# Exit Polls Look Good for Kerry

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628>\
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share\
**Created:** [November 2, 2004, 11:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628 "2004-11-02T23:04:23Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 12\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/21 "2004-11-03T03:13:24Z")

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I guess that multiple 10:05 report was a glitch.

As of 10:12 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing:

```auto

Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote

Bush 22 195 52%

Kerry 11 112 47%

```

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/22 "2004-11-03T03:49:16Z")

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Kerry’s pullin’ the nose up.

As of 10:50 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing:

```auto

Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote

Bush 22 195 51%

Kerry 12 133 48%

```

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:54am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/23 "2004-11-03T03:54:36Z")

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As we slink westward, you’ll notice that George W. Bush’s popular vote majority is shrinking. We’ll see how that pans out once the Western states start reporting in.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 3:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/24 "2004-11-03T03:58:38Z")

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So Kerry’s bagged California. Are we looking at a repetition of the candidate with the most popular votes actually losing the election?

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 4:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/25 "2004-11-03T04:11:53Z")

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As of 11:12 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing:

```auto

Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote

Bush 24 210 51%

Kerry 14 199 48%

```

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 4:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/26 "2004-11-03T04:30:55Z")

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Maybe I’m wrong, but I think it’s starting to look like a Bush landslide.

I’ll check it out in the morning.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 4:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/27 "2004-11-03T04:49:17Z")

</div>

Rhode Island seems to be holding out.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 5:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/28 "2004-11-03T05:04:10Z")

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Arghhh! I’m stayin’ up too late!

As of 12:05 Eastern Time Yahoo is showing:

```auto

Candidate States Electoral Votes Popular Vote

Bush 25 237 51%

Kerry 14 199 48%

```

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Ringo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/779978/32.png) [@Ringo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ringo)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 6:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/29 "2004-11-03T06:35:55Z")

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Well, John Kerry lost this election big time.

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**Author:** ![Pessor](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/439d5e/32.png) [@Pessor](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Pessor)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 7:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/30 "2004-11-03T07:00:42Z")

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> [@Ringo](#):
>
> Well, John Kerry lost this election big time.

I’m remembering 1984. Regan vs. Mondale. If I recall correctly, Regan took 49 states out of 50. That’s loosing an election bigtime. John Kerry still had a chance until about an hour and a half ago… almost 1 AM EST with well over 200 votes.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Angua](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/8baadc/32.png) [@Angua](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Angua)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 10:49am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/31 "2004-11-03T10:49:45Z")

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According to both the BBC and CNN Bush is on 254 electoral votes, to Kerry’s 252. It still doesn’t look brilliant though.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![cstamets](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/958977/32.png) [@cstamets](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/cstamets)\
**Post date:** [November 3, 2004, 11:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/exit-polls-look-good-for-kerry/272628/32 "2004-11-03T11:42:15Z")

</div>

CBS is still showing Wisconsin as contested, giving Kerry an about 14,000 vote lead.

Under the CBS scenario, Bush could lose Ohio and win Iowa, Wisconsin, and New Mexico and win the election.

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