# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 38

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/741 "2020-11-04T04:04:49Z")

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While Trump is ahead in PA, have a look at the county reporting. Virtually every rural county is 75% in or higher; many have reported everything. All the urban counties appear to have been caught completely by surprise that many people live in big cities and so might cast many votes. They’re all in the teens and twenties. Philadelphia is at just 22%; Allegheny (Pittsburgh) is at 16; Delaware is at just 15.

That’s kind of a disgrace.

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**Author:** ![Win\_Place\_Show](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/win_place_show/32/13469_2.png) [@Win\_Place\_Show](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Win_Place_Show)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/742 "2020-11-04T04:05:20Z")

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If this ends bad, I hope the only employment Nate Silver is eligible for in the future is flipping burgers or mopping airport bathrooms.

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/743 "2020-11-04T04:06:41Z")

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I’m hitting the rack. Have to get an early start. Goodnight all. Let’s plan for the best.

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**Author:** ![Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/heffalump_and_roo/32/7691_2.png) [@Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Heffalump_and_Roo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/744 "2020-11-04T04:07:11Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> At this point, I wouldn’t expect any of the swing states to be called tonight except maybe Arizona

So is the night over for the election results?

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/745 "2020-11-04T04:07:27Z")

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Is that at all comparable to past national elections, I wonder?

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/746 "2020-11-04T04:07:54Z")

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> [@Face\_Intentionally\_Left\_Blank](#):
>
> Through lies and lies and misrepresentation and lies. I never watch Fox TV, I only see the occasional clips. I don’t listen to Hannity or Rush or anyone else on the radio. When being transported from the hospital the other day, I heard Hannity for 15 minutes

Yep. I am temporarily living in a house where FOX News is on all day long. I also have not even bothered, for years to tune in to FOX News just to see what they are saying. Have done so for the past week, although I cannot last more than a couple of minutes. It is astounding how many lies can be told in five minutes. And the people in this house beleve every single word. They never, ever ever never, switch over to MSNBC or CNN. And the people in this house are not hateful, stupid people. They are just ignorant, they really believe Joe Fucking Biden will be a dictator

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**Author:** ![Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aji_de_gallina/32/260_2.png) [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aji_de_Gallina)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/747 "2020-11-04T04:09:04Z")

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Is Trump winning the “popular vote” so far?

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/748 "2020-11-04T04:09:27Z")

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FOX is reporting FL for Trump.

ETA 51.3% - 47.8%.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/749 "2020-11-04T04:09:51Z")

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> [@Heffalump\_and\_Roo](#):
>
> So is the night over for the election results?

ID, MS, AK, and MT will all but certainly go Trump, and Biden is a lock to win MN, HI, and probably ME and IA. Those are all safe states.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/750 "2020-11-04T04:10:04Z")

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> [@Mike\_Mabes](#):
>
> They never, ever ever never, switch over to MSNBC or CNN. And the people in this house are not hateful, stupid people. They are just ignorant, they really believe Joe Fucking Biden will be a dictator

Yeah, that’s my inlaws all over. Lovely intelligent people, but virtually swimming in the FoxNews Flavor-Aid without engaging a braincell.

538 is pointing out that there’s a large chunk of uncounted mail-in votes in Georgia left that will likely skew blue. Even so, I’m not holding my breath.

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/751 "2020-11-04T04:10:24Z")

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Anyone have any hope that Iowa might go Biden? I’m grasping at straws, but what else is there to do at this point.

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**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/752 "2020-11-04T04:10:25Z")

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> [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](#):
>
> Is Trump winning the “popular vote” so far?

Yes, but only because California hasn’t been counted. They’ve been called, but not counted.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/753 "2020-11-04T04:10:33Z")

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> [@Mike\_Mabes](#):
>
> They are just ignorant, they really believe Joe Fucking Biden will be a dictator

All while eagerly hoping Loser Donald will be a dictator, I assume.

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**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/754 "2020-11-04T04:10:41Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> Biden is a lock to win MN, HI, and probably ME and IA

Biden is absolutely not a lock for Iowa. MN is still too early to call.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/755 "2020-11-04T04:11:03Z")

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Biden will not win Georgia. There aren’t that many mail ins. He’s way behind.

He wins through PA, MI, and WI, the latter two of which look terrible.

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/756 "2020-11-04T04:11:50Z")

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Earlier they were reporting MN locked by Biden. Then later they shwed it in play, competitive.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/757 "2020-11-04T04:11:53Z")

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Biden probably did better than expected in MN. However, I’ve heard at least one network suggest that Nevada might be…interesting

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/758 "2020-11-04T04:12:41Z")

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WINS(??) those states?? No.

Sheesh, I’m so pessimistic and realist Octopus might befriend me! 😀

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**Author:** ![Sunny\_Daze](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sunny_daze/32/438_2.png) [@Sunny\_Daze](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sunny_Daze)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/759 "2020-11-04T04:13:26Z")

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> [@Bullitt](#):
>
> CNN says 192-108 so far, for Biden

> [@Kron](#):
>
> 209-112 Biden, Google Live Map via AP.

Washington Post has 188-114 Biden BUT their projection overall has Trump over 270.  
FiveThrityEight has Biden winning with over 300 ECV.

So, basically, we won’t know tonight. No one seems to know anything.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/760 "2020-11-04T04:13:58Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> WINS(??) those states?? No.

He wins through them. I’m not saying he WILL win them, but that is his path to victory. There is no other likely way, except he could drop one of MI and WI, and make that up by winning AZ. Given how close those states may be that is a possible outcome.

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