# Exit Polls Look Good for Kerry **URL:** \ **Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\ **Created:** [November 2, 2004, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628 "2004-11-02T23:04:23Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Kel\_Varnsen\_Latex\_Division](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/aeb1de/32.png) [@Kel\_Varnsen\_Latex\_Division](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kel_Varnsen_Latex_Division)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/1 "2004-11-02T23:04:23Z")
> [@](#): > > Political web sites gave Senator John Kerry (news - web sites) an early lead over President George W. Bush (news - web sites) in key states in the presidential race, jumping the gun on the US networks by citing what they said were pirated early exit polls. > “Kerry Finds Comfort in First Batch of Exit Polls,” was the headline on the popular web site [drudgereport.com](http://drudgereport.com). > Another well-known political web site, [Slate.com](http://Slate.com), posted what it said were early exit poll numbers which had Kerry leading Bush in the crucial states of Florida and Ohio and by a wide margin in Pennsylvania. Go Kerry!!!1 [http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/afp/20041102/ts\_alt\_afp/us\_vote\_internet\_041102223224](http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/afp/20041102/ts_alt_afp/us_vote_internet_041102223224) ---
**Author:** ![Amp](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/6a8cbe/32.png) [@Amp](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Amp)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/2 "2004-11-02T23:06:18Z")
I was just at [www.msnbc.com](http://www.msnbc.com) and they had the following numbers on there site: Bush 61% Kerry 38% Nader 1% The percent is percentage of votes. I then refreshed and they went back to zero. Wierd. ---
**Author:** ![Ghanima](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/9e8a1a/32.png) [@Ghanima](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ghanima)\ **Post date:** [November 2, 2004, 11:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/3 "2004-11-02T23:10:07Z")
I’m too scared to be optimistic. ☹ Tell me when its over. **closes eyes, puts fingers in ears, sings lalalalalalalalalala** ---
**Author:** ![ccwaterback](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/df705f/32.png) [@ccwaterback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ccwaterback)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 12:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/4 "2004-11-03T00:18:55Z")
ABC is already posting all kinds of “scenarios”. Every one they have chosen to display shows Bush winning. Of course they have Bush winning OH, PA and FL. How can these A-holes get away with shit like this? There ought to be a law … ---
**Author:** ![GingerOfTheNorth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/cdc98d/32.png) [@GingerOfTheNorth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GingerOfTheNorth)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 12:36am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/5 "2004-11-03T00:36:56Z")
I do so miss Canadian elections. IIRC, exit polls are illegal at home. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 1:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/6 "2004-11-03T01:18:21Z")
I hope it’s settled before I need to go to bed. The latest Im seeing is as of 8:19 Eastern Time showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 7 66 56% Kerry 9 77 43% ``` Electoral votess, of course, determine the outcome. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 1:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/7 "2004-11-03T01:31:05Z")
As of 8:19 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 10 102 55% Kerry 9 77 44% ``` With 5% of precincts reporting, I’d guess we’ve got _at least_ four or five hours to go before any outcome looks firm. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/8 "2004-11-03T02:00:08Z")
As of 8:57 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 11 136 55% Kerry 10 108 44% ``` ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/9 "2004-11-03T02:03:32Z")
Tight race, so far. But I’ll note that one of AOL’s polls (Internet voluntary poll, so probably amongst the least reliable) has 81% of respondents indicating they’d made up their minds months ago, well before gazillions of bucks were spent on the 3-4% who decided in the last week. ---
**Author:** ![ccwaterback](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/df705f/32.png) [@ccwaterback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ccwaterback)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/10 "2004-11-03T02:05:00Z")
Looks like Bush is ahead in land mass, but Kerry leads in property value. 😃 ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/11 "2004-11-03T02:07:32Z")
As of 9:12 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 16 153 54% Kerry 11 112 46% ``` ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/12 "2004-11-03T02:14:12Z")
I suspect trying to glean some overall meaning from early reports will be fruitless. With Ohio reporting 7% of precincts so far, Bush and Kerry have swapped significant appearing leads a few times already. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/13 "2004-11-03T02:22:02Z")
Do you think Florida might be one of the last states called? ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/14 "2004-11-03T02:31:14Z")
As of 9:27 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 18 169 53% Kerry 11 112 46% ``` ---
**Author:** ![ccwaterback](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/df705f/32.png) [@ccwaterback](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ccwaterback)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/15 "2004-11-03T02:38:00Z")
> [@Ringo](#): > > Do you think Florida might be one of the last states called? Everything seems to revolve around OH, PA and FL. I would think they will be VERY careful calling a winner in any of those states (because of the last election debacle in FL). ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/16 "2004-11-03T02:47:31Z")
I’ve noticed that Bush seemed to be maintaining a ~1.5 million popular vote lead ahead of Kerry, but for right now that has jumped to ~2 million. We still haven’t seen anything from the Western states. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/17 "2004-11-03T02:52:28Z")
Anybody know what the Common Wisdom on California is? That’s 55 electoral votes - that and Ohio would put Kerry in a good position. ---
**Author:** ![Syntropy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/65b543/32.png) [@Syntropy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Syntropy)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 2:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/18 "2004-11-03T02:58:37Z")
California will go to Kerry hands down. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/19 "2004-11-03T03:01:34Z")
As of 10:05 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 20 178 52% Kerry 11 112 47% ``` That is with 27% of precincts reporting. Still way too early to call, IMHO. ---
**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\ **Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/20 "2004-11-03T03:08:02Z")
As of 10:05 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing: ```auto Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote Bush 21 184 52% Kerry 11 112 47% ``` I don’t get why Yahoo is showing that as a 10:05 report when thay already had one for that time. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628.md?page=2)