# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 46

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**Author:** ![Bootb](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/e19b73/32.png) [@Bootb](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bootb)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/901 "2020-11-04T05:20:55Z")

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> [@squidfood](#):
>
> Breakdown of returned early ballots for AZ was 37% R, 36% D, 26% Ind. So it’s not a state where early votes biased D.

Clearly, it is, since Biden is leading.

There have been various articles lately about how many voters who are registered as Independent really aren’t–they may not like to be labeled as supporting a party, but their voting patterns tell a different story.

The only way for Biden to have an early lead like he has is for the early Independent votes to skew heavily his way. We’ll see if the later Independent votes keep that up.

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**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/902 "2020-11-04T05:21:01Z")

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> [@kenobi\_65](#):
>
> On MSNBC, James Carville: “Put the Ambien and the razor blades back in the medicine cabinet. We’re gonna be fine.”

Wait… are the razor blades to slash our wrists or to chop up the Ambien so we can snort it?

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/903 "2020-11-04T05:21:05Z")

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> [@RickJay](#):
>
> Looking at the PA numbers, I think Biden will lose.

Quite possibly if Ohio is the bellweather. However weirdly NYT is now tilting Georgia towards Biden because of the outstanding Atlanta vote and I’m a lot less confidant than you that Trump is going to win AZ. We’ll see. Not looking positive, but still a ways to go.

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**Author:** ![Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aji_de_gallina/32/260_2.png) [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aji_de_Gallina)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/904 "2020-11-04T05:21:10Z")

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I still don’t get the “calling VA” with Trump having more votes. I know they have projections and all, but, dude, light blue and wait would be my call.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:21am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/905 "2020-11-04T05:21:38Z")

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thanks for confirming. That is what I saw a couple of days ago, never thought it would come to that.

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**Author:** ![Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aji_de_gallina/32/260_2.png) [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aji_de_Gallina)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/906 "2020-11-04T05:22:20Z")

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Even if, still more probable, Biden wins, the pollsters will look bad after this election.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/907 "2020-11-04T05:23:23Z")

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> [@Tamerlane](#):
>
> NYT is now tilting Georgia towards Biden

thanks for putting me back on the rollercaster LOL. That is just stunning to me. When will those votes be counted? 2 days?

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/908 "2020-11-04T05:24:26Z")

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> [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](#):
>
> I still don’t get the “calling VA” with Trump having more votes. I know they have projections and all, but, due, light blue and wait would be my call.

I agree. It looks like Biden will win, but not by much and I wouldn’t bet anything on it I really couldn’t afford to lose.

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**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:25am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/909 "2020-11-04T05:25:41Z")

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> [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](#):
>
> Even if, still more probable, Biden wins, the pollsters will look bad after this election.

They really might. If we have an election where Joe Biden wins Georgia but loses Michigan, most of the assumptions about what states are red and what states are blue, and how they interact, need to be rethought.

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**Author:** ![kenobi\_65](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kenobi_65/32/13178_2.png) [@kenobi\_65](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/kenobi_65)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/910 "2020-11-04T05:26:03Z")

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> [@Mike\_Mabes](#):
>
> That is just stunning to me. When will those votes be counted? 2 days?

The outstanding votes in Georgia seem to largely be absentee ballots in the Atlanta area. MSNBC currently has a reporter on who’s at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, which is where Fulton County’s absentee ballots are being tabulated. She reports that various sources are telling her various things, but it may be up to 2 days for them to finish (other sources are telling her they will finish it later tonight).

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**Author:** ![robby](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/robby/32/11048_2.png) [@robby](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/robby)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/911 "2020-11-04T05:26:09Z")

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MSNBC is reporting that Biden is expected to speak soon.

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**Author:** ![Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aji_de_gallina/32/260_2.png) [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aji_de_Gallina)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/912 "2020-11-04T05:27:18Z")

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I hope it’s just a generic “…democratic process…” “people’s voice” “wait until votes are counted…”

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**Author:** ![Slash1972](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/slash1972/32/6461_2.png) [@Slash1972](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Slash1972)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/913 "2020-11-04T05:28:10Z")

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> [@Happy\_Lendervedder](#):
>
> Ok fella. What you posted is not at all what my link shows. Does that mean I think Biden will win? No, but it most certainly does not show what you claim it shows.
> 
> You want to argue verb tenses and what you _meant_ ? Ho-kay. 🙄

Seems pretty clear to me that all the states on the right of that graphic are true. You can think maybe they are incorrect, but I don’t. Fella.

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/914 "2020-11-04T05:28:30Z")

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I don’t see a reason for it to be anything else at this point. (In reply to post 912, about Biden speaking.)

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**Author:** ![Lamoral](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lamoral/32/16078_2.png) [@Lamoral](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lamoral)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/915 "2020-11-04T05:29:51Z")

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> [@Aji\_de\_Gallina](#):
>
> I hope it’s just a generic “…democratic process…” “people’s voice” “wait until votes are counted…”

He will do a great impression of John Podesta’s speech on election night 2016, but with less eloquence.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/916 "2020-11-04T05:31:31Z")

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Can we declare my CA state as a winner for Biden yet?? Orange County is gearing up Disneyland, promoting Star Wars battle figures. That worries me.

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**Author:** ![Lantern2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lantern2/32/3010_2.png) [@Lantern2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern2)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/917 "2020-11-04T05:31:32Z")

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It looks like the race will go down to Arizona and Georgia. I agree that PA is looking very dicey. Biden is running a fair way behind Hillary in the Philly area and unless that changes quickly he will struggle to win.

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**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/918 "2020-11-04T05:31:34Z")

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I’m actually surprised Trump hasn’t declared victory already. You know he wants to, and data is convincing a lot of us common folk he will win, so I wonder what’s holding him back.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/919 "2020-11-04T05:32:16Z")

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has he tweeted today?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 5:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/920 "2020-11-04T05:32:30Z")

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> [@Lantern2](#):
>
> Biden is running a fair way behind Hillary in the Philly area and unless that changes quickly he will struggle to win.

Philly only has 43% of the vote in, and Pittsburgh only has 18%.

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