# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 21

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/401 "2020-11-04T01:55:01Z")

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But damn it, I wanted a landslide! Doesn’t matter, in a week no one will care about margin of victory

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/402 "2020-11-04T01:55:40Z")

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Best hope for landslide is winning the WH and Senate. That’s a landslide

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/403 "2020-11-04T01:56:07Z")

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Word!

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**Author:** ![Kron](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kron/32/12444_2.png) [@Kron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kron)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/404 "2020-11-04T01:56:41Z")

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Beginning to think I should have taken advantage of legal cannabis while I’m stuck here in Denver today…

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:56am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/405 "2020-11-04T01:56:48Z")

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> [@Mahaloth](#):
>
> Without Flordia, NC, Georgia, or Ohio, what path does Biden have?

Winning PA, WI and MI plus holding Clinton’s wins gives him a win. In fact, he could drop either Nevada or New Hampshire, and lose that one EV in Maine, and would still win in that scenario

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/406 "2020-11-04T01:57:11Z")

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Real talk here: is there a realistic set of circumstances in which folks here would feel reassured at all at this point in the evening? Because I’m not sure there is, and people seem to think that their not feeling reassured right at this moment is a bad sign. Is it?

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**Author:** ![Eva\_Luna](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/e495f1/32.png) [@Eva\_Luna](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eva_Luna)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/407 "2020-11-04T01:58:21Z")

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I hope all these people stay engaged in the democratic process, dammit.

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**Author:** ![urbanredneck2](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/5f8ce5/32.png) [@urbanredneck2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/urbanredneck2)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/408 "2020-11-04T01:58:31Z")

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Biden will win. Then the democrats have to prove they can govern.

Question is if the economy is in the tank in 2024 or we have a major war, will the democrats be able to hold on?

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**Author:** ![Spice\_Weasel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spice_weasel/32/5435_2.png) [@Spice\_Weasel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spice_Weasel)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/409 "2020-11-04T01:59:00Z")

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Well, we got screwed over big - time in 2016. That night was a nightmare as far as I recall. So, in a word, no reassurance here.

Well, more than one word. I’m a bit buzzed.

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/410 "2020-11-04T01:59:02Z")

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> **[LGBT+ rights champion Sarah McBride just became the first transgender state...](https://www.thepinknews.com/2020/11/04/sarah-mcbride-first-transgender-state-senator-delaware-victory/?fbclid=IwAR2TDWZXn8Bkhaj0SkSoziVQ63NnmREafL0oudZIU8C2RdNQVbnmWTYwdEM)**
>
> Human Rights Campaign activist Sarah McBride has made history with her election as the first trans woman in a US state senate.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/411 "2020-11-04T01:59:09Z")

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Yes, if Biden wins MI and WI and AZ, Trump cannot win in any realistic scenario.

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 1:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/412 "2020-11-04T01:59:36Z")

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> [@Leaper](#):
>
> Real talk here: is there a realistic set of circumstances in which folks here would feel reassured at all at this point in the evening?

People were hoping for good news out of Florida for a crushingly decisive win. Since it is bad news they are panicking. But it is way too early to panic.

Panic if Trump holds in the Rust Belt. Wins in the Sun Belt were always bonus points and extra outs.

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**Author:** ![not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/not_what_you_d_expect/32/3246_2.png) [@not\_what\_you\_d\_expect](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/not_what_you_d_expect)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/413 "2020-11-04T02:00:04Z")

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Cornyn keeps his seat. And another Fuck!

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/414 "2020-11-04T02:00:11Z")

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> [@Leaper](#):
>
> Real talk here: is there a realistic set of circumstances in which folks here would feel reassured at all at this point in the evening?

I’d be reassured with TX or OH, but those aren’t happening. I’d be less nervous with AZ. Barring those, no, I won’t feel reassured until PA, WI, and MI all go Biden. And it will be several days before they finish counting.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/415 "2020-11-04T02:00:21Z")

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Me too. And Ohio, NC, PA…

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/416 "2020-11-04T02:00:27Z")

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Biden takes NY.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/417 "2020-11-04T02:00:33Z")

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> [@urbanredneck2](#):
>
> Then the democrats have to prove they can govern.

The Democrats governed just fine during the last administration and turned the economy in freefall they inherited into a booming one while cutting the deficit by over 60%.

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**Author:** ![El\_Kabong](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/el_kabong/32/496_2.png) [@El\_Kabong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/El_Kabong)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/418 "2020-11-04T02:01:10Z")

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> [@Leaper](#):
>
> Real talk here: is there a realistic set of circumstances in which folks here would feel reassured at all at this point in the evening?

The favorable trends toward Biden in OH and NC ease my mind considerably. Add TX and I’m breaking out the celebratory Scotch.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/419 "2020-11-04T02:02:07Z")

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Has Ohio reported all its mail-in ballots, do we know?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 2:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/420 "2020-11-04T02:02:44Z")

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Here’s my Prediction thread prediction. You can see that Biden would have a slight lead but not really pull away until late

> [@Predictions for the 2020 US Presidential Election](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/predictions-for-the-2020-us-presidential-election/922525/385):
>
> Now for my actual predictions! I know some of these states will be wrong, but here goes (something like this anyway). 7-8 PM: Trump wins KY, IN, and WV; Biden wins VT (Trump 24, Biden 3) 8-9 PM: Trump wins SC, OK, TN, AL, MS; Biden wins DE, DC, MD, MA, NJ, RI, CT, ME, IL (Biden 79, Trump 66) 9-10PM: Trump wins KS, ND, SD, WY, NE\*, LA, AR; Biden wins NY and NE\* district (Biden 109, Trump 89) 10-11PM: Trump wins MT and MO; Biden wins NM, VA, and CO (Biden 136, Trump 112) 11-12 AM: Trump wins …

Has to do with the timing of poll closures and vote count.

Nothing horrible yet.

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