# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 19

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/361 "2020-11-04T01:37:15Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> The county in Texas to keep an eye on is Tarrant.

Currently 49.4% Trump, 49.2% Biden with 80% reporting.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/362 "2020-11-04T01:37:21Z")

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> [@MaxTheVool](#):
>
> Not sure what you’re looking at, but if it’s just “current vote counts”, it’s pretty meaningless without context. Is it vote totals or is it projections?

The New York Times has its projection leaning Trump. I’ve no idea what their methodology is though.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/363 "2020-11-04T01:37:45Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> Trump is probably going to win FL

Time to saw Florida off and kick it loose into the Caribbean a la Bugs Bunny.

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**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/364 "2020-11-04T01:38:12Z")

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Florida seems to be a lost case but I have to say Ohio is looking very good. Biden seems to be well ahead of Hillary in almost every county and generally by a bigger margin than her 8 point margin of defeat in 2016.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/365 "2020-11-04T01:38:35Z")

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We’re okay if Biden can win NC. Would feel better if he took GA too

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/366 "2020-11-04T01:39:04Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Time to saw Florida off and kick it loose into the Caribbean a la Bugs Bunny.

[![](https://i.pinimg.com/originals/c0/3a/c7/c03ac7d0fdc81d20a0dbf462fd74074c.gif) ](https://i.pinimg.com/originals/c0/3a/c7/c03ac7d0fdc81d20a0dbf462fd74074c.gif)

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/367 "2020-11-04T01:39:09Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> Ohio results, with 42% of the vote reported:
> 
> Joseph R. Biden Jr.  
> 1,475,181 55.1%
> 
> Donald J. Trump  
> 1,169,493 43.7%.

Ohio results with 49% of the vote counted:

Joseph R. Biden Jr.  
1,697,077 55.3%

Donald J. Trump  
1,333,695 43.5%

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/368 "2020-11-04T01:39:12Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> Currently 49.4% Trump, 49.2% Biden with 80% reporting.

It was 51-43 for Loser Donald in 2016, so Biden is outperforming there.

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/369 "2020-11-04T01:40:02Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> We’re okay if Biden can win NC. Would feel better if he took GA too.

I think we may be OK if Biden wins Ohio. That’s what I’m following.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/370 "2020-11-04T01:40:58Z")

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I had Trump winning FL anyway - no real shocker

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**Author:** ![Babale](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/babale/32/15666_2.png) [@Babale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Babale)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/371 "2020-11-04T01:41:14Z")

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Oh man. These times are far too historically interesting for me.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/372 "2020-11-04T01:41:55Z")

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One result you can be sure of: turnout is WAY up.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/373 "2020-11-04T01:43:03Z")

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> [@asahi](#):
>
> We’re okay if Biden can win NC. Would feel better if he took GA too

The NYT projection (which actually takes into account the mail-in vs live votes and which counties are remaining) has NC going for Trump, with the likelihood increasing every minute. GA is already over 80% likely for Trump. I wouldn’t count on either of those.

For everyone celebrating the OH results, I think those are heavily weighted toward the mail-in votes. As more votes are counted, it will shift red. ETA: NYT confirms that OH counts votes received before election day first, so they will be disproportionately Biden.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/374 "2020-11-04T01:43:30Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> I think we may be OK if Biden wins Ohio. That’s what I’m following.

Ohio is definitely still unsure and if I had to bet ten bucks on it I’d bet on Trump even now, but it would be fair to say that Biden winning Ohio would be a much bigger win than winning Florida. It would also be really weird. That is not an arrangement of the map I’d have guessed would happen.

Hamilton County in Ohio is starting to report and Biden is doing very well there.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/375 "2020-11-04T01:43:41Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> With 60% of the vote counted:
> 
> North Carolina  
> Joseph R. Biden Jr.  
> 1,915,889 54.1%
> 
> Donald J. Trump  
> 1,587,557 44.8%.

Now with 67% of the vote in N. Carolina:

Joseph R. Biden Jr.  
2,077,550 52.8%

Donald J. Trump  
1,811,990 46.1

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/376 "2020-11-04T01:45:07Z")

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When does AZ report? If Biden wins it he probably doesn’t need NC, GA, or FL

A better question, when does MI and WI report?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/377 "2020-11-04T01:45:08Z")

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> [@TroutMan](#):
>
> For everyone celebrating the OH results, I think those are heavily weighted toward the mail-in votes. As more votes are counted, it will shift red.

Not celebrating yet… The votes will definitely shift as the night goes on.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/378 "2020-11-04T01:45:54Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> Not celebrating yet… The votes will definitely shift as the night goes on.

Then maybe posting an update every 5 minutes isn’t really helpful.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![QuickSilver](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/quicksilver/32/7832_2.png) [@QuickSilver](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/QuickSilver)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/379 "2020-11-04T01:46:03Z")

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Fuck Florida.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/380 "2020-11-04T01:46:29Z")

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Yeah I’m skeptical about Ohio. Until last year I pretty regularly went to Columbus on business. Although Biden does well with black voters in OH, it’s not as enthusiastic as what you find in other places and truth to tell, a lot of black support in some places has to do with outrage toward republicans at a local level more so than with adoration of Biden.

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