# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 56
**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1101 "2020-11-04T09:31:12Z")
WHat happened? ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1102 "2020-11-04T09:35:23Z")
> [@Wrenching\_Spanners](#): > > Georgia - 16 EV’s. 92% reporting. Trump leads by 102K. Biden needs 68% of remaining vote to win. > > North Carolina - 15 EV’s. 95% reporting. Trump leads by 77K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win. > > Pennsylvania - 20 EV’s. 74% reporting. Trump leads by 408K. Biden needs 65% of remaining vote to win. > > Michigan - 16 EV’s. 72% reporting. Trump leads by 310K. Biden needs 64% of remaining vote to win. > > Wisconsin - 10 EV’s. 83% reporting. Trump leads by 108K. Biden needs 61% of remaining vote to win. Assuming the remaining vote is largely urban mail-ins, which it certainly is, those percentages are very doable. Also, I’m a bit suspicious of the accuracy of the “remaining” vote counts. Not exactly sure how this is calculated and pushed to the networks. There’s a reason these states have been telling us this may not be done before Friday…if it really is just a few hundred thousand votes left to count, that wouldn’t make a lot of sense. ---
**Author:** ![Leaper](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/4bbf92/32.png) [@Leaper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Leaper)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1103 "2020-11-04T09:36:06Z")
I thought Locrian was reacting to the numbers posted above, but I could be wrong. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1104 "2020-11-04T09:37:27Z")
> [@JKellyMap](#): > > It might all come down to that second congressional district in Nebraska! (If, say, Biden loses PA but wins AZ). Hug (safely) an Omahan — they might just have saved the world! This assumes we get WI and MI…we’re farther behind right now than anyone expected. Hopefully there’s a mountain of uncounted mail-in votes. ---
**Author:** ![I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/i_love_me_vol.i/32/521_2.png) [@I\_Love\_Me\_Vol.I](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/I_Love_Me_Vol.I)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1105 "2020-11-04T09:42:24Z")
> [@Omniscient](#): > > This assumes we get WI and MI…we’re farther behind right now than anyone expected. Hopefully there’s a mountain of uncounted mail-in votes Biden just went into the lead in Wisconsin > [NATE SILVER](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nate-silver/) > > [NOV. 4, 4:39 AM](https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/294129/) > > This could be pretty major. Decision Desk HQ has apparently gotten its hands [on the Milwaukee City absentees](https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1323921427897163777) and now has Biden 20,000 votes ahead in Wisconsin. ---
**Author:** ![Wrenching\_Spanners](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/ecb155/32.png) [@Wrenching\_Spanners](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wrenching_Spanners)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1106 "2020-11-04T09:42:24Z")
> [@Locrian](#): > > Yikes. This one is done. NV and AZ are really the only available states for Biden/Harris. CNN has Biden at 220 EV’s. Predicted for Biden: Hawaii - 4 EV’s. Arizona -11 EV’s. Nevada - 6 EV’s. Maine - 4 EV’s. So Biden should pick up 25 more and total out at 245 EV’s. Trump 293 - Biden 245. Biden has to pick off 2 states where Trump’s winning. ---
**Author:** ![ataraxy22](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ataraxy22/32/307_2.png) [@ataraxy22](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ataraxy22)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1107 "2020-11-04T09:43:26Z")
Biden is now ~20k votes up in WI. Cautiously less pessimistic. ---
**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1108 "2020-11-04T09:43:33Z")
Not really, I only picked NC out of the numbers quoted. I bet that WI, MI, PA, NV go red. PA will be red. On Friday. ---
**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1109 "2020-11-04T09:45:30Z")
AP is showing Biden up in WI by only about 9,000 votes, with 95% counted. But still - up is up. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1110 "2020-11-04T09:47:02Z")
Still a lot of votes from red counties out there. But they are mail in votes from cities within those counties…so maybe they’ll be no worse than a 50-50 split. Fucking close. ---
**Author:** ![ataraxy22](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ataraxy22/32/307_2.png) [@ataraxy22](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ataraxy22)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1111 "2020-11-04T09:48:07Z")
AP has had Biden at 238. Of the uncalled EVs, Biden has a good shot at picking up GA (16), Maine 2nd (1), NV (6), WI (10) - this adds up to 271, enough to win. Also still uncalled are MI (16), NC (15), PA (20), AK (3) ---
**Author:** ![Locrian](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/locrian/32/14146_2.png) [@Locrian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Locrian)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1112 "2020-11-04T09:48:33Z")
The CNN wall Dude is freaking. Each county he touches is like 62% Trump in Wisconsin. 🤣. But Biden’s ahead by about 10,000 votes! Kenosha county/city is about 60% Dotard, 38% Biden/Harris. Surprise, surprise. ---
**Author:** ![SenorBeef](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/senorbeef/32/2220_2.png) [@SenorBeef](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SenorBeef)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1113 "2020-11-04T09:52:17Z")
How much of a jump did Biden get in Wisconsin? Did an entire county submit their vote all at once, or what exactly happened there? ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1114 "2020-11-04T09:52:43Z")
Yes, all of Milwaukee’s mail-in votes dropped in. Was 145k additional Biden votes. ---
**Author:** ![Pardel-Lux](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/pardel-lux/32/20182_2.png) [@Pardel-Lux](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pardel-Lux)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1115 "2020-11-04T09:53:02Z")
So, good morning, America! I read that you are about to screw up again. Not the thing I wanted to hear first thing in the morning. Hope you build the wall this time around: you are too dangerous to be let out roaming free. Keep away, you are turning toxic. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1116 "2020-11-04T09:54:33Z")
BTW…I cannot fucking believe Susan Collins looks to be keeping her seat. Just jaw dropping if it holds. ---
**Author:** ![ataraxy22](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ataraxy22/32/307_2.png) [@ataraxy22](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ataraxy22)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 9:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1117 "2020-11-04T09:58:31Z")
Kenosha County, WI should add a net of about +12k to the Biden side when they are finished counting, based on eyeballing what is still out, likely turnout rate, and 2016 results. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 10:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1118 "2020-11-04T10:01:39Z")
NYT still shows Milwaukee at just 90% of votes counted…that would be another 55k total votes if accurate. ---
**Author:** ![Wrenching\_Spanners](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/ecb155/32.png) [@Wrenching\_Spanners](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wrenching_Spanners)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 10:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1119 "2020-11-04T10:03:22Z")
The difference between AP and earlier CNN is Hawaii, Maine, and Arizona which are all for Biden. Except it looks like one EV in Maine is up for grabs. Biden’s also made gains in Michigan according to CNN, but still needs to pick up 62% of the remaining votes. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 4, 2020, 10:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/1120 "2020-11-04T10:03:58Z")
> [@Wrenching\_Spanners](#): > > Biden’s also made gains in Michigan according to CNN, but still needs to pick up 62% of the remaining votes. Assuming all mail-in, very probable. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=55) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618.md?page=57)