# Election Day \[Week\]\[Month\[s\]\] \[Year\] 2020 follow-along thread

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 3, 2020, 5:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618 "2020-11-03T05:36:01Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 9

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/161 "2020-11-03T23:05:49Z")

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> <https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323762478111723523?s=19>
>
> Nate Silver @NateSilver538

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**Author:** ![Skywatcher](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/skywatcher/32/254_2.png) [@Skywatcher](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Skywatcher)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/162 "2020-11-03T23:08:15Z")

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> [@flurb](#):
>
> Initial North Carolina results will be delayed about forty-five minutes due to some polling places having their hours extended slightly as a result of technical delays.

Cite:

> **[N.C. election results delayed by 45 minutes after polling station problems in...](https://greensboro.com/news/local/nc-election-results-delayed-by-45-minutes-after-polling-station-problems-in-guilford-sampson-and/article_02aa4398-1e0d-11eb-9e7b-33db2c614afc.html)**
>
> The North Carolina State Board of Elections voted Tuesday to keep four polling places open longer because they opened late, and that is expected to delay statewide reporting of results.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/163 "2020-11-03T23:08:41Z")

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Great news, as is this, orginally posted in Clusterfuck, thanks MN Maenad

> **[Trump campaign suddenly frets over GOTV operation in Pennsylvania](https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/3/1992325/-Trump-campaign-suddenly-frets-over-GOTV-operation-in-Pennsylvania)**
>
> Nothing will be over in Pennsylvania until all the votes are counted, but it may be telling that one candidate in particular doesn't actually want the votes to be counted. Donald Trump has been sowing doubts about election integrity...

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/164 "2020-11-03T23:11:43Z")

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I don’t even know what is the significance of what Silver posted. ???

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**Author:** ![Malden\_Capell](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/malden_capell/32/5274_2.png) [@Malden\_Capell](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Malden_Capell)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/165 "2020-11-03T23:12:35Z")

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Indication seems to be that the GOP voted came in early this morning but the Dems have led since and FL is voting bluer as the day lengthens.

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/166 "2020-11-03T23:14:21Z")

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> [@Malden\_Capell](#):
>
> Indication seems to be that the GOP voted came in early this morning but the Dems have led since and FL is voting bluer as the day lengthens

I hope so. I keep saying this everywhere, but America has been through a lot these last four years.

We could use a break with FL going blue early. It would be amazing.

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**Author:** ![Whack-a-Mole](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/whack-a-mole/32/141_2.png) [@Whack-a-Mole](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Whack-a-Mole)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/167 "2020-11-03T23:17:45Z")

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> [@Mahaloth](#):
>
> We could use a break with FL going blue early. It would be amazing.

There’s this:

- [Florida becomes latest state to overtake 2016 turnout just five hours into voting](https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/florida-2016-turnout-2020-us-election-b1563702.html)

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**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/168 "2020-11-03T23:21:27Z")

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> [@Whack-a-Mole](#):
>
> [Florida becomes latest state to overtake 2016 turnout just five hours into voting](https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/florida-2016-turnout-2020-us-election-b1563702.html)

I _hope_ that is good news. Fareed Zakaria, I think, seemed to think the amount of Trump voters declined there over the last four years and the amount of “blue” voters likely increased.

I guess we’ll see.

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/169 "2020-11-03T23:23:58Z")

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> [@Malden\_Capell](#):
>
> Indication seems to be that the GOP voted came in early this morning but the Dems have led since and FL is voting bluer as the day lengthens.

I’ll just note that back in 2016 around 7:30 pm EST, [we were all celebrating](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/official-2016-us-presidential-election-day-thread/770947/252) the gradual blue-ing of Florida as results came in. Florida will kill you every time, don’t even pretend to get your hopes up until ALL votes are in.

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**Author:** ![Boycott](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/boycott/32/6741_2.png) [@Boycott](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Boycott)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/170 "2020-11-03T23:25:04Z")

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Would be hilariously glorious if Biden loses Florida but wins Texas. Win Texas and there’s 270 right there.

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/171 "2020-11-03T23:28:32Z")

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True. Florida is a nice to have, not a must have.

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**Author:** ![Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/do_not_taunt/32/2968_2.png) [@Do\_Not\_Taunt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Do_Not_Taunt)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/172 "2020-11-03T23:32:20Z")

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I haven’t read this whole thread, so apologies if this was covered already. I keep seeing various counts of first time voters (10%, 8%, etc for different states.) What’s a typical number of first-time voters in a presidential election? I tried googling for this, but didn’t get anything useful.

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**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/173 "2020-11-03T23:35:16Z")

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Anecdotally, the two voters in line ahead of me were first time voters. I don’t know if they were in the wrong polling place, fucked up their registrations, or what, but they were both having issues with their names not being findeable by those who hand out the ballots.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/174 "2020-11-03T23:35:31Z")

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Or if Trump loses PA because his campaign forgot to take care of details, like Hillary not campaigning there.

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**Author:** ![Morgyn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/morgyn/32/3041_2.png) [@Morgyn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Morgyn)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/175 "2020-11-03T23:36:39Z")

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Splitting up because people refused to get along didn’t help India and Pakistan. I doubt if it would work here.

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**Author:** ![Mike\_Mabes](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mike_mabes/32/1782_2.png) [@Mike\_Mabes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mike_Mabes)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/176 "2020-11-03T23:37:57Z")

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[NATHANIEL RAKICH](https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nathaniel-rakich/)

[NOV. 3, 6:30 PM](https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/292993/)

Elliott County, in the coal fields of eastern Kentucky, was notable for [voting Democratic](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-most-durably-democratic-county-in-the-country-could-go-for-trump/) in every presidential election from 1872 to 2012. But illustrating how white, working-class areas like Appalachia have moved away from the party, Trump carried Elliott by 44 points in 2016. Now, with 47 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump is leading by 33 points in Elliott, according to [The New York Times](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-kentucky.html).

11% drop for Trump, if this holds true

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**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/177 "2020-11-03T23:39:25Z")

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This isn’t the thread to debate this, but…

> **[Clintons and Obamas Campaign in Philadelphia](https://www.c-span.org/video/?417997-1%2Fclintons-obamas-campaign-philadelphia)**
>
> Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, was joined by President Obama, first lady Michele Obama, and her husband and daughter, in speaking to her supporters at a campaign rally on Independence Mall in Philadelphia the night before the...

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**Author:** ![TroutMan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/troutman/32/6721_2.png) [@TroutMan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TroutMan)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/178 "2020-11-03T23:43:59Z")

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> [@Boycott](#):
>
> Would be hilariously glorious if Biden loses Florida but wins Texas. Win Texas and there’s 270 right there.

And if you read that 2016 thread, you’ll see a few people making this exact same comment when early results were looking good in Texas.

On second thought, don’t read that thread. It’s like a slow-motion train wreck where you know what’s coming but everyone else is blissfully unaware, and they keep discounting the warning signs. Guaranteed PTSD.

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**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/179 "2020-11-03T23:51:17Z")

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This looks like a pretty good place to watch the returns. They use AP information.

> **[Election Results: Electoral College, Congressional and State Races](https://www.newsnationnow.com/2020-election-results/)**
>
> About NewsNation’s Election Results NewsNation’s television broadcast and digital properties will rely on The Associated Press for all vote counting and race calls. NewsNation chose to …

Hmmm… maybe this was already posted. Not sure which thread. Not sure of anything. Time to open the wine.

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**Author:** ![nelliebly](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nelliebly/32/5422_2.png) [@nelliebly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/nelliebly)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2020, 11:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/election-day-week-month-s-year-2020-follow-along-thread/924618/180 "2020-11-03T23:52:00Z")

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Did you mean to reply to **Dinsdale**? I was merely pointing out that the splits he made ignored 10 states.

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