# Extinction event probabilities

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/extinction-event-probabilities/833853>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [May 12, 2019, 12:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/extinction-event-probabilities/833853 "2019-05-12T12:35:22Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 3\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/9de053/32.png) [@Jackknifed\_Juggernaut](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jackknifed_Juggernaut)\
**Post date:** [May 12, 2019, 12:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/extinction-event-probabilities/833853/1 "2019-05-12T12:35:22Z")

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Is there a comprehensive list of the possible ways that humans could become substantially extinct, as well as estimated probabilities? Searching online leads to many, but I trust dopers to lead me to the more reliable sources. The list would presumably include threats from the cosmos, from the earth itself, from disease, etc.

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [May 12, 2019, 10:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/extinction-event-probabilities/833853/2 "2019-05-12T22:38:51Z")

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[A thread from a few days ago](https://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=875379), where we’re having a hard time coming up with _anything_ that could drive humans extinct.

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**Author:** ![Riemann](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/riemann/32/3133_2.png) [@Riemann](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Riemann)\
**Post date:** [May 12, 2019, 10:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/extinction-event-probabilities/833853/3 "2019-05-12T22:45:47Z")

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Nick Bostrom’s website is a good place to look  
[http://existential-risk.org](http://existential-risk.org)