# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 32

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/621 "2020-11-04T03:15:39Z")

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What’s the latest on Maine and Nebraska’s congressional districts? I think the scenarios where NE-2 casts the winning EV are starting to look more likely.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/622 "2020-11-04T03:15:44Z")

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> [@Hari\_Seldon](#):
>
> FL and GA are gone and NC is fading fast. IL is also fading. And MI and WI look bad, very bad. 2016 all over again.

Stop panicking. This election isn’t going to be settled tonight.

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**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/623 "2020-11-04T03:15:47Z")

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As they said, no home team has lost at home nor won in the road. Most of us were hoping for an early road win. It just happened yet.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/624 "2020-11-04T03:15:49Z")

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On PBS Amna Nawaz said that in Michigan, more mail-ins should be coming in to swing that race back towards Dems.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/625 "2020-11-04T03:15:58Z")

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Trump is currently up by 5.3 points in Ohio. 538 had the expected margin at 0.6 points. So if the margin stays the same (or gets worse, which is where it’s trending), that is a very bad sign for PA. The expected margin there was 4.7 points, so a similar polling error means PA is likely lost.

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**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/626 "2020-11-04T03:16:03Z")

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I had to work mostly sober election night 2016. It was sad and long. I’ve got a day job now, and have cracked open the whiskey. I’d move to hallucinogens if I thought it’d relax me more, and I didn’t have to work tomorrow.

This is like watching a slow motion slide where your car might flip, it might hit trees, or you might be fine as you slide into a clear area. You have no idea what’s going to happen, and no control of the vehicle anymore, you can just ride.

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**Author:** ![Slash1972](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slash1972/32/6461_2.png) [@Slash1972](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Slash1972)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/627 "2020-11-04T03:17:13Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Stop panicking. This election isn’t going to be settled tonight

Yes it is. It’s all but over already.

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**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/628 "2020-11-04T03:17:31Z")

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Too late. I’m out. I keep hanging around waiting for good news, like a Biden win in a battleground state – even the ones he was favored to win. It hasn’t happened and I don’t think I can literally stomach waiting for it. I’ll go watch reruns of Schitt’s Creek and hope for a pleasant surprise in the morning.

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**Author:** ![Pavelb1](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/439d5e/32.png) [@Pavelb1](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pavelb1)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/629 "2020-11-04T03:18:17Z")

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How do you lose to an orange reality show huckster TWICE. A guy who seems to be trying to lose.

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**Author:** ![BeepKillBeep](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/9e8a1a/32.png) [@BeepKillBeep](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BeepKillBeep)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/630 "2020-11-04T03:18:30Z")

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I had that happen to me. It was snowy on the highway, and I hit some black ice. The car starts spinning around. At one point, I’m headed towards the concrete divider, the next second I’m headed towards the ditch, then back towards the divider as I tried to correct the spin, it seemed to go back and forth forever. And then … it all just straightened out. It sure was terrifying for several seconds though.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/631 "2020-11-04T03:19:17Z")

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> [@Slash1972](#):
>
> Yes it is. It’s all but over already.

Pennsylvania won’t be called until late next week at the earliest.

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**Author:** ![Slash1972](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slash1972/32/6461_2.png) [@Slash1972](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Slash1972)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/632 "2020-11-04T03:20:00Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Pennsylvania won’t be called until late next week at the earliest

That may be, which I doubt. But it won’t matter anyway.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jsc1953](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/5daacb/32.png) [@jsc1953](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jsc1953)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/633 "2020-11-04T03:20:21Z")

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It will. It’s the nightmare scenario: Trump wins and the R’s hold the Senate. God help us all.

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**Author:** ![scabpicker](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/scabpicker/32/8268_2.png) [@scabpicker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scabpicker)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/634 "2020-11-04T03:20:32Z")

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Heheh. Don’t feel bad, I’ve done it to myself on dry pavement. A little bit of sand can really screw up your day when you’re driving overly exuberant.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/635 "2020-11-04T03:21:26Z")

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I picked all three of those states to go red. PA being the guarantee, but I hear Joe’s in the lea there, so crossing fingers. For Monday’s results. 😀

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/636 "2020-11-04T03:23:47Z")

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FOX is showing it at 129-109 for Biden.

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**Author:** ![Lamoral](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lamoral/32/16078_2.png) [@Lamoral](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamoral)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/637 "2020-11-04T03:23:54Z")

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I don’t understand how anyone could be surprised that Biden would suck ass as a candidate in this election, given that he has run for President twice already and lost both times, and that was when he was far sharper and more appealing than he is now. He is an awful, awful, awful candidate. If Biden somehow manages to win this, it will be by the NARROWEST of margins, and it will likely all come down to Pennsylvania. But I’m not optimistic.

We needed a rockstar this year and we wound up with an accordionist.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/638 "2020-11-04T03:25:06Z")

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From Nate Cohn: “An ominous sign for Biden in Pennsylvania: Trump running ahead of his 2016 performance in Trumbull County (Warren, near Youngstown and on the west PA border) with nearly all of the vote counted”

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/639 "2020-11-04T03:25:20Z")

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> [@Slash1972](#):
>
> That may be, which I doubt. But it won’t matter anyway.

Well, gosh, it might matter a lot. Pennsylvania is important. Nothing else yet is actually shocking; it’s not like Trump won New York. The prediction that PA was the likeliest decider remains highly likely.

The extent to which PA election results will be delayed is stunning. One report notes that Philadelphia alone has 274,000 votes still to open and won’t open any more tonight. That’s a HUGE number of votes, and will be overwhelmingly for Biden, which means the state could be red tonight, purple on Wednesday, and blue on Friday.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 3:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/640 "2020-11-04T03:25:29Z")

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I think on a scale between best case scenario and worst case, we’re somewhere in between. The idea that voters would send a message to republicans…it was a nice thought, but it’s not reality.

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