# Execution of a total gun ban

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [December 28, 2000, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575 "2000-12-28T22:26:47Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 5

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**Author:** ![JJohn](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/278dde/32.png) [@JJohn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JJohn)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2001, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/81 "2001-01-04T20:22:11Z")

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## As taken from the Kellerman Survey: Murder risk, Variable Odds adjusted ratio

Illicit drug use 5.7 times  
Being a renter 4.4  
Household member hit or  
hurt in a fight in the home 4.4  
Living alone 3.7  
Guns in the house 2.7  
Household member arrested 2.5

If this survey is correct, and it damn well better be, I propose the following to reduce the murder rate in the US:

First get rid of all illicit drug use, ban people from renting homes or other domiciles, increase public education that hitting household members is BAD, promote living with someone… anyone, and keep everyone out of trouble so as not to be arrested. Then we will see a 18 times fewer risk of being murdered. Forget about the guns, it’s being a drug using, abused, renter, who is living alone that is the real problem.

I jest. This study makes a much sense as banning a rifle because it has a flash hider and bayonet lug and therefore offers a higher risk of causing mayhem. Oh wait… I guess thay already did that huh?

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**Author:** ![BF](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/b5ac83/32.png) [@BF](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BF)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2001, 8:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/82 "2001-01-04T20:50:09Z")

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Good one, JJohn. Those drive-by bayonetings were rampant until the ban!! I haven’t seen one since…

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**Author:** ![xenophon41](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xenophon41/32/253_2.png) [@xenophon41](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/xenophon41)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2001, 9:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/83 "2001-01-04T21:07:19Z")

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**JJohn** , why do you assume the “message” in Kellerman’s study is “ban personal handguns”? I would think the results of this study should prompt such questions as “how can we reduce the risks which seem to be associated with keeping guns in the home?” Please note that Kellerman’s study is merely an assessment of the relationship between ownership of household weapons and the occurence of homicide in the homes which were studied. The study should in no way be seen as an endorsement of a ban on handguns, either by those for or against such a ban.

The study should, on the other hand, be evidence to everybody that the mere _ownership_ of weapons does not seem to make one safer in one’s home. (Which is why I’ve got it bookmarked in anticipation of the next “more guns less crime” argument.) I think the study’s conclusions should indicate, among other things, a need for better education of gun owners, which may be a strong argument for liscensing of individuals but is a weak argument for banning weapons entirely.

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**Author:** ![JJohn](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/278dde/32.png) [@JJohn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JJohn)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2001, 11:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/84 "2001-01-04T23:02:51Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by xenophon41 \*  
> \*\ ***JJohn** , why do you assume the “message” in Kellerman’s study is “ban personal handguns”?

Sorry xenophon, it’s nothing personal. I have found that when a study like the one in question is found on the web page that you linked, and after I read the Liberal Rantings of the Web Site’s now deceased owner, I come to the conclusion that this study only fuels the fire AGAINST personal firearms ownership.

I assume the message is against gun ownership because nowhere in the study is the other side of the argument presented other than to be refuted. You have to admit that the findings as presented on that site are quite one-sided. Look past the study and read the myths debunked. Many of the facts used to debunk the claims of the NRA are based on shoddy logic in my opinion.

I know however by personal experience that a gun in the home can be used for personal protection. Example follows:

Not long after moving into my apartment in a small suburb of Chicago on the far west side, a pounding on my door woke me out of a rather peaceful sleep. I grabbed my robe and my .357 and went to the door to see what was going on.

About the time that I got to the door, it came crashing in. Apperantly the previous tenant had copies of his keys made and one his “friends” came by for a visit. The pounding that I heard was the unlocked door being slammed against the chain.

I produced my mag lite and revolver and in typical Dirty Harry fashion screamed at the fellow to freeze. He did, the cops arrived and he was arrested without further incident. In this case, a trigger lock MAY have interfered with the protection of my wife and I. But I can tell you that my gun stopped the guy dead in his tracks from causing any more harm to my apartment or myself, without firing a shot!

It is for this reason, that I will never be able to agree with studies that report findings similar to Kellerman. I know that on that night the gun I kept under my bed was dangerous to only one idividual, and it wasn’t me!

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**Author:** ![xenophon41](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xenophon41/32/253_2.png) [@xenophon41](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/xenophon41)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2001, 11:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/85 "2001-01-04T23:41:40Z")

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**JJohn** , I understand what you’re saying, and agree that guns can be and certainly are used for legitimate personal protection. But my point regarding the Kellerman study and any “messages” it contains was that this type of well-designed study should not be automatically disputed because the results don’t match our cherished preconceptions.

Just because we’d like to believe the type of incidents you and **Joe Cool** described are more common than those incidents where a weapon is used against its owner does not mean we should shy away from evidence that this is not so. Kneejerk denial of the study does nothing to advance the very legitimate defense of 2nd Amendment rights, nor does automatic rejection of proposed gun control measures.

As **Mandelstam** and **SPOOFE** finally agreed, the question for most of us is what is reasonable rather than an absolute question of yes or no. If we’re to establish that “reasonableness” we’ve got to do it from an _informed_ position, not an ideological one. Ideology should perhaps be reserved for our basic stance on “freedom vs. social responsibility” or “individual liberty vs. collective safety.”

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**Author:** ![sqweels](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f19dbf/32.png) [@sqweels](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sqweels)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 1:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/86 "2001-01-05T01:35:22Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> The car licensing argument gets very old. Let’s try  
> to compare apples to apples ok?

The car analogy is apt for several reasons.

First, cars are an example of how registration does _not_ lead to confiscation.

Second, we all go ahead and register our cars without too much griping, showing that registration is not unduly burdensome or a form of “punishment”.

Third, cars, like guns, are very dangerous implements whose misuse results in large numbers of people losing their lives (there are any number of reasons why nobody’s calling for registraton of knives, etc.). The better job society does in keeping track of them, the fewer people will be killed with them and/or the more people will be held accountable for misusing them. Vehicle registration is not just about paying fees, it’s about fighting crime. Both the Oklahoma City and World Trade Center bombings were solved because the VIN numbers were discovered in the wreckage. If your gun was registered in your name you’d think twice before using it in a crime, and if you didn’t have one, you’d have a much more difficult time getting one not registered in your name. I sure as hell wouldn’t buy one for you.

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**Author:** ![Max\_Torque](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/e9bcb4/32.png) [@Max\_Torque](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Max_Torque)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/87 "2001-01-05T01:55:40Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by xenophon41 \*  
> **But my point regarding the Kellerman study and any “messages” it contains was that this type of well-designed study should not be automatically disputed because the results don’t match our cherished preconceptions.**

“Well-designed” is subject to dispute, as we discussed in that other thread referenced earlier. I automatically dispute Kellerman’s studies because he has been trying to demonstrate that “guns are bad” since at least 1986 (the infamous King County “43:1” study was his baby). A record that long indicates, to me, bias on the part of the researcher, and any conclusions he draws must be scrutinized very closely.

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**Author:** ![erislover](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/71e660/32.png) [@erislover](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/erislover)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 2:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/88 "2001-01-05T02:03:36Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by sqweels \*  
> The car analogy is apt for several reasons.

However, the car analogy fails miserably in the most important respect: it find use other then an offensive/defensive device.  
A firearm is a very specialized item in this respect. It is used to kill or threaten to kill, the end. To this end, without criminals there would be no need for citizens to possess guns per se. But then there would also be no need for them _not_ to possess them.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JJohn](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/278dde/32.png) [@JJohn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JJohn)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 4:15am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/89 "2001-01-05T04:15:08Z")

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xenophon,

I agree that between us we could most likely determine what reasonable is or is not. However, when reasonable means giving up more freedoms, I have to draw the line. I feel that it is reasonable to have limits on full-auto machine guns. I feel that it is unreasonable to license and register all gunowners. I can see no public good by doing such a thing.

Gunowners fear that more compromise at this point in history will only lead to more legislation. New gun Legislation did not end after 1936. It did not end after 1968, it did not end after 1994 with the assault weapon ban. My fear is that sooner or later there will be little left to take, except for the guns themselves. It happened in England and Austrailia, I have no doubt, nor should you that it could happen here as well.

I still say that if we want to lower that muder rate, outlaw people living alone 🙂

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![JJohn](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/278dde/32.png) [@JJohn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JJohn)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 4:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/90 "2001-01-05T04:40:49Z")

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[QUOTE]  
\*Originally posted by sqweels \*

The car analogy is apt for several reasons.

> [@](#):
>
> First, cars are an example of how registration does _not_ lead to confiscation.

Except that the backers behind registering cars, unlike those who wish to register guns, don’t openly condemn cars and their hideous owners. Nor do they call for the outright removal of cars from the road. See Diane Fienstien’s (sp?) remarks quoted by myself earlier. Several members from all across the Gun Control front have openly express their contempt and disdain for both guns and their owners. When these people push the legislation that requires registration, it doesn’t take too much to figure what comes next. It is already happening in California, see my earlier post concerning that as well.

> [@](#):
>
> Second, we all go ahead and register our cars without too much griping, showing that registration is not unduly burdensome or a form of “punishment”.

I gripe everytime I pay my registration fees. Why should a 2000 Dodge durango cost $380 per year and a 1990 Ford Taurus only cost $50 to register? My durango gets better mileage and is no harder on the roads than the Taurus. Believe me sqweels, I bitch plenty every time my license plates are due for renewall.

> [@](#):
>
> Third, cars, like guns, are very dangerous implements whose misuse results in large numbers of people losing their lives (there are any number of reasons why nobody’s calling for registraton of knives, etc.). The better job society does in keeping track of them, the fewer people will be killed with them and/or the more people will be held accountable for misusing them.

How is registering my gun, that will never be used in a crime, solve any other crimes, or keep any other crimes from happening?

> [@](#):
>
> Vehicle registration is not just about paying fees, it’s about fighting crime. Both the Oklahoma City and World Trade Center bombings were solved because the VIN numbers were discovered in the wreckage.

My gun was registered in my name the day I bought it. How do you think guns can be traced back to were they were initially purchased? I have to fill out a form 4473 every time I buy a gun from a dealer. This form records my name and address, soc number date of birth etc. What else do you want me to register? My shoe size?

> [@](#):
>
> If your gun was registered in your name you’d think twice before using it in a crime, and if you didn’t have one, you’d have a much more difficult time getting one not registered in your name. I sure as hell wouldn’t buy one for you.

First you offend me by suggesting that I would commit a crime. Second you assume that for some reason I am stupid and I would leave the gun laying around for the poilce to find. Third you assume that if any new registration scheme were inacted, that I would comply. You have already assumed that I am a criminal. Criminals like me would see no benefit to registering our guns would we?

Most anti gunners tell me how easy it is to get a gun “on the street”. How would any new registration solve that? If it is that easy I should have no problems getting a gun without asking you for help?

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**Author:** ![Dignan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/f07891/32.png) [@Dignan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dignan)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 5:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/91 "2001-01-05T05:03:10Z")

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I’VE NEVER SAID THAT I SUPPORTED A TOTAL GUN BAN! I’m sure there should be pleny of things that all the gun advocates can pick at without misreading my posts and twisting my words. I’ve never said that I supported a total ban, find the post (I’ll save you some time, I didn’t make one).

> [@](#):
>
> Cops protect themselves all the time with their guns. Are you seriously suggesting that guns can’t protect the individual weilding them?

Yes, I think guns can be used to protect someone. You totally misread my post and must have hallucinated or something. Yes, I know _cops_ protect themselves, but cops know what they’re doing, they’ve had training. There are people that have guns and don’t know how to use them. If people have training and know how to use guns (like cops) then I don’t have a problem with that, as long as they use them correctly.  
By aynrandlover:

> [@](#):
>
> Well, then, you should have no problem with us installing this telescreen in every room of your house so we can watch and listen to what goes on here. What, if you aren’t breaking the law you’ve got nothing to worry about, right?

To aynrandlover:  
Yeah, that’s comparable :rolleyes:. You have to register your car, and a cars main purpose is not to hurt people. If we register guns, and I hate to burst your bubble, it’s not going to lead to some kind of country where we don’t have any freedom.

> [@](#):
>
> Not since we’ve got bigger guns. WTF, you think the only thing that keeps one country from attacking another is benevolence or something? We won our wars, people knew it, and that’s the end.

To aynrandlover:  
Yeah, as long as the army has bigger guns what do I need one for? We aren’t going to need to raise a civilian army any time soon.

By Spoofe:

> [@](#):
>
> Do you deny that you mistook the terms for “automatic weapons” and “semiautomatic weapons”?

No, I don’t deny that, I have never claimed to have any knowledge of guns. Nor did I ask for people to be understanding because I don’t have any knowledge.

> [@](#):
>
> Why do you point to Uzi’s (the correct spelling, for future reference)

To Spoofe:  
Oh excuse me, I’ve already admitted to not having any knowledge about guns, and does spelling really matter? And if spelling does matter, should someone that can’t even spell his screen name right need to be correcting me?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mangeorge](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/d78d45/32.png) [@mangeorge](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mangeorge)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 6:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/92 "2001-01-05T06:16:57Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> To this end, without criminals there would be no need for citizens to possess guns per se. But then there would also be no need for them not to possess them.

I’m not so sure about that, **aynrandlover**.  
One of the stated major reasons for having a gun is for self defense. It has been further stated that this good thing outweighs the risk of injury or death to innocents due to negligence by idiots. I don’t know how to argue with that.  
Eliminating the criminals would negate the need for self defense, but the innocents and idiots would still be there. Still a lethal combination.  
Maybe if you mean _responsible_ citizens?  
Peace,  
mangeorge

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Joe\_Cool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ecb155/32.png) [@Joe\_Cool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Joe_Cool)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 6:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/93 "2001-01-05T06:19:35Z")

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[QUOTE]  
_Originally posted by xenophon41 \*  
\*\*[list=1][li]Would you have confronted the group if you had not had the weapon available?[_]Would the group have threatened you if you had not confronted them?If I were conducting a scholarly study to determine the frequency of DGU’s in this country, should I accept your anecdote at face value? (Not that I doubt your story, mind you; I’m asking if anecdotes should count as compelling evidence.)[/list=1]\*\*[/li][/quote]

[list=1][li][list=a][_]The group was looking for trouble, and reclining on my only means of transportation from the premises. I had little choice but to confront them.[_]By sitting on my vehicle, they had already insinuated themselves into my life, infringed on my property, and invaded my personal space.[_]I absolutely will NOT run and hide when my personal space and property are attacked. I will not be chased from my own home, and I will not ride a bus home because people want to sit on my car to look for trouble. They were the intruders, I defended my rights.[_]Yes, this is regardless of whether I was armed.[/list=a][/li][li]See 1A above. They were drinking and obviously looking for trouble. I was leaving and needed my car, I had to go through them to get it.Whether you choose to accept my story at face value is of no concern to me. I honestly don’t give a shit either way. It was an illustration to clarify a point I was making. The fact is that Kellerman did not pay any attention to any use of a firearm unless it produced a dead body. That, among other things (using a single county rather than a wider sample, for instance), makes his study useless as a tool to determine whether owning a firearm increases or decreases your safety. However, to answer your question, it is, in fact, a defensive use of a gun. The fact that it didn’t produce a corpse would have kept me out of Kellerman’s study, but doesn’t change the fact that I used it defensively and saved myself from the possibility of great bodily harm.[/list=1][/li]

[quote]  
[list=A][li]I didn’t cite Kellerman; **Dignan** did. I criticized Lott-Mustard, and expressed regret that I could not find a link to Kellerman’s study. Fortunately, I found [this link](http://home.att.net/~Resurgence/L-kellermann.htm) posted in the thread that you cited, so I can say categorically that[_]Kellerman’s study was designed in such a way that it would have shown a correllation between gun ownership and a reduction in the risk of gun-related homicides, if such a correlation existed. Since the reverse correlation exists, that is what the study showed. So therefore[_]I think I will _begin_ to quote Kellerman whenever I damn well want to, and feel justified in doing so.[/list=A]\*\*[/li][/QUOTE]

[list=a][_]Doesn’t matter. I answered your statement about junk science, and pointed out that you willfully omitted the worst junk of all.[_]Kellerman’s study was designed in such a way that it would show, no matter what facts he found, that guns are bad. What the study showed is that numbers can be twisted to make any claim about anything.You can quote anything you like. You can feel any way you like. But don’t think that your smug feelings of self-importance make your factoids any more true. The simple truth is that your opinion and your beloved study are both contrary to facts. Period.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Joe\_Cool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ecb155/32.png) [@Joe\_Cool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Joe_Cool)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 6:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/94 "2001-01-05T06:38:22Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by mangeorge \*  
> \*\*I’m not so sure about that, **aynrandlover**.  
> One of the stated major reasons for having a gun is for self defense. It has been further stated that this good thing outweighs the risk of injury or death to innocents due to negligence by idiots. I don’t know how to argue with that.  
> Eliminating the criminals would negate the need for self defense, but the innocents and idiots would still be there. Still a lethal combination.  
> Maybe if you mean _responsible_ citizens?  
> Peace,  
> mangeorge  
> \*\*

Doesn’t matter. Everyone has the right to bear arms until they prove themselves to be irresponsible. You can’t punish people preemptively (ala Mr. Crisp from Yellowbeard)

In order to abridge freedom of speech, you need to demonstrate and provide extraordinary proof that it is absolutely necessary. One does not tread lightly on Constitutionally protected freedoms. Is speech dangerous? Yes. But is it a basic right of mankind to be able to speak your mind freely? Yes. So should we accept the risks of free speech in order to reap the benefits of living in a free society? HELL YES.

In order to abridge the right of the people to keep and bear arms, you need to demonstrate and provide extraordinary proof that it is absolutely necessary. One does not tread lightly on Constitutionally protected freedoms. Is an armed populace dangerous? Yes. But is it a basic right of mankind to take up arms to defend himself, regardless of whether the enemy is a criminal, an invading army, or an opressive government? Yes. So should we accept the risks of an armed populace in order to reap the benefits of living in a free society? HELL YES.

Get it? Probably not. That’s the sad part. Whether you think the 2nd Amendment is still relevant doesn’t matter. The fact is, it is still the Law of the Land. If you don’t like it, try to change it (Good luck!). But for now, you still have to obey it.

When somebody uses a gun irresponsibly, prosecute them. Don’t try to ban guns. When a person operates a vehicle irresponsibly (drunk driving, hit & run, crashing into a building, etc), the DRIVER is penalized. You don’t try to ban cars. When a person stabs someone to death, you prosecute the murderer, you don’t ban knives. If a person bludgeons somebody to death with a rock, you don’t ban rocks, you prosecute the murderer. Come on, people, why is this so difficult?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Joe\_Cool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ecb155/32.png) [@Joe\_Cool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Joe_Cool)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 7:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/95 "2001-01-05T07:11:27Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by xenophon41 \*  
> **Just because we’d like to believe the type of incidents you and Joe Cool described are more common than those incidents where a weapon is used against its owner does not mean we should shy away from evidence that this is not so. Kneejerk denial of the study does nothing to advance the very legitimate defense of 2nd Amendment rights, nor does automatic rejection of proposed gun control measures.**

Except that the study completely ignored incidents such as the one I described. Once again, kids, pay attention: Kellerman studied gun-related DEATHS. (And by the way, the link you found in the previous thread is only a summary with of the Kellerman study. Obviously you know that, but I’d just like to point out that in addition to reporting a flawed study, the summary itself is very clearly biased toward the viewpoint that guns are bad. You’d do better to find a link to the actual [study](http://www.nejm.org/content/1993/0329/0015/1084.asp))

Just for kicks, here is an excerpt from [guncite.com](http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html):

```auto

Kellermann tabulated gunshot deaths occurring in King
County, Washington, from 1978 to 1983. Table 1 below is
taken from Kellermann's paper (Table 3 on p. 1559).
Table 1. Classification of 398 Gunshot Deaths involving a
Firearm Kept in the Home

Type of Death No.
=================================
Unintentional deaths 12
---------------------------------
Criminal homicide 41
---------------------------------
Suicide 333
---------------------------------
Unknown 3
=================================
Total 389
=================================
Self-protection homicide 9
As we see from Table 1, a ratio of 389 violent deaths to 9
justifiable homicides gives us the famous 43 to 1 ratio.

Let's apply the same methodology to non-gun deaths and
non-gun self-protection homicides in the home, for King
County, Washington.
Table 2. Estimation of Violent Deaths in the Home Not
Involving a Firearm

Type of Death No.
=================================
Unintentional deaths 0
---------------------------------
Criminal homicide[sup]1[/sup] 50
---------------------------------
Suicide[sup]2[/sup] 347
---------------------------------
Unknown 0
=================================
Total 397
=================================
Self-protection homicide[sup]3[/sup] 4
This ratio of 397 non-gun violent deaths to 4 justifiable
homicides reduces to 99 to 1.

So having applied Kellermann's methodology to non-firearm
violent death, the risk factor more than doubles from 43 to
1 with a gun in the home, to 99 to 1 without.

Please note, the purpose of this exercise is not to show
the absence of a gun in the home is riskier than having
one. This exercise does no such thing. It is merely to show
how deeply flawed Kellermann's study really is. Further, a
number of tremendously important factors are left
unaccounted.
----------------------
Notes:
1. Non-gun criminal homicide calculation:

   According to Kellermann, firearms were involved in 45
   percent of all homicides in King County.

   41 firearm criminal homicides / .45 = 91 total criminal
   homicides.

   Non-gun criminal homicides = 91 / (1 - .45) = 50 non-gun
   criminal homicides.
2. Non-gun suicide calculation:
   According to Kellermann, firearms were involved in 49
   percent of all suicides in King County.

   333 firearm suicides / .49 = 680 total suicides.

   Non-gun suicides = 680 / (1 - .49) = 347 non-gun
   suicides.
3. Self-protection calculation:
   According to the 1997 FBI Uniform Crime Report (p. 24),
   from 1993 to 1997, non-gun justifiable homicides were
   13% of all justifiable homicides. 30% was used instead
   of 13%.

   9 firearm justifiable homicides / (1 - .3) = 13 total
   justifiable homicides.

   13 total justifiable homicides - 9 firearm justifiable
   homicides = 4 non-gun justifiable homicides.

```

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mangeorge](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/d78d45/32.png) [@mangeorge](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mangeorge)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 7:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/96 "2001-01-05T07:38:51Z")

</div>

We weren’t discussing rights here **Joe\_Cool** , but needs. The need to own a gun vs the need to not own a gun, as stated in that portion of **aynrandlover’s** post which I replied to.  
Just one death or injury demonstrates the need for a ban on firearms. Or automobiles, or whatever.  
But whether or not that need is outweighed by other factors (ie the 2ND) is what has to be determined.  
The right to keep a firearm for self defense does carry an inherent risk to innocents. True, this risk is largely due to _irresponsible_ gun owners, but is does exist.  
I tried to find something in my reply to warrant this little diatribe;

> [@](#):
>
> Get it? Probably not. That’s the sad part. Whether you think the 2nd Amendment is still relevant doesn’t matter. The fact is, it is still the Law of the Land. If you don’t like it, try to change it (Good luck!). But for now, you still have to obey it.

but I couldn’t  
_No man is an island_  
Peace,  
mangeorge

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Joe\_Cool](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/ecb155/32.png) [@Joe\_Cool](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Joe_Cool)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 8:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/97 "2001-01-05T08:04:46Z")

</div>

> [@](#):
>
> \*Originally posted by mangeorge \*  
> **We weren’t discussing rights here Joe\_Cool, but needs. The need to own a gun vs the need to not own a gun, as stated in that portion of aynrandlover’s post which I replied to.  
> Just one death or injury demonstrates the need for a ban on firearms. Or automobiles, or whatever.  
> But whether or not that need is outweighed by other factors (ie the 2ND) is what has to be determined.  
> The right to keep a firearm for self defense does carry an inherent risk to innocents. True, this risk is largely due to _irresponsible_ gun owners, but is does exist.  
> I tried to find something in my reply to warrant this little diatribe;**

That’s a ludicrous statement (“Just one death…”).

My need or lack of need to own a gun is exactly ZERO concern of yours. The fact is, I own several. My right to continue to do so is protected by the Constitution.

I do not need your permission to exercise a right guaranteed by the Constitution. I do not need to justify my needs to you, in order to exercise said right. YOU need to prove to ME an overwhelming need to restrict my liberty, but you seem to think that I need to provide YOU with MY overwhelming need to prevent YOU from taking MY rights. It doesn’t work that way, buddy-boy.

Those are the facts. If you don’t like them, too bad. Develop coping skills.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![mangeorge](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/d78d45/32.png) [@mangeorge](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mangeorge)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 8:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/98 "2001-01-05T08:37:02Z")

</div>

What on earth are you ranting about?  
What permission did I offer or withdraw?  
Well, this ain’t the pit, and we’ve gotten way off-topic anyway. So I give up.  
No more discussion with joe not-so-cool for me.  
😉  
Peace,  
mangeorge

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![SPOOFE](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c5a1d2/32.png) [@SPOOFE](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SPOOFE)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 10:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/99 "2001-01-05T10:05:49Z")

</div>

> [@](#):
>
> What on earth are you ranting about?

'Zat’s the best defense that you can come up with? “You’re just paranoid”? “You’re ranting and raving”?

You want to talk about “ranting”, explain this sentence to me…

> [@](#):
>
> Just one death or injury demonstrates the need for a ban on firearms.

Just one death, huh? All right, I officially declare EVERYTHING on Earth to be banned.

I’d put a rolleyes smiley here, 'cept it’s not big enough.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![erislover](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/71e660/32.png) [@erislover](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/erislover)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2001, 2:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/execution-of-a-total-gun-ban/47575/100 "2001-01-05T14:44:20Z")

</div>

first off, **mangeorge** , I actually didn’t mean a responsible society. We don’t outlaw accidents; that is, it ain’t illegal to be an idiot. 😉  
Well, in SDMB it is, but that’s another story 😃

D:“If we register guns, and I hate to burst your bubble, it’s not going to lead to some kind of country where we don’t have any freedom.”  
Oh you are way off. “If we restrict freedom it doesn’t lead to some kind of country where we don’t have any freedom.”

Let me try and spell out the regulation-based slippery slope argument for everyone out there who still, miraculously, can’t see the charm it has.

1. Utopia does not exist.
2. Perfection (in society) is asymptotic (otherwise a utopia would exist. The other alternative is that no specific course of action is ever any better than another. I hope we all disagree with _that_. I mean, we are in GD here ;))
3. There is some point where we stop regulation as a means to perfection (in society).
4. For regulation to stop we would have reached a point of negligible return of security/freedom by trading freedom/security.
5. For the returns of such ventures to diminish all changes in a society must not require new regulation or all changes must stop.
6. I can’t see how changes in society could ever stop without the stop of population change, technology, and so on, so we should be able to safely say that change is about the only constant in society.
7. If, then, all new changes in society do not require regulation then over time the cumulative effect of non-regulated change (meaning growth here, really) will far outweigh all the regulated change of the past…that is, we will again return on our asymptotic path to freedom until such a time that any existing regulation is negligible.
8. (7) goes against (1)…we have made a utopian society, albeit an appollonian goal-oriented one, but in any case no further work is required, all social contracts are final, and things can only get better.

That is, it is idealistic to assume an anti-slippery slope argument in respect to legislation (on a cumulative and hence freedom encumbering scale).  
So **D** , you are either ignoring the fact that laws pile up (and hence restrict freedom on a cumulative scale) or you truly believe that some day in the undetermined future we quit making stuff illegal.

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