# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 55

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**Author:** ![Spoons](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spoons/32/3141_2.png) [@Spoons](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoons)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1081 "2020-11-04T08:16:22Z")

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> [@Omniscient](#):
>
> … don’t start chugging gasoline yet folks.

Public service announcement: do not chug gasoline; do not even taste gasoline. It is the worst stuff you will ever taste, it is dangerous to ingest; and if you smoke, you shouldn’t smoke until you have thoroughly rinsed your mouth to get rid of the gasoline fumes.

I got a mouthful of the stuff when a friend and I siphoned his mom’s car’s gas tank in order to fill the lawnmower. We should have carried a jerry can to the gas station three blocks away.

Quite simple: never chug gasoline; never even taste it. It’s dangerous, and it tastes awful.

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**Author:** ![RivkahChaya](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rivkahchaya/32/8919_2.png) [@RivkahChaya](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RivkahChaya)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:17am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1082 "2020-11-04T08:17:21Z")

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On my third night of less than 4 hours sleep. Literal thinking is about all I can do. Sorry.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1083 "2020-11-04T08:18:51Z")

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I’m pretty sure that WI, MI, GA and NV are going red. ME, AZ will go blue. NC??? Hm…

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1084 "2020-11-04T08:22:22Z")

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Have they stopped counting? That is not a good thing.  
If the absentee ballots do take Biden over, even if totally above board, it’s going to be a major and unnecessary controversy.

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1085 "2020-11-04T08:22:33Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> I’m pretty sure that WI, MI, GA and NV are going red. ME, AZ will go blue. NC??? Hm…

Not sure what your logic is for that. The NYT needle now shows GA slightly favored for Biden, but NC heavily for Trump.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1086 "2020-11-04T08:23:35Z")

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I still worry… a soft-spoken, ultra-religious man against a (gasp!) female!!! Eh, mark Trump. JIC. Shit, I hope I’m wrong there.

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**Author:** ![MaxTheVool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/9fc29f/32.png) [@MaxTheVool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MaxTheVool)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1087 "2020-11-04T08:24:49Z")

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I mean, I don’t know what I’m saying, I’m getting a bit loopy. But GA is the only one of the remaining states where someone who knows what they are talking about says Biden is \> 50% to win it. Everything else is just an amorphous blob.

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1088 "2020-11-04T08:24:51Z")

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I must be thinking of another thread. Sorry. But as close as it is, I really thought NC would go for Biden.

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**Author:** ![joebuck20](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/74df32/32.png) [@joebuck20](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/joebuck20)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1089 "2020-11-04T08:26:21Z")

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> [@Velocity](#):
>
> Consider for a moment if Trump wins: He would go down as the most invincible candidate in modern U.S. history. He would have gotten himself reelected _despite_ a pandemic that’s killed over 200,000 Americans, the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, impeachment, having tweeted over 13,000 Tweets (many of them offensive), thousands of lies, a hundred different scandals, and having almost never had an approval rating beyond the mere 40s. If even _that_ couldn’t take him down at the ballot box, what could?

I agree with you here, and as much as I hate to say it, I’m truly in awe of the guy. It sort of reminds me of the Frank Grimes episode of “The Simpsons,” where it’s pointed out that Homer, for all his idiocy, laziness and oafishness, has actually stumbled into quite a bit of success in life - he lives in a nice house, has a Grammy, hangs out with celebrities - while Grimes, who plays by the rules and has worked his ass off everyday of his life, can’t seem to get ahead. Trump is Homer in this scenario times a million.

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**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1090 "2020-11-04T08:33:13Z")

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I know this is super rudimentary, but found it interesting.

> **[Pennsylvania Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted (Published 2020)](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-pennsylvania.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=StateSubNav)**
>
> Estimates from exit polls offer an initial indication of how groups voted on election night.

Looking at the exit polls, 54% of voters are female and 56% of them voted for Biden…which either means that the state’s ultimately going to Biden when all the votes are counted…or the exit polls are highly, highly flawed. Could be either, but I would think exit polls are better than traditional preliminary over the phone polls.

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1091 "2020-11-04T08:38:29Z")

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He is more like Mr Chao in the Hangover Trilogy.  
Don’t ever give him a fighting chance, since thats all he ever needs.

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1092 "2020-11-04T08:43:14Z")

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Heard you guys like Madison Cawthorn

Well, here is what this great statesman, this new generation of American feeling the responsibility of good governance and being a good civil servant has to say:

> <https://twitter.com/CawthornforNC/status/1323813315169165313>

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1093 "2020-11-04T08:55:30Z")

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As counting votes cast is apparently optional, I am declaring myself President of the USA. Anyone saying otherwise is clearly guilty of fraud.

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**Author:** ![Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/heffalump_and_roo/32/7691_2.png) [@Heffalump\_and\_Roo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Heffalump_and_Roo)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:57am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1094 "2020-11-04T08:57:19Z")

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CBS says that there are 20 million votes that have not yet been counted nationwide. 5 million in the battleground states. They are continuing to be counted.

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**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 8:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1095 "2020-11-04T08:59:11Z")

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> [@Locrian](#):
>
> NV

NV was an overwhelming blue state in 2018, every single blue election on my ballot won. We also haven’t been the victims of any sort of protest/riots/civil unrest to scare people. And we’ve been hit harder than any other state by coronavirus because of how much we depend on tourism. I can’t think of any plausible reason Trump would win here.

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**Author:** ![yarblek](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/y/71e660/32.png) [@yarblek](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/yarblek)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1096 "2020-11-04T09:08:11Z")

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538 had a projection yesterday where even if the polling error is the same, or _even better_, for Trump in 2020 as it was in 2016, Biden was still the winner. Nate Silver himself said that there was a greater chance for the situation to be _intersting_ than for Trump to win. We still have votes to count, it aint over till it’s over.

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**Author:** ![Wrenching\_Spanners](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/ecb155/32.png) [@Wrenching\_Spanners](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wrenching_Spanners)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1097 "2020-11-04T09:11:24Z")

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Just checked CNN’s numbers.

Georgia - 16 EV’s. 92% reporting. Trump leads by 102K. Biden needs 68% of remaining vote to win.

North Carolina - 15 EV’s. 95% reporting. Trump leads by 77K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win.

Pennsylvania - 20 EV’s. 74% reporting. Trump leads by 408K. Biden needs 65% of remaining vote to win.

Michigan - 16 EV’s. 72% reporting. Trump leads by 310K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win.

Wisconsin - 10 EV’s. 83% reporting. Trump leads by 108K. Biden needs 61% of remaining vote to win.

Alaska - 3 EV’s. No numbers, but predicted for Trump.

That’s 80 EV’s for Trump. He’s at 213 so if he wins those six states, he’ll have 293 EV’s.

So Biden’s best chance is Wisconsin, and Trump can still win without it. The numbers are definitely on Trump’s side.

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**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1098 "2020-11-04T09:11:26Z")

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It might all come down to that second congressional district in Nebraska! (If, say, Biden loses PA but wins AZ). Hug (safely) an Omahan — they might just have saved the world!

Also…congrats to the election officials team I was privileged to be a part of here in La Crosse, WI. We did our job — two wards — accurately and efficiently. Of the 1800 write-in ballots, about 80% were for Biden. Of the 750 in-person-today ballots, almost 60% were for Trump. I think that comes out to between 70% and 75% for Biden overall.

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1099 "2020-11-04T09:14:28Z")

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Once again, a fake journalist has a better anlaysis than the real ones.

[![](https://img.youtube.com/vi/IdnHfYbr1cQ/maxresdefault.jpg "Election 2020: Pie's prediction.") ](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IdnHfYbr1cQ)

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**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\
**Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:26am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1100 "2020-11-04T09:26:22Z")

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Yikes. This one is done. NV and AZ are really the only available states for Biden/Harris.

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