# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 39

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**Author:** ![Bullitt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bullitt/32/5725_2.png) [@Bullitt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bullitt)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/761 "2020-11-04T04:14:14Z")

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That’s why I’m going to bed. Goodnight.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/762 "2020-11-04T04:14:30Z")

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[quote=“bengangmo, post:732, topic:924618, full:true”]This is how Trump is still in the race.  
How this…Person?..is even allowed to run, can get the requisite community support to be on the ballot let alone win tells us all we need to know about certain segments of America.  
Trump talked about his “muslem ban” - perhaps the rest of us should now be talking about a US ban…with such significant portions of the country being terrorist how can we trust the rest? [/quote]

I find this incredibly disturbing, and hope this is just a freakish anomaly and not a foot in the door for yet more grotesque GOP idiocy. This Canuck does not need to see anyone of that ilk in these parts, to be sure.

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**Author:** ![Spice\_Weasel](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spice_weasel/32/5435_2.png) [@Spice\_Weasel](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spice_Weasel)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/763 "2020-11-04T04:14:34Z")

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Well, this is horrible.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/764 "2020-11-04T04:14:49Z")

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> [@Sunny\_Daze](#):
>
> FiveThrityEight has Biden winning with over 300 ECV.

No, no, they do not. 538 doesn’t do an ongoing projection. They stopped yesterday.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/765 "2020-11-04T04:16:01Z")

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> [@Spice\_Weasel](#):
>
> Well, this is horrible.

It’s too early to say that. Thus far, not one swing state has been called decisively and nothing has flipped.

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/766 "2020-11-04T04:16:08Z")

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> [@BeepKillBeep](#):
>
> CBC, which is what I’m watching, has Trump having won or leading in 278 electoral votes to Biden’s 165.

Really bizarre! At this moment, the CBC predicts Trump has won! But they don’t say so explicitly, they just show him with 283 EVs on this page!

Weird!

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**Author:** ![Theodore-Striker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Theodore-Striker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Theodore-Striker)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/767 "2020-11-04T04:16:50Z")

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I may be dreaming, but Biden could make up a lot of ground in GA. Dekalb, Cobb, and Fulton county are all at less than 50% reported, and Biden is only 350K or so behind. The rurals are largely reported in. Not holding my breath, BUT…

Also, a little nervous about VA, but not panicked. The NoVA counties are still under-reporting, and the state is tightening slowly.

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**Author:** ![Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aji_de_gallina/32/260_2.png) [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aji_de_Gallina)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/768 "2020-11-04T04:17:07Z")

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That’d explain it. Thanks

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/769 "2020-11-04T04:17:58Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> t’s too early to say that. Thus far, not one swing state has been called decisively and nothing has flipped.

Some outlets have called Florida. Florida’s over.

If you consider New Hampshire a swing state, it’s also over there. Not as big a prize, but it’s Biden’s. Trump will win Ohio, which was projected to be very close.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/770 "2020-11-04T04:18:02Z")

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CNN calls MS for Donald.

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**Author:** ![Slash1972](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slash1972/32/6461_2.png) [@Slash1972](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Slash1972)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/771 "2020-11-04T04:18:05Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> It’s too early to say that. Thus far, not one swing state has been called decisively and nothing has flipped

Which swing state do you think is going to change?

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/772 "2020-11-04T04:18:47Z")

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> [@Slash1972](#):
>
> Which swing state do you think is going to change?

It’s still possible for Biden to win all of the swing states.

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**Author:** ![BeepKillBeep](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/9e8a1a/32.png) [@BeepKillBeep](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BeepKillBeep)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/773 "2020-11-04T04:19:25Z")

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They’re not predicting that. It is just the simple sum of the states where Trump or Biden have won or are leading. They’ve been very clear that many of the states will not be known for days (not on the website). I wish I had not of posted it. I just thought it was interesting that if the election ended right the second Trump would win.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/774 "2020-11-04T04:19:48Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> Trump will win Ohio, which was projected to be very close.

OH won’t even finish accepting mail-in votes until the 13th.

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**Author:** ![Slash1972](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slash1972/32/6461_2.png) [@Slash1972](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Slash1972)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/775 "2020-11-04T04:20:26Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> It’s still possible for Biden to win all of the swing states

Sure it’s possible. Not probable.

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/776 "2020-11-04T04:20:26Z")

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Am I misremembering, or wasn’t it around this time in 2016 that the results were clear?

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/777 "2020-11-04T04:21:04Z")

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> [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](#):
>
> Really bizarre! At this moment, the CBC predicts Trump has won! But they don’t say so explicitly, they just show him with 283 EVs on this page!

It’s 283 leading. So that includes the trifecta of PA, WI, and MI. However, those states were predicted to lead early for Trump and then get bluer as mail in votes were counted, which in a lot of cases won’t even happen today. See my post about PA; there are literally hundred of thousands of Biden votes just around Philadelphia that will not be counted until tomorrow. There is no remaining reserve of huge numbers of Trump votes there, so that state is still up in the air.

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**Author:** ![BeepKillBeep](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/9e8a1a/32.png) [@BeepKillBeep](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BeepKillBeep)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/778 "2020-11-04T04:21:07Z")

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Yeah, that sounds about right.

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**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/779 "2020-11-04T04:21:23Z")

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going to bed and listening on the echo dot.

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 4:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/780 "2020-11-04T04:21:54Z")

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You know…I’m just gonna admit it. The polls just might, in fact, be complete crap. I sometimes wonder if they are meters for likabliity more than voting intent.

The feeling I’m getting now is that the entire message about COVID might have been wildly misread. Whereas we assumed that this was a campaign about getting a pandemic under control, it just might have been a campaign about jobs and livelihood. So this is to say that when Biden and blue state officials talk about shutting businesses down for public health reasons, maybe voters are just tired of living this way and Trump is their way of saying it.

Still early yet but this is not the result I expected.

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