

I did my part, come what may.

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**Author:** ![Icarus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/icarus/32/72_2.png) [@Icarus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Icarus)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/344 "2020-11-04T01:30:03Z")

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Just remember, high population areas usually report later.

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**Author:** ![Icarus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/icarus/32/72_2.png) [@Icarus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Icarus)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/345 "2020-11-04T01:30:57Z")

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NC is back to light blue on Google/AP.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/346 "2020-11-04T01:31:01Z")

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CNN has called WV for Loser Donald.

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**Author:** ![Spice\_Weasel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spice_weasel/32/5435_2.png) [@Spice\_Weasel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spice_Weasel)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/347 "2020-11-04T01:31:09Z")

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I’m out of tequila and I’m not drunk enough. 😕

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/348 "2020-11-04T01:31:21Z")

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Ohio results, with 42% of the vote reported:

Joseph R. Biden Jr.  
1,475,181 55.1%

Donald J. Trump  
1,169,493 43.7%

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/349 "2020-11-04T01:31:44Z")

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> [@Icarus](#):
>
> NC is back to light blue on Google/AP.

Not sure what you’re looking at, but if it’s just “current vote counts”, it’s pretty meaningless without context. Is it vote totals or is it projections?

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/350 "2020-11-04T01:31:50Z")

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Nicole Wallace keeps repeating, MI, WI and PA. Well that is true, but if it comes to PA we won’t know for days. Right now AZ could stop that from happening, or TX, but fuck, TX will not happen for Biden, I am sure

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/351 "2020-11-04T01:32:07Z")

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62% in in NC, Biden up 9 points.

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**Author:** ![Fluffy\_PickleSniffer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/77aa72/32.png) [@Fluffy\_PickleSniffer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Fluffy_PickleSniffer)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/352 "2020-11-04T01:32:52Z")

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> [@Jungian\_Camisole1](#):
>
> You are mean! I like that in a person. 🤣
> 
> I promise to post pictures if it happens!

YAY! That will add some hope to this election right there. 😃

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/353 "2020-11-04T01:33:08Z")

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Google results are useless for this. It used to be enough to know what counties still had to report results, and you could kind of make some decent guesses about what the remaining votes would lean. But with the mail-in votes this year, it’s impossible to project votes in all states except for FL, GA, and NC (these states report the mail-in/live vote breakdown, which is why NYT was able to create “needles” for them).

> [@Icarus](#):
>
> Just remember, high population areas usually report later.

This is an example of something that used to be true and isn’t anymore. A lot of the high-population areas were heavily mail-in or early votes this year. Some states count them first, some count them last, some mix it up. You can’t make educated guesses about how things will trend.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/354 "2020-11-04T01:33:15Z")

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Arkansas has gone red (shocker).

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/355 "2020-11-04T01:33:40Z")

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In the 538 “Choose Your Own Adventure”, giving FL to Trump and NH to Biden, leaves Biden at a 76% likelihood to get elected.

Throw NC to Biden, and that percentage jumps to 96%.  
Throw NC to Trump, and that percentage moves to 65%.

> **[Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-biden-election-map/?cid=abcnews)**
>
> Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.

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**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/356 "2020-11-04T01:33:59Z")

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Biden currently has around a 130,000 vote lead in Texas with 46% of votes reported.

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**Author:** ![tripthicket](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripthicket/32/297_2.png) [@tripthicket](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tripthicket)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/357 "2020-11-04T01:34:22Z")

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I’m breathing into a paper bag. Rewatching this doesn’t help, but I wish I had Dave’s calm attitude.

[SNL Election Night 2016 Skit](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SHG0ezLiVGc&feature=youtu.be&app=desktop)

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/358 "2020-11-04T01:34:42Z")

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With 80% in, Tarrant County TX is 49.4 Trump, 49.2 Biden.

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**Author:** ![Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/heffalump_and_roo/32/7691_2.png) [@Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Heffalump_and_Roo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/359 "2020-11-04T01:35:20Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> Hefflalump, your links just lead to the Google main page with words typed into the search bar. Please provide links directly.

I can’t find it. When I clicked on the AP link in Google, it doesn’t go to a map. Maybe someone else can find a more direct link.

85 Biden  
61 Trump  
Texas went back to light blue.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/360 "2020-11-04T01:36:21Z")

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Trump is probably going to win FL

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